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  1. Home
  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. NC State Wolfpack vs North Carolina Tar Heels
Sat 8:30 PM ET
NC State Wolfpack logo
NC State
Wolfpack84
19-14
versus
North Carolina Tar Heels logo
North Carolina
Tar Heels76
24-6
Final
Team12T
NC State Wolfpack394584
North Carolina Tar Heels403676
NCAAB · NC State Wolfpack at North Carolina Tar Heels

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NC State vs North Carolina Predictions

Game time: March 16, 2024 at 8:30 PM ET

Venue: Capital One Arena — Washington, DC

Article updated Mar 16, 10:35 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The NC State Wolfpack are traveling to play the North Carolina Tar Heels at the Capital One Arena stadium on Saturday, 3/16/2024 @ 8:30pm EST. North Carolina is the betting

Game outlook

The NC State Wolfpack are traveling to play the North Carolina Tar Heels at the Capital One Arena stadium on Saturday, 3/16/2024 @ 8:30pm EST. North Carolina is the betting favorite opening at -9 and the current line is North Carolina -10.

Wolfpack vs Tar Heels Prediction for Tonight's Game

Based on recent trends and stats, the Scorecaster predicts Tar Heels to win tonight's game by 20 points. This model factors in recent against the spread (ATS) trends and scoring which predicts the North Carolina Tar Heels to cover the 10 point spread and the total to go over 144.5 points.

PREDICTED SCORE: NC State 66 to North Carolina 86

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the NC State Wolfpack and North Carolina Tar Heels, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Curated Picks & Predictions

The SportsJaw community predicts NC State Wolfpack to cover the spread (58%)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that North Carolina will win straight-up is 85%.

From the lines set by Sportsbooks, they predict the score to be NCST 62.25, UNC 82.25.

OddsShark predicts North Carolina will win, cover the spread, and the total will go over.

63% picked NC State Wolfpack on Covers.com

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

NC State Key Betting Stats

With a power ranking of 257, NC State is ranked #104 in offense (scoring an average of 76.14 per game), #206 in defense (allowing an average of 72.60 points to be scored against them per game) and are 21-14 (16-18-1 ATS) this season.

Offensively, the Wolfpack hit an average of 44.68% of their field goals (ranked #175) and 73.25% of their free throws (ranked #115) and makes an average of 34.44% of their three pointers ranked #161 in the NCAAB). They average 35.11 rebounds per game (ranked # 188) and average 12.63 offensive assists and 9.54 turnovers per game (ranked # 221 and 15 respectively).

Defensively speaking, NC State allows an average of 44.60% field goals (ranked #233) and 73.04% free throws (ranked #266 in the NCAAB) The Wolfpack allow an average of 35.25% of the three pointers (ranked #288) and averages 36.00 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 36.00) Finally, the Wolfpack average 12.37 defensive assists and 12.54 turnovers per game (ranked # 132 and 123 respectively).

North Carolina Key Betting Stats

North Carolina Tar Heels has a power ranking of 43 and are #22 for offense (scoring an average of 81.64 per game), #108 for defense (giving up an average of 69.82 points per game) and 27-6 (19-14 ATS) overall. NC State went 2-1 (1-2 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against North Carolina.

For offense, the Tar Heels hit an average of 45.19% of their field goals (ranked #143) and 75.26% of their free throws (ranked #56) and makes an average of 35.74% of their three pointers (ranked #92 in the NCAAB). They average 41.24 rebounds per game (ranked # 7) and average 14.39 offensive assists and 10.36 turnovers per game (ranked # 100) and 58 respectively).

On defense, North Carolina allows an average of 40.35% field goals (ranked #16) and 74.34% free throws (ranked #318 in the NCAAB) The Tar Heels allow an average of 31.18% of the three pointers (ranked #39) and averages 33.76 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 33.76) Finally, the Tar Heels average 10.12 defensive assists and 10.70 turnovers per game (ranked # 10 and 289 respectively).

Betting Summary

NC State has a slight advantage in regards to ball control (factoring in rebounds and turnovers).

The Scorecaster model predicts the North Carolina Tar Heels to cover the 10 point spread and the total to go over 144.5 points.

Written by SportsJaw Staff Categorized as NCAAB Predictions

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#NCStateWolfpack#NorthCarolinaTarHeels

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Wolfpack vs Tar Heels archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Wolfpack vs Tar Heels matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · NC State Wolfpack+340 → +400Moved
  • Moneyline · North Carolina Tar Heels-440 → -530Moved
  • Spread · NC State Wolfpack+9 (-110) → +10 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · North Carolina Tar Heels-9 (-110) → -10 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over145.5 (-110) → 145.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under145.5 (-110) → 145.5 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

NC State Wolfpack
19-14 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
North Carolina Tar Heels
24-6 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-03-17T02:35:20.055Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the NC State Wolfpack and North Carolina Tar Heels, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-03-02NC State Wolfpack 70 · North Carolina Tar Heels 79
  • 2024-01-10North Carolina Tar Heels 67 · NC State Wolfpack 54
Final result

Matchup pick recap

NC State Wolfpack defeated North Carolina Tar Heels 84-76

NC State Wolfpack defeated North Carolina Tar Heels 84-76 on March 16, 2024, a 8-point decision in the series. NC State Wolfpack's strongest period was the 2nd half, when it outscored its opponent 45-36. Against SportsJaw's recorded NC State Wolfpack +10 (-110) spread, NC State Wolfpack covered, while the 160 combined points finished over the recorded total of 145.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • SfdanTotal · Under 145.5 (-110)Loss
  • ThetotalerSpread · NC State Wolfpack +10 (-110)Win
  • TjwinsSpread · NC State Wolfpack +10 (-110)Win
  • IrishblueSpread · NC State Wolfpack +10 (-110)Win