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  1. Home
  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners vs Cal Poly Mustangs
Sat 10:00 PM ET
CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners logo
CSU Bakersfield
Roadrunners68
10-17
versus
Cal Poly Mustangs logo
Cal Poly
Mustangs56
3-25
Final
Team12T
CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners353368
Cal Poly Mustangs371956
NCAAB · CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners at Cal Poly Mustangs

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CSU Bakersfield vs Cal Poly Predictions

Game time: March 2, 2024 at 10:00 PM ET

Venue: Robert A. Mott Athletics Center — San Luis Obispo, CA

Article updated Mar 2, 10:36 PM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners are on the road playing the Cal Poly Mustangs at the Robert A. Mott Athletics Center stadium on Saturday, 3/2/2024 @ 10:00pm EST. CSU

Game outlook

The CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners are on the road playing the Cal Poly Mustangs at the Robert A. Mott Athletics Center stadium on Saturday, 3/2/2024 @ 10:00pm EST. CSU Bakersfield is the betting favorite opening at -6 and the line hasn't moved.

Roadrunners vs Mustangs Prediction for Tonight's Game

Based on recent trends and stats, the Scorecaster predicts Roadrunners to win tonight's game by 5 points. This model factors in recent against the spread (ATS) trends and scoring which predicts the Cal Poly Mustangs to cover the 6 point spread and the total to go over 129 points.

PREDICTED SCORE: CSU Bakersfield 73 to Cal Poly 68

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners and Cal Poly Mustangs, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Curated Picks & Predictions

51% of SportsJaw players predict Cal Poly Mustangs to cover the spread.

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that CSU Bakersfield will win straight-up is 72%.

Based on the current lines, Oddsmakers predict the score to be CSUB 70.5, CP 58.5.

OddsShark 's prediction is Cal State-Bakersfield will win, cal poly will cover, and the total will go over.

67% picked CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners on Covers.com

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

CSU Bakersfield Key Betting Stats

With a power ranking of 120, CSU Bakersfield is ranked #303 in offense (scoring an average of 68.83 per game), #93 in defense (allowing an average of 69.00 points to be scored against them per game) and are 12-17 (14-14 ATS) this season.

Offensively, the Roadrunners hit an average of 42.92% of their field goals (ranked #281) and 72.65% of their free throws (ranked #146) and makes an average of 30.23% of their three pointers ranked #330 in the NCAAB). They average 34.79 rebounds per game (ranked # 226) and average 10.45 offensive assists and 12.14 turnovers per game (ranked # 344 and 217 respectively).

Defensively speaking, CSU Bakersfield allows an average of 42.90% field goals (ranked #135) and 72.00% free throws (ranked #201 in the NCAAB) The Roadrunners allow an average of 33.33% of the three pointers (ranked #166) and averages 34.14 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 34.14) Finally, the Roadrunners average 11.72 defensive assists and 13.52 turnovers per game (ranked # 93 and 67 respectively).

Cal Poly Key Betting Stats

Cal Poly Mustangs has a power ranking of 340 and are #357 for offense (scoring an average of 62.97 per game), #229 for defense (giving up an average of 73.41 points per game) and 4-25 (13-15 ATS) overall. CSU Bakersfield went 0-3 (0-3 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against Cal Poly.

For offense, the Mustangs hit an average of 40.06% of their field goals (ranked #345) and 69.74% of their free throws (ranked #269) and makes an average of 32.42% of their three pointers (ranked #265 in the NCAAB). They average 31.59 rebounds per game (ranked # 340) and average 9.66 offensive assists and 13.07 turnovers per game (ranked # 356) and 293 respectively).

On defense, Cal Poly allows an average of 45.64% field goals (ranked #299) and 72.69% free throws (ranked #244 in the NCAAB) The Mustangs allow an average of 34.34% of the three pointers (ranked #238) and averages 38.52 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 38.52) Finally, the Mustangs average 11.62 defensive assists and 12.07 turnovers per game (ranked # 80 and 166 respectively).

Betting Summary

CSU Bakersfield has a slight advantage in regards to ball control (factoring in rebounds and turnovers).

The Scorecaster model predicts the Cal Poly Mustangs to cover the 6 point spread and the total to go over 129 points.

Written by SportsJaw Staff Categorized as NCAAB Predictions

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#CSUBakersfieldRoadrunners#CalPolyMustangs

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Roadrunners vs Mustangs archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Roadrunners vs Mustangs matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners-255 → -308Moved
  • Moneyline · Cal Poly Mustangs+210 → +254Moved
  • Spread · CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners-6 (-110) → -7 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Cal Poly Mustangs+6 (-110) → +7 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over128.5 (-110) → 129.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under128.5 (-110) → 129.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners
10-17 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Cal Poly Mustangs
3-25 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-03-03T03:36:09.791Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners and Cal Poly Mustangs, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-01-20Cal Poly Mustangs 53 · CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners 65
Final result

Matchup pick recap

CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners defeated Cal Poly Mustangs 68-56

CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners defeated Cal Poly Mustangs 68-56 on March 2, 2024, a 12-point decision in the series. CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners' strongest period was the 2nd half, when it outscored its opponent 33-19. Against SportsJaw's recorded CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners -7 (-110) spread, CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners covered, while the 124 combined points finished under the recorded total of 129.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • TjwinsTotal · Under 128.5 (-110)Win
  • IrishblueSpread · Cal Poly Mustangs +6 (-110)Loss