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NCAAB PicksThu 8:00 PM ET
Arkansas St. Red Wolves logo
Arkansas St.
Red Wolves62
20-12
versus
TE
Texas State66
Final
Team12T
Arkansas St. Red Wolves303262
Texas State333366
NCAAB · Arkansas St. Red Wolves at Texas State

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Arkansas St. Red Wolves vs Texas State Predictions February 9, 2023

Game time: February 9, 2023 at 8:00 PM ET

Venue: Strahan Arena at the University Events Center — San Marcos, TX

Article updated Feb 8, 2:14 PM EST

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Arkansas St. Red Wolves are traveling to play the Texas State at the Strahan Coliseum stadium on Thursday, 2/9/2023 @ 8:00pm EST. Texas State is the betting favorite

Game outlook

The Arkansas St. Red Wolves are traveling to play the Texas State at the Strahan Coliseum stadium on Thursday, 2/9/2023 @ 8:00pm EST. Texas State is the betting favorite opening at -7.5 and the line hasn't moved.

Red Wolves vs Bobcats Prediction for Tonight's Game

Based on recent trends and stats, the Scorecaster predicts Bobcats to win tonight's game by 10 points. This model factors in recent against the spread (ATS) trends and scoring which predicts the Texas State to cover the 7 point spread and the total to go over 122.5 points.

PREDICTED SCORE: Arkansas St. 66 to Texas State 76

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Arkansas St. Red Wolves and Texas State, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Curated Picks & Predictions

51% of SportsJaw predicts Texas State to cover the spread.

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Texas State will win straight-up is 77%.

From the lines set by Sportsbooks, they predict the score to be ARKST 53.75, TXST 68.75.

OddsShark predicts Texas State will win, arkansas state will cover, and the total will go over.

split down the middle on Covers.com

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Arkansas St. Key Betting Stats

With a power ranking of 264, Arkansas St. is ranked #333 in offense (scoring an average of 65.04 per game), #134 in defense (allowing an average of 67.75 points to be scored against them per game) and are 10-15 (7-14-1 ATS) this season.

Offensively, the Red Wolves hit an average of 42.95% of their field goals (ranked #271) and 66.50% of their free throws (ranked #317) and makes an average of 33.73% of their three pointers ranked #209 in the NCAAB). They average 34.33 rebounds per game (ranked # 226) and average 13.63 offensive assists and 12.38 turnovers per game (ranked # 148 and 158 respectively).

Defensively speaking, Arkansas St. allows an average of 44.16% field goals (ranked #229) and 73.24% free throws (ranked #286 in the NCAAB) The Red Wolves allow an average of 38.67% of the three pointers (ranked #358) and averages 32.83 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 32.83) Finally, the Red Wolves average 11.96 defensive assists and 12.00 turnovers per game (ranked # 130 and 261 respectively).

Texas State Key Betting Stats

Texas State has a power ranking of 317 and are #336 for offense (scoring an average of 64.46 per game), #71 for defense (giving up an average of 65.75 points per game) and 11-14 (8-13-1 ATS) overall. Arkansas St. went 2-1 (1-1-1 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against Texas State.

For offense, the Bobcats hit an average of 42.69% of their field goals (ranked #285) and 70.33% of their free throws (ranked #214) and makes an average of 29.38% of their three pointers (ranked #347 in the NCAAB). They average 33.08 rebounds per game (ranked # 279) and average 9.79 offensive assists and 12.17 turnovers per game (ranked # 358) and 130 respectively).

On defense, Texas State allows an average of 44.34% field goals (ranked #244) and 69.94% free throws (ranked #123 in the NCAAB) The Bobcats allow an average of 35.08% of the three pointers (ranked #271) and averages 31.29 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 31.29) Finally, the Bobcats average 11.00 defensive assists and 13.13 turnovers per game (ranked # 59 and 162 respectively).

Betting Summary

Texas State has a slight advantage in regards to ball control (factoring in rebounds and turnovers).

The Scorecaster model predicts the Texas State to cover the 7 point spread and the total to go over 122.5 points.

For the best predictions available, make sure to checkout the best bets made by our certified NCAAB experts.

Written by SportsJaw Staff Categorized as NCAAB Predictions

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

SportsJaw Red Wolves vs Texas State archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Crowd vs qualified handicappers

No qualifying consensus sample is available yet.

Qualified handicappers need at least 20 graded picks and a 52.5% win rate. A market needs at least three current qualified picks. Selection share is not a win probability.

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Arkansas St. Red Wolves+315 → +265Moved
  • Moneyline · Texas State-345 → -330Moved
  • Spread · Arkansas St. Red Wolves+7.5 (-110) → +7.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Spread · Texas State-7.5 (-110) → -7.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Over123.5 (-110) → 122.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under123.5 (-110) → 122.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Arkansas St. Red Wolves
20-12 matchup record · 2-8-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Texas State
ATS unavailable · O/U unavailable
Last 0 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-02-08T19:14:47.574Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Arkansas St. Red Wolves and Texas State, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-01-12Texas State 61 · Arkansas St. Red Wolves 58
  • 2022-02-17Arkansas St. Red Wolves 67 · Texas State 84
  • 2022-01-22Texas State 60 · Arkansas St. Red Wolves 67
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Texas State defeated Arkansas St. Red Wolves 66-62

Texas State defeated Arkansas St. Red Wolves 66-62 on February 9, 2023, a 4-point decision in the series. Texas State's strongest period was the 1st half, when it outscored its opponent 33-30. Against SportsJaw's recorded Arkansas St. Red Wolves +7.5 (-110) spread, Arkansas St. Red Wolves covered, while the 128 combined points finished over the recorded total of 122.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • TgodfreySpread · Texas State -7.5 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioSpread · Arkansas St. Red Wolves +7.5 (-110)Win
  • CoolioTotal · Over 122.5 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkSpread · Arkansas St. Red Wolves +7.5 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 122.5 (-110)Win
  • CoversSpread · Texas State -7.5 (-110)Loss