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  1. Home
  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. New Mexico Lobos vs Boise St. Broncos
Thu 11:30 PM ET
New Mexico Lobos logo
New Mexico
Lobos76
26-11
versus
Boise St. Broncos logo
Boise St.
Broncos66
20-12
Final
Team12T
New Mexico Lobos354176
Boise St. Broncos264066
NCAAB · New Mexico Lobos at Boise St. Broncos

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New Mexico Lobos vs Boise St. Broncos Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: March 14, 2024 at 11:30 PM ET

Venue: Thomas & Mack Center — Las Vegas, NV

Article updated Mar 14, 2:22 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The second day of the Mountain West Conference Tournament will conclude with a late night matchup between the 6-seed New Mexico Lobos and the 3-seed Boise State Broncos. New

Game outlook

The second day of the Mountain West Conference Tournament will conclude with a late night matchup between the 6-seed New Mexico Lobos and the 3-seed Boise State Broncos. New Mexico advanced to this game by defeating Air Force with a convincing 82-56 victory, while Boise State received a bye as the 3-seed. Boise State won both regular season matchups against New Mexico. Tipoff is scheduled for 11:30 EST at the Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas, and the game will be broadcast on CBSSN. Boise State is currently the betting favorite with a -1 opening line that has not moved.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Lobos +100 | Broncos -120

Spread: Lobos +1 (-110) | Broncos -1 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 153.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Boise St. will win straight-up is 55%.

New Mexico Lobos

New Mexico had a strong start to their season, easily defeating the 11-seed Air Force Falcons in their opening game. Led by JT Toppin, who received multiple postseason awards, the Lobos have a talented roster that has contributed to their impressive ranking of 32nd overall according to KenPom. They play at a fast pace and are currently on the bubble for a spot in the NCAA tournament. In terms of their statistics, New Mexico excels offensively but struggles defensively, allowing an average of 71.74 points per game. Despite their strong offensive numbers, their free throw percentage is lacking. With no injuries reported, the Lobos look poised to finish the season strong. 🏀 Highlights from @UNMLoboMBB ’s 82-56 win against Air Force in the opening round of #MWMadness #AtThePEAK | #GoLobos pic.twitter.com/BTt50xWK6O

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Boise St. Broncos Analysis

The Boise State Broncos swept their season series against New Mexico, winning by eight on the road and by ten at home. The team comes into the game well-rested and on a hot streak, winning six of their last seven games. Tyson Degenhart and O'Mar Stanley were both honored with All-Conference selections. Degenhart leads the team in scoring with 16.8 points per game, while Stanley contributes with 13.2 points and 6.5 rebounds per game. The team is ranked 39th overall and is projected to be an 8-seed in the NCAA Tournament. They have a strong defense and play at a slower pace compared to New Mexico. The Broncos have solid shooting percentages and rebounding stats. They are currently 22-9 overall. No injuries are reported for the team. Additionally, online sportsbooks offer generous bonus codes to increase potential winnings. DON’T COUNT US OUT pic.twitter.com/JSyA0I6cKP

New Mexico Favored by Vegas in Close Matchup Against Boise State

At the current publishing time, New Mexico is favored by only one point on the spread, making them a valuable option on the moneyline. This indicates that Vegas anticipates a closely contested 3-6 matchup, with the 3-seed not being a strong favorite. KenPom's analytical model also supports this view, ranking New Mexico higher at 32nd overall compared to Boise State's 39th ranking. Despite facing some injuries throughout the season, New Mexico's players like Mashburn have returned and are contributing strongly, with multiple scoring guards in House, Dent, and Mashburn. Toppin is also developing as a rim defender and finisher inside. New Mexico's recent victory over Air Force has given them momentum heading into this game, while Boise State may face challenges after waiting for this matchup. Although Boise State is likely to secure a spot in the Big Dance, New Mexico's need for a strong performance may drive them to excel in this game. It is recommended to take New Mexico for the win.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#NewMexicoLobos#BoiseStBroncos

