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NCAAB PicksTue 11:00 PM ET
ST
St. Marys84
versus
Pacific Tigers logo
Pacific
Tigers43
18-15
Final
Team12T
St. Marys374784
Pacific Tigers192443
NCAAB · St. Marys at Pacific Tigers

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St. Marys vs Pacific Tigers Predictions February 6, 2024

Game time: February 6, 2024 at 11:00 PM ET

Venue: Alex G. Spanos Center — Stockton, CA

Article updated Feb 6, 6:23 AM EST

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

In this content, the focus is on an upcoming Big Ten basketball game between the Michigan State Spartans and the Minnesota Golden Gophers. The article highlights the

Game outlook

In this content, the focus is on an upcoming Big Ten basketball game between the Michigan State Spartans and the Minnesota Golden Gophers. The article highlights the competitive nature of Big Ten basketball and mentions that Williams Arena will be hosting the game. The two teams have similar records, and the Golden Gophers are seeking revenge for their previous loss to the Spartans. The article concludes by mentioning that St. Marys is the betting favorite with a -21.5 opening line that has not moved.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: -3,500 | Tigers +1,175

Spread: -21.5 (-110) | Tigers +21.5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 129.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that St. Marys will win straight-up is 97%.

St. Marys

Michigan State has struggled on the road this season, with a record of 1-4 and allowing their opponents to score an average of 75.2 points per game. Despite having a strong defense overall, their defensive performance on the road has been subpar, allowing teams to shoot 48.0% from the field and 37.7% from three-point range. Offensively, Michigan State's scoring has also dipped when playing away games, shooting 43.5% from the field and averaging 67.8 points per game. Although they have seen slight improvements in their three-point shooting and free throw percentage on the road, these have not been enough to overcome their road woes. Meanwhile, St. Mary's has a power ranking of 8 and a record of 18-6 for the season. Their offense scores an average of 72.54 points per game, shooting 45.43% from the field and 68.56% from the free-throw line. Their three-point shooting percentage is at 32.50%. Defensively, St. Mary's allows an average of 58.54 points per game and holds their opponents to a field goal percentage of 39.09% and a three-point shooting percentage of 31.13%. They average 39.58 rebounds per game and have a positive rebounding margin. Their offensive assists and turnovers per game are ranked at 15.33 and 10.46, respectively, while their defensive assists and turnovers per game are ranked at 9.46 and 11.71, respectively. AJ threw it up, @Coencarr2 threw it down ❕ pic.twitter.com/rQG7o2NRIw

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Pacific Tigers Analysis

Minnesota has won their past two games, bringing their conference record to .500. They now have another home game to test their 12-3 record. The Golden Gophers have a strong defensive performance, holding opponents to an average of 68.2 points per game. Their opponents shoot 42.4% from the floor and 33.7% from beyond the arc, as well as attempting 16.7 free throws per game. Minnesota has a positive rebounding differential of +4.0 but a negative turnover differential of -0.8. Turnovers were a problem for them in their previous game, forcing only five. The question is whether they can put up more resistance this time. On the offensive end, Minnesota averages 76.5 points per game and hits 47.7% of their field goals. They shoot 33.8% from deep and 68.2% at the free throw line. The team takes an average of 20.1 trips to the charity stripe per game. Dawson Garcia had the highest scoring game in their previous matchup with 22 points. Pacfic Tigers, on the other hand, have a low power ranking of 353 with a record of 18-15. They rank #341 for offense and #305 for defense. Their field goal percentage is 41.97% and they shoot 63.46% from the free throw line. They make an average of 31.51% of their three-pointers. The Tigers average 27.33 rebounds per game and have 13.63 offensive assists and 12.17 turnovers per game. Defensively, Pacific allows opponents to shoot 47.33% from the field and 72.10% from the free throw line. They give up an average of 34.59% from beyond the arc and average 36.63 defensive rebounds per game. They also have 13.54 defensive assists and 12.46 turnovers per game.

University of Minnesota's Home Court Advantage puts them in a Strong Position against Michigan State

The University of Minnesota's men's basketball team, known as the Golden Gophers, has demonstrated exceptional performance on their home court at Williams Arena. With just one loss against the spread, their ability to consistently deliver strong results is evident. On the other hand, Michigan State University's team has faced significant challenges on the road throughout the season, struggling to maintain a cohesive performance away from their home court. Considering these factors, it is reasonable to anticipate that Minnesota will put up a formidable fight in this game, likely keeping the score within close proximity. This prediction is further reinforced by Michigan State's defensive statistics, showing an average of 75.2 points allowed on 48.0% shooting when playing as the visiting team. Moreover, their offensive performance also suffers on the road, with just 67.8 points scored on 43.5% shooting. Hence, it would be wise to question the likelihood of Michigan State's success in an away game, leading us to recommend investing in Minnesota's strong home advantage. While a definitive victory for Minnesota cannot be assured, it is reasonable to expect them to keep the margin within three points.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

SportsJaw St. Marys vs Tigers archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Crowd vs qualified handicappers

No qualifying consensus sample is available yet.

Qualified handicappers need at least 20 graded picks and a 52.5% win rate. A market needs at least three current qualified picks. Selection share is not a win probability.

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · St. Marys-5,000 → -2,998Moved
  • Moneyline · Pacific Tigers+1,300 → +1,200Moved
  • Spread · St. Marys-21.5 (-110) → -20 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Pacific Tigers+21.5 (-110) → +20 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over129.5 (-110) → 129.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under129.5 (-110) → 129.5 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

St. Marys
ATS unavailable · O/U unavailable
Last 0 completed games on file
Pacific Tigers
18-15 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-02-06T11:23:04.573Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-01-25Pacific Tigers 28 · St. Marys 76
  • 2023-02-23Pacific Tigers 52 · St. Marys 83
Final result

Matchup pick recap

St. Marys defeated Pacific Tigers 84-43

St. Marys defeated Pacific Tigers 84-43 on February 6, 2024, a 41-point decision in the series. St. Marys' strongest period was the 2nd half, when it outscored its opponent 47-24. Against SportsJaw's recorded St. Marys -20 (-110) spread, St. Marys covered, while the 127 combined points finished under the recorded total of 129.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • DerekFisherSpread · Pacific Tigers +21.5 (-110)Loss
  • Drew_WestcottTotal · Over 129.5 (-110)Loss
  • SfdanSpread · Pacific Tigers +21.5 (-110)Loss
  • CoversSpread · Pacific Tigers +21.5 (-110)Loss
  • RcSpread · Pacific Tigers +21.5 (-110)Loss
  • Josh720Spread · Pacific Tigers +21.5 (-110)Loss
  • JohnTharpMoneyline · St. Marys -3,500Win
  • CoolioSpread · St. Marys -20 (-110)Win
  • CoolioTotal · Over 129.5 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkSpread · St. Marys -20 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 129.5 (-110)Loss