St. Marys vs
Oregon St. BeaversPredictions & Preview

In-Depth Analysis and Prediction for Saint Mary's vs Oregon State Clash in WCC Matchup

In an upcoming WCC clash, 20-4 Saint Mary's will take on 17-7 Oregon State. This prediction covers the matchup between the Saint Mary's Gaels and Oregon State Beavers, with both teams coming off recent games. Saint Mary's suffered their first conference loss to San Francisco, while Oregon State defeated Washington State. The game is set for 7 PM PST at Gill Coliseum on Saturday, February 8. Saint Mary's is the betting favorite with a -4.5 opening line that has not moved. Stay tuned for more analysis on this game and other Saturday matchups on our free picks page.

Betting Odds

• Moneyline: -192 | Beavers +160
• Spread: -4.5 (-110) | Beavers +4.5 (-110)
• Total: Over/Under 129.5 (-110)
• Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that St. Marys will win straight-up is 66%.

St. Marys vs Oregon St. Stats

St. Marys

The Saint Mary's Gaels suffered their first conference loss of the season against the Dons, with a final score of 65-64. Despite this setback, they still maintain a strong position in the WCC with a 20-4 record overall and 10-1 in conference play. The loss to San Francisco has opened up some possibilities for the regular season conference title, although the team is still in the driver's seat. The Gaels are ranked 24th in the Net rankings and have a 3-2 record in Quad 1 games. They struggled with their three-point shooting in the game against the Dons, and their free throw shooting has been sub-par throughout the season. St. Mary's is known for their defensive-minded, slow-paced style of play and are led by Augustus Marciulionis and Paulius Murauskas as their top scorers. They have a strong rebounding presence and are ranked 23rd overall by KenPom with an adjusted efficiency margin of +22.33. Offensively, they are ranked 161st, scoring an average of 75.13 points per game, and defensively they are 7th, allowing an average of 61.00 points per game.

Oregon St. Beavers Analysis

The Oregon State Beavers have had a successful season so far, with a record of 17-7 and sitting 5th in the WCC at 6-4. They are coming off a strong 82-74 victory over Washington State, covering the 6-point spread and bringing their ATS record to 17-6. The team has covered in five of their last seven games and eight consecutive games have gone over. Leading scorer Michael Rataj had an impressive performance, putting up 21 points in the game. The Beavers shot efficiently from the field and free throw line, which contributed to their victory. Overall, they average 77.7 points per game and have a positive margin of 10.5 points. They excel in shooting from the field and three-point range, as well as in assists and turnovers. Defensively, they have solid numbers in field goal percentage allowed and rebounding. The team has a power ranking of 277 and ranks #92 for offense and #61 for defense. Oregon State is a strong team with a solid overall performance this season.

Saint Mary’s Looks to Bounce Back Against Oregon State with Strong Defense

Saint Mary’s has demonstrated strong performance in the WCC and will use their recent loss to San Francisco as an opportunity to regroup and refocus as they approach the post-season. Although USF is a formidable opponent, they are closely matched with Saint Mary’s and Gonzaga in terms of performance. Oregon State has also shown efficiency in WCC games, but struggles against top-tier teams. The key factor in this upcoming matchup will be Saint Mary’s highly effective defense, which poses a significant challenge for Oregon State. With a high rate of turnovers in recent games, Oregon State may struggle against Saint Mary’s disruptive defensive tactics. Additionally, Oregon State’s weakness on the boards could prove problematic against Saint Mary’s strong offensive rebounding capabilities. Based on KenPom’s adjusted efficiency rating favoring Saint Mary’s, it appears that there is value in betting on the Gael’s to cover the spread in this game. Therefore, it is recommended to bet on Saint Mary’s to cover the 4-point spread on the road.

Sources: