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  1. Home
  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. NC State Wolfpack vs North Carolina Tar Heels
Sat 4:00 PM ET
NC State Wolfpack logo
NC State
Wolfpack70
15-11
versus
North Carolina Tar Heels logo
North Carolina
Tar Heels79
19-6
Final
Team12T
NC State Wolfpack452570
North Carolina Tar Heels374279
NCAAB · NC State Wolfpack at North Carolina Tar Heels

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NC State vs North Carolina Picks & Predictions

Game time: March 2, 2024 at 4:00 PM ET

Venue: Dean E. Smith Center — Chapel Hill, NC

Article updated Mar 2, 10:35 PM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The NC State Wolfpack are on the road playing the North Carolina Tar Heels at the Dean E. Smith Center stadium on Saturday, 3/2/2024 @ 4:00pm EST. North Carolina is the

Game outlook

The NC State Wolfpack are on the road playing the North Carolina Tar Heels at the Dean E. Smith Center stadium on Saturday, 3/2/2024 @ 4:00pm EST. North Carolina is the betting favorite opening at -12 and the current line is North Carolina -11.

Wolfpack vs Tar Heels Prediction for Today's Game

Based on recent trends and head to head stats, the Scorecaster predicts Tar Heels to win today's game by 3 points. This model factors in recent against the spread (ATS) trends and scoring which predicts the NC State Wolfpack to cover the 11 point spread and the total to go over 155.5 points.

PREDICTED SCORE: NC State 77 to North Carolina 80

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the NC State Wolfpack and North Carolina Tar Heels, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Curated Picks & Predictions

53% of SportsJaw users predict NC State Wolfpack to cover the spread.

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that North Carolina will win straight-up is 88%.

Based on the current lines, Oddsmakers predict the score to be NCST 66.75, UNC 88.75.

OddsShark 's prediction is North Carolina will win, north carolina state will cover, and the total will go under.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

split down the middle on Covers.com

NC State Key Betting Stats

With a power ranking of 172, NC State is ranked #106 in offense (scoring an average of 76.21 per game), #186 in defense (allowing an average of 72.07 points to be scored against them per game) and are 17-11 (12-15-1 ATS) this season.

Offensively, the Wolfpack hit an average of 44.30% of their field goals (ranked #203) and 72.91% of their free throws (ranked #134) and makes an average of 34.00% of their three pointers ranked #183 in the NCAAB). They average 35.46 rebounds per game (ranked # 174) and average 12.68 offensive assists and 9.61 turnovers per game (ranked # 221 and 16 respectively).

Defensively speaking, NC State allows an average of 44.08% field goals (ranked #213) and 72.63% free throws (ranked #243 in the NCAAB) The Wolfpack allow an average of 35.29% of the three pointers (ranked #295) and averages 36.61 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 36.61) Finally, the Wolfpack average 11.86 defensive assists and 13.14 turnovers per game (ranked # 99 and 88 respectively).

North Carolina Key Betting Stats

North Carolina Tar Heels has a power ranking of 95 and are #25 for offense (scoring an average of 81.54 per game), #132 for defense (giving up an average of 70.43 points per game) and 22-6 (16-12 ATS) overall. NC State went 2-1 (2-1 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against North Carolina.

For offense, the Tar Heels hit an average of 44.76% of their field goals (ranked #172) and 74.89% of their free throws (ranked #60) and makes an average of 35.44% of their three pointers (ranked #101 in the NCAAB). They average 41.04 rebounds per game (ranked # 8) and average 14.39 offensive assists and 10.46 turnovers per game (ranked # 107) and 67 respectively).

On defense, North Carolina allows an average of 40.59% field goals (ranked #25) and 74.64% free throws (ranked #329 in the NCAAB) The Tar Heels allow an average of 30.63% of the three pointers (ranked #34) and averages 34.29 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 34.29) Finally, the Tar Heels average 10.25 defensive assists and 11.00 turnovers per game (ranked # 14 and 276 respectively).

Betting Summary

NC State has a slight advantage in regards to ball control (factoring in rebounds and turnovers).

The Scorecaster model predicts the NC State Wolfpack to cover the 11 point spread and the total to go over 155.5 points.

Written by SportsJaw Staff Categorized as NCAAB Predictions

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Wolfpack vs Tar Heels archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Wolfpack vs Tar Heels matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · NC State Wolfpack+550 → +500Moved
  • Moneyline · North Carolina Tar Heels-808 → -700Moved
  • Spread · NC State Wolfpack+12 (-110) → +11 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · North Carolina Tar Heels-12 (-110) → -11 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over153.5 (-110) → 155.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under153.5 (-110) → 155.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

NC State Wolfpack
15-11 matchup record · 4-5-1 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
North Carolina Tar Heels
19-6 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-03-03T03:35:22.275Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the NC State Wolfpack and North Carolina Tar Heels, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-01-10North Carolina Tar Heels 67 · NC State Wolfpack 54
Final result

Matchup pick recap

North Carolina Tar Heels defeated NC State Wolfpack 79-70

North Carolina Tar Heels defeated NC State Wolfpack 79-70 on March 2, 2024, a 9-point decision in the series. North Carolina Tar Heels' strongest period was the 2nd half, when it outscored its opponent 42-25. Against SportsJaw's recorded NC State Wolfpack +11 (-110) spread, NC State Wolfpack covered, while the 149 combined points finished under the recorded total of 155.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • AdrianMariucciSpread · NC State Wolfpack +10.5 (-110)Win
  • CoolioSpread · NC State Wolfpack +10.5 (-110)Win
  • CoolioTotal · Under 153 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkSpread · NC State Wolfpack +10.5 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 153 (-110)Loss