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NCAAB PicksFri 2:00 PM ET
Va. Commonwealth Rams logo
Va. Commonwealth
Rams51
26-7
versus
ST
St. Marys63
Final
Team12T
Va. Commonwealth Rams282351
St. Marys293463
NCAAB · Va. Commonwealth Rams at St. Marys

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Va. Commonwealth Rams vs St. Marys Predictions March 17, 2023

Game time: March 17, 2023 at 2:00 PM ET

Venue: MVP Arena — Albany, NY

Article updated Mar 14, 6:14 AM EDT

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Va. Commonwealth Rams are on the road playing the St. Marys at the MVP Arena stadium on Friday, 3/17/2023 @ 2:00pm EST. St. Marys is the betting favorite opening at -4

Game outlook

The Va. Commonwealth Rams are on the road playing the St. Marys at the MVP Arena stadium on Friday, 3/17/2023 @ 2:00pm EST. St. Marys is the betting favorite opening at -4 and the line hasn't moved.

Rams vs Gaels Prediction for Today's Game

Based on recent trends and head to head stats, the Scorecaster predicts the books have a tight line on the spread and the total will go over 123.5 points.

PREDICTED SCORE: Va. Commonwealth 70 to St. Marys 74

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Va. Commonwealth Rams and St. Marys, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Curated Picks & Predictions

50% of SportsJaw players predict St. Marys to cover the spread.

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that St. Marys will win straight-up is 65%.

Based on the current lines, Oddsmakers predict the score to be VACOM 57.75, SMC 65.75.

OddsShark 's prediction is Saint Mary's-California will win, cover the spread, and the total will go over.

split down the middle on Covers.com

Va. Commonwealth Key Betting Stats

With a power ranking of 8, Va. Commonwealth is ranked #184 in offense (scoring an average of 71.55 per game), #24 in defense (allowing an average of 63.12 points to be scored against them per game) and are 27-7 (17-15-2 ATS) this season.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Offensively, the Rams hit an average of 46.55% of their field goals (ranked #65) and 70.00% of their free throws (ranked #249) and makes an average of 34.37% of their three pointers ranked #173 in the NCAAB). They average 33.30 rebounds per game (ranked # 268) and average 13.09 offensive assists and 13.58 turnovers per game (ranked # 177 and 288 respectively).

Defensively speaking, Va. Commonwealth allows an average of 41.77% field goals (ranked #60) and 69.72% free throws (ranked #81 in the NCAAB) The Rams allow an average of 32.95% of the three pointers (ranked #120) and averages 32.79 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 32.79) Finally, the Rams average 11.55 defensive assists and 16.73 turnovers per game (ranked # 98 and 14 respectively).

St. Marys Key Betting Stats

St. Marys has a power ranking of 124 and are #186 for offense (scoring an average of 71.36 per game), #5 for defense (giving up an average of 60.12 points per game) and 26-7 (16-13-3 ATS) overall. Va. Commonwealth went 1-0 (1-0 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against St. Marys.

For offense, the Gaels hit an average of 45.82% of their field goals (ranked #102) and 69.26% of their free throws (ranked #276) and makes an average of 37.10% of their three pointers (ranked #40 in the NCAAB). They average 35.58 rebounds per game (ranked # 135) and average 12.55 offensive assists and 10.73 turnovers per game (ranked # 222) and 33 respectively).

On defense, St. Marys allows an average of 41.48% field goals (ranked #50) and 74.52% free throws (ranked #324 in the NCAAB) The Gaels allow an average of 32.53% of the three pointers (ranked #99) and averages 28.52 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 28.52) Finally, the Gaels average 7.82 defensive assists and 12.36 turnovers per game (ranked # 4 and 195 respectively).

Betting Summary

Va. Commonwealth has a slight advantage in regards to ball control (factoring in rebounds and turnovers).

The Scorecaster model predicts the books have a tight line on the spread and the total will go over 123.5 points.

For the best predictions available, make sure to checkout the best bets made by our certified NCAAB experts.

Written by SportsJaw Staff Categorized as NCAAB Predictions

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

SportsJaw Rams vs St. Marys archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Crowd vs qualified handicappers

No qualifying consensus sample is available yet.

Qualified handicappers need at least 20 graded picks and a 52.5% win rate. A market needs at least three current qualified picks. Selection share is not a win probability.

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Va. Commonwealth Rams+160 → +163Moved
  • Moneyline · St. Marys-189 → -183Moved
  • Spread · Va. Commonwealth Rams+4 (-110) → +4 (-110)Unchanged
  • Spread · St. Marys-4 (-110) → -4 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Over122.5 (-110) → 123.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under122.5 (-110) → 123.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Va. Commonwealth Rams
26-7 matchup record · 7-3-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
St. Marys
ATS unavailable · O/U unavailable
Last 0 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-03-14T10:14:28.751Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Va. Commonwealth Rams and St. Marys, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2021-11-26Va. Commonwealth Rams 63 · UConn 70
Final result

Matchup pick recap

St. Marys defeated Va. Commonwealth Rams 63-51

St. Marys defeated Va. Commonwealth Rams 63-51 on March 17, 2023, a 12-point decision in the series. St. Marys' strongest period was the 2nd half, when it outscored its opponent 34-23. Against SportsJaw's recorded Va. Commonwealth Rams +4 (-110) spread, St. Marys covered, while the 114 combined points finished under the recorded total of 123.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • JtmcentireSpread · Va. Commonwealth Rams +4 (-110)Loss
  • RoycejacobsTotal · Under 123 (-110)Win
  • TgodfreySpread · St. Marys -4 (-110)Win
  • DerekFisherSpread · St. Marys -4 (-110)Win
  • GeorgewSpread · St. Marys -4 (-110)Win
  • CoolioSpread · Va. Commonwealth Rams +4 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioTotal · Over 122.5 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkSpread · St. Marys -4 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 122.5 (-110)Loss
  • CoversSpread · Va. Commonwealth Rams +4 (-110)Loss
  • Desert_DudeTotal · Over 122.5 (-110)Loss
  • KryptonMoneyline · St. Marys -181Win