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  3. Air Force Falcons vs New Mexico Lobos
Wed 7:00 PM ET
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Falcons56
8-21
versus
New Mexico Lobos logo
New Mexico
Lobos82
20-9
Final
Team12T
Air Force Falcons302656
New Mexico Lobos493382
NCAAB · Air Force Falcons at New Mexico Lobos

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New Mexico Lobos Favored to Win Against Air Force Falcons in Mountain West Conference Tournament Matchup

Game time: March 13, 2024 at 7:00 PM ET

Venue: Thomas & Mack Center — Las Vegas, NV

Article updated Mar 12, 10:21 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

In the Mountain West Conference tournament, the New Mexico Lobos and Air Force Falcons will face off in the third game of round 1. The Lobos won the first game in Colorado

Game outlook

In the Mountain West Conference tournament, the New Mexico Lobos and Air Force Falcons will face off in the third game of round 1. The Lobos won the first game in Colorado while the Falcons triumphed at The Pit in their most recent matchup. The Lobos hold a slight advantage in the series, but the Falcons have been successful in recent games. The game is scheduled for 4 PM PST on March 13 in Las Vegas, with New Mexico favored to win by 14 points according to betting odds.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Falcons +725 | Lobos -1,300

Spread: Falcons +14 (-110) | Lobos -14 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 144 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that New Mexico will win straight-up is 93%.

Air Force Falcons

The Air Force Falcons had a challenging season, finishing 2-16 in the Mountain West conference as the bottom 11 seed. Despite their struggles, the Falcons managed to secure two impressive wins on the road against tough opponents. They finished the season on a 4-game losing streak and have covered the spread in 3 of their last 5 games. Overall, Air Force has a 10-20 record against the spread and has been profitable to the over, with a 21/9 split including a 10-game streak mid-conference play. The team averages 66.5 points per game while allowing 72, with leading scorers Rytis Petraitis and Beau Becker scoring 15.2 and 14 points respectively. Air Force excels at shooting three-pointers, with a 36.5% success rate, but struggles with free throws at 68.2%. Defensively, the team allows opponents to shoot 47.47% from the field and 74.36% from the free-throw line. Despite their challenges, the Falcons have shown determination and resilience throughout the season. Rytis making it happen pic.twitter.com/XNaRR3I5UJ

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

New Mexico Lobos Analysis

The New Mexico Lobos have had a successful season, finishing with a 10-8 record in the Mountain West Conference as the 6th seed. Led by strong guard play, the team has key wins against SDSU, Utah State, and Nevada. However, they have lost 3 of their last 4 games, including a home game against Air Force. ESPN's Bracketology has them on the bubble for the NCAA tournament. Despite early injuries to key players, the guards have returned to lead the team in scoring. The Lobos are averaging 82.6 points per game while allowing 71.7, with a winning margin of 10.9 points. They have improved their free throw shooting and are efficient in multiple categories. The team is ranked 18th in offense and 170th in defense. Air Force has a 1-2 record against New Mexico in their last 3 matchups. The Lobos' statistics show they are strong in field goal percentage, rebounding, and defensive three-point shooting. They will need a strong showing in the conference tournament to secure a spot in the NCAA tournament.

New Mexico Lobos Show Resilience and Strength Heading into Game Against Air Force

The Lobos completed their regular season with a series of intense and challenging games that tested the team's capabilities. Despite moments of frustration, they persevered until their final game against conference 1-seed, Utah State, where they narrowly lost by one possession. The team has demonstrated a consistent and resilient performance, even when faced with the demanding prospect of playing four games in four days during the Mountain West tournament. In their upcoming game against Air Force, New Mexico's strength lies in their defense against the opposing team's 3-point shooting, as well as their efficiency in the paint. With a favorable 24-point spread in adjusted efficiency margin on KenPom, the Lobos are positioned to cover the -13 point line. Therefore, it is advisable to support New Mexico in this matchup.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

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Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#AirForceFalcons#NewMexicoLobos

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Falcons vs Lobos archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Falcons vs Lobos matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Air Force Falcons+725 → +776Moved
  • Moneyline · New Mexico Lobos-1,300 → -1,430Moved
  • Spread · Air Force Falcons+14 (-110) → +14.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · New Mexico Lobos-14 (-110) → -14.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over144 (-110) → 144 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under144 (-110) → 144 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

Air Force Falcons
8-21 matchup record · 3-7-0 ATS · 7-3-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
New Mexico Lobos
20-9 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 8-2-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-03-13T02:21:42.252Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

The New Mexico Lobos have had a successful season, finishing with a 10-8 record in the Mountain West Conference as the 6th seed. Led by strong guard play, the team has key wins against SDSU, Utah State, and Nevada. However, they have lost 3 of their last 4 games, including a home game against Air Force. ESPN's Bracketology has them on the bubble for the NCAA tournament. Despite early injuries to key players, the guards have returned to lead the team in scoring. The Lobos are averaging 82.6 points per game while allowing 71.7, with a winning margin of 10.9 points. They have improved their free throw shooting and are efficient in multiple categories. The team is ranked 18th in offense and 170th in defense. Air Force has a 1-2 record against New Mexico in their last 3 matchups. The Lobos' statistics show they are strong in field goal percentage, rebounding, and defensive three-point shooting. They will need a strong showing in the conference tournament to secure a spot in the NCAA tournament.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-02-24Air Force Falcons 78 · New Mexico Lobos 77
  • 2024-01-20New Mexico Lobos 85 · Air Force Falcons 66
Final result

Matchup pick recap

New Mexico Lobos defeated Air Force Falcons 82-56

New Mexico Lobos defeated Air Force Falcons 82-56 on March 13, 2024, a 26-point decision in the series. New Mexico Lobos' strongest period was the 1st half, when it outscored its opponent 49-30. Against SportsJaw's recorded Air Force Falcons +14.5 (-110) spread, New Mexico Lobos covered, while the 138 combined points finished under the recorded total of 144.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • AdrianMariucciSpread · Air Force Falcons +14 (-110)Loss
  • MickeytTotal · Under 144.5 (-110)Win
  • BillywatersTotal · Under 144.5 (-110)Win
  • DtownsendSpread · New Mexico Lobos -15 (-110)Win