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  1. Home
  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. Cal Poly Mustangs vs CSU Northridge Matadors
Thu 10:00 PM ET
Cal Poly Mustangs logo
Cal Poly
Mustangs65
3-19
versus
CSU Northridge Matadors logo
CSU Northridge
Matadors78
10-8
Final
Team12T
Cal Poly Mustangs303565
CSU Northridge Matadors334578
NCAAB · Cal Poly Mustangs at CSU Northridge Matadors

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CSU Northridge Looks to Extend Winning Streak Against Struggling Cal Poly Mustangs

Game time: February 8, 2024 at 10:00 PM ET

Venue: Premier America Credit Union Arena — Northridge, CA

Article updated Feb 7, 10:36 PM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

In a highly anticipated Big West matchup, the Cal Poly SLO Mustangs and Cal State Northridge Matadors will face off on Thursday night. The Mustangs have struggled this

Game outlook

In a highly anticipated Big West matchup, the Cal Poly SLO Mustangs and Cal State Northridge Matadors will face off on Thursday night. The Mustangs have struggled this season, suffering their eleventh consecutive conference loss in their previous game against UC Davis. However, they managed to cover the 9.5-point spread. The Matadors, on the other hand, ended their five-game losing streak by staging a comeback victory against UC Riverside. The game will be televised on ESPN+ at 10 p.m. ET from the Premier America Credit Union Arena. CSU Northridge is currently favored by 8.5 points, and the betting line has not changed.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Mustangs +340 | Matadors -460

Spread: Mustangs +8.5 (-110) | Matadors -8.5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 140 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that CSU Northridge will win straight-up is 82%.

Cal Poly Mustangs

The 2023-2,024 season for the Cal Poly SLO Mustangs basketball team has been a disappointment, particularly in terms of offensive performance. The team ranks 333rd overall in the Pomeroy Ratings, with their adjusted offensive efficiency rating placing them at 349th, averaging a mere 0.935 points per possession. Cal Poly SLO has struggled to score consistently, shooting 40 percent from the field and 31.4 percent from beyond the arc. Additionally, their turnover percentage ranks 293rd, resulting in an average of 12.8 turnovers per game. In their most recent games, the team's turnovers have increased to 15.0 per game. Despite ranking higher in defense at 218th, the team has a power ranking of 289 and an overall record of 4-19. Offensively, they hit an average of 40.26 percent of their field goals and 70.44 percent of their free throws. They make an average of 31.43 percent of their three-pointers and average 32.36 rebounds per game. Defensively, they allow an average of 45.03 percent of field goals and 71.70 percent of free throws. They also allow an average of 33.24 percent of three-pointers and average 38.91 defensive rebounds per game.

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CSU Northridge Matadors Analysis

The CSU Northridge Matadors started their conference play with a strong win, but have struggled since then, winning only one game in their next seven attempts. This has put them below average in the conference, with little chance of winning the regular season title. Their performance in both offense and defense has been below average, according to the Torvik conference-only metric rankings. They currently rank ninth in both adjusted offensive and defensive rankings, despite having the fifth easiest schedule strength in the conference. Their remaining schedule also poses a challenge, as it is ranked third in terms of difficulty. Overall, the Matadors have a power ranking of 340 and are ranked 123rd in offense, scoring an average of 76.27 points per game, and 224th in defense, allowing an average of 73.23 points per game. In terms of shooting, they make 45.42% of their field goals, 67.79% of their free throws, and 31.38% of their three-pointers. They also average 41.45 rebounds per game and 13.68 offensive assists. On defense, they allow opponents to make 40.47% of their field goals and 71.82% of their free throws. They also allow opponents to make 32.17% of their three-pointers and average 33.73 defensive rebounds per game. Additionally, the Matadors average 14.14 defensive assists and 13.50 turnovers per game. DAGGER. @iBostickDionte knocks down the triple from the wing and CSUN leads by 10 with just over two minutes to play. #GoMatadors pic.twitter.com/DlcFM2VinX

Northridge Dominates Cal Poly in Rematch, Securing a Victory

The two teams met earlier this season, resulting in a victory for Northridge with a score of 83-73. Despite some defensive challenges in containing Sanders, who scored 33 points, Northridge was able to limit the Mustangs to a 40 percent shooting overall and a dismal 2-of-16 performance from beyond the arc. On the offensive end, Northridge thrived against Cal Poly's weak defense, with four players reaching double-digits and Dionte Bostick leading the way with 22 points. In terms of shooting efficiency, Northridge attempted only six 3-point shots but still managed to shoot 48 percent from the field. Cal Poly has struggled defensively near the basket, ranking last in Close Twos defense, which plays to Northridge's advantage as they excel in this area. Given the home court advantage and the likelihood of Northridge dominating in close quarters, I recommend betting on the home team and expecting a complete sweep by Northridge.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#CalPolyMustangs#CSUNorthridgeMatadors

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Mustangs vs Matadors archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Mustangs vs Matadors matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Cal Poly Mustangs+340 → +428Moved
  • Moneyline · CSU Northridge Matadors-460 → -585Moved
  • Spread · Cal Poly Mustangs+8.5 (-110) → +10.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · CSU Northridge Matadors-8.5 (-110) → -10.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over140 (-110) → 141.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under140 (-110) → 141.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Cal Poly Mustangs
3-19 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 3-7-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
CSU Northridge Matadors
10-8 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 3-6-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-02-08T03:36:18.002Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-12-28CSU Northridge Matadors 83 · Cal Poly Mustangs 73
  • 2023-02-11Cal Poly Mustangs 53 · CSU Northridge Matadors 64
Final result

Matchup pick recap

CSU Northridge Matadors defeated Cal Poly Mustangs 78-65

CSU Northridge Matadors defeated Cal Poly Mustangs 78-65 on February 8, 2024, a 13-point decision in the series. CSU Northridge Matadors' strongest period was the 2nd half, when it outscored its opponent 45-35. Against SportsJaw's recorded Cal Poly Mustangs +10.5 (-110) spread, CSU Northridge Matadors covered, while the 143 combined points finished over the recorded total of 141.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • Leadpipe_LocksSpread · Cal Poly Mustangs +8.5 (-110)Loss
  • SfdanSpread · Cal Poly Mustangs +8.5 (-110)Loss
  • GustavosintoSpread · CSU Northridge Matadors -8.5 (-110)Win
  • KrockpicksSpread · CSU Northridge Matadors -8.5 (-110)Win
  • AdrianMariucciSpread · Cal Poly Mustangs +8.5 (-110)Loss
  • Drew_WestcottSpread · CSU Northridge Matadors -8.75 (-110)Win
  • TgodfreyTotal · Under 141.5 (-110)Loss
  • MaddogSpread · Cal Poly Mustangs +8.5 (-110)Loss