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Lobos vs Broncos archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Lobos vs Broncos matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · New Mexico Lobos+100 → -120Moved
  • Moneyline · Boise St. Broncos-120 → +100Moved
  • Spread · New Mexico Lobos+1 (-110) → -1 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Boise St. Broncos-1 (-110) → +1 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over153.5 (-110) → 153.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under153.5 (-110) → 153.5 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

New Mexico Lobos
26-11 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 7-3-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Boise St. Broncos
20-12 matchup record · 7-3-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-03-14T18:22:18.540Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

New Mexico had a strong start to their season, easily defeating the 11-seed Air Force Falcons in their opening game. Led by JT Toppin, who received multiple postseason awards, the Lobos have a talented roster that has contributed to their impressive ranking of 32nd overall according to KenPom. They play at a fast pace and are currently on the bubble for a spot in the NCAA tournament. In terms of their statistics, New Mexico excels offensively but struggles defensively, allowing an average of 71.74 points per game. Despite their strong offensive numbers, their free throw percentage is lacking. With no injuries reported, the Lobos look poised to finish the season strong. 🏀 Highlights from @UNMLoboMBB ’s 82-56 win against Air Force in the opening round of #MWMadness #AtThePEAK | #GoLobos pic.twitter.com/BTt50xWK6O

The Boise State Broncos swept their season series against New Mexico, winning by eight on the road and by ten at home. The team comes into the game well-rested and on a hot streak, winning six of their last seven games. Tyson Degenhart and O'Mar Stanley were both honored with All-Conference selections. Degenhart leads the team in scoring with 16.8 points per game, while Stanley contributes with 13.2 points and 6.5 rebounds per game. The team is ranked 39th overall and is projected to be an 8-seed in the NCAA Tournament. They have a strong defense and play at a slower pace compared to New Mexico. The Broncos have solid shooting percentages and rebounding stats. They are currently 22-9 overall. No injuries are reported for the team. Additionally, online sportsbooks offer generous bonus codes to increase potential winnings. DON’T COUNT US OUT pic.twitter.com/JSyA0I6cKP

At the current publishing time, New Mexico is favored by only one point on the spread, making them a valuable option on the moneyline. This indicates that Vegas anticipates a closely contested 3-6 matchup, with the 3-seed not being a strong favorite. KenPom's analytical model also supports this view, ranking New Mexico higher at 32nd overall compared to Boise State's 39th ranking. Despite facing some injuries throughout the season, New Mexico's players like Mashburn have returned and are contributing strongly, with multiple scoring guards in House, Dent, and Mashburn. Toppin is also developing as a rim defender and finisher inside. New Mexico's recent victory over Air Force has given them momentum heading into this game, while Boise State may face challenges after waiting for this matchup. Although Boise State is likely to secure a spot in the Big Dance, New Mexico's need for a strong performance may drive them to excel in this game. It is recommended to take New Mexico for the win.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-03-02New Mexico Lobos 79 · Boise St. Broncos 89
  • 2024-01-31Boise St. Broncos 86 · New Mexico Lobos 78
Final result

Matchup pick recap

New Mexico Lobos defeated Boise St. Broncos 76-66

New Mexico Lobos defeated Boise St. Broncos 76-66 on March 14, 2024, a 10-point decision in the series. New Mexico Lobos' strongest period was the 1st half, when it outscored its opponent 35-26. Against SportsJaw's recorded New Mexico Lobos -1 (-110) spread, New Mexico Lobos covered, while the 142 combined points finished under the recorded total of 153.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • StevehSpread · New Mexico Lobos +1 (-110)Win
  • Sarah_MillerSpread · New Mexico Lobos +1 (-110)Win
  • MikeVargasSpread · New Mexico Lobos +1 (-110)Win
  • Roderick806Spread · Boise St. Broncos -1 (-110)Loss
  • IrishblueSpread · Boise St. Broncos -1 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioSpread · New Mexico Lobos +1 (-110)Win
  • CoolioTotal · Under 153.5 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkSpread · New Mexico Lobos +1 (-110)Win
  • CoversSpread · Boise St. Broncos -1 (-110)Loss