Colorado St. Rams vs
New Mexico LobosPredictions & Preview

New Mexico Lobos Look to Maintain Winning Streak in Mountain West Conference Showdown Against Colorado State Rams

In a crucial Mountain West Conference matchup, the New Mexico Lobos (18-4, 10-1 MW) will host the Colorado State Rams (14-7, 8-2 MW) at The Pit. New Mexico aims to extend their four-game winning streak, while Colorado State seeks revenge for their previous loss to the Lobos. New Mexico is the betting favorite, opening at -9 with the current line at New Mexico -8.5. Stay tuned for our New Mexico vs Colorado State prediction.

Betting Odds

• Moneyline: Rams +324 | Lobos -425
• Spread: Rams +8.5 (-110) | Lobos -8.5 (-110)
• Total: Over/Under 149.75 (-110)
• Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that New Mexico will win straight-up is 81%.

Colorado St. vs New Mexico Stats

Colorado St. Rams

The Colorado State Rams have been on a winning streak, winning seven of their last eight games and going 6-2 ATS. Their most recent victory was a dominant 79-58 win over Air Force, marking their fourth consecutive win. The Rams are currently ranked 73rd overall by KenPom, with a strong defensive rating of 63rd and an offensive rating of 95th. Offensively, the Rams are efficient, ranking 16th nationally in free-throw percentage at 78.4% and 73rd in field goal percentage at 47%. They average 74 points per game, with Nique Clifford leading the team in all major statistical categories. Jalen Lake also contributes with 12.7 points per game. Defensively, the Rams allow an average of 67.81 points per game and rank 73rd overall. They allow 41.71% field goals and 68.02% free throws, while also averaging 33.29 defensive rebounds per game. Overall, Colorado State has a power ranking of 100 and is ranked 192 in offense and 73rd in defense, with a record of 14-7 (10-11 ATS) this season.

New Mexico Lobos Analysis

The New Mexico Lobos are currently on a four-game winning streak, highlighted by a dominant road victory over Utah State. With a KenPom ranking of 41st, the Lobos possess a strong defense ranked 30th nationally and an offense ranked 75th. They have a record of 11-10 ATS this season and are currently projected to be a 10th seed in the NCAA Tournament according to Joe Lunardi's ESPN Bracketology. Their impressive resume includes non-conference wins over USC, UCLA, and VCU.

Offensively, the Lobos are averaging 83.4 points per game and shooting 46.2% from the field. However, their free-throw shooting percentage of 68.9% is a concern. Donovan Dent leads the team with 19.4 points and 6.6 assists per game, while Nelly Junior Joseph averages a double-double with 13.5 points and 10.5 rebounds. On defense, the Lobos are allowing 42.67% field goals and 64.44% free throws, while also averaging 36.14 defensive rebounds per game. Despite some weaknesses, the Lobos have shown significant strength and potential in their recent performances.

New Mexico Lobos Dominate at The Pit, Ready to Face Colorado State as Road Struggles Continue

The Lobos have displayed exceptional performance, particularly when playing at home. New Mexico currently holds an impeccable 5-0 record in conference games held at The Pit, achieving convincing victories over Fresno State (by a 28-point margin), Boise State (by 19 points), and San Diego State (by 14 points). Conversely, Colorado State has faced challenges as a road underdog, failing to meet the spread in two out of three instances this season. Given the Rams' offensive struggles on the road, it is likely they will have difficulty keeping up with the Lobos' powerful offense in a hostile environment. Therefore, I am electing to support New Mexico in this matchup.

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