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Troy Trojans452368
NCAAB · Texas State at Troy Trojans

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Texas State vs Troy Trojans Predictions February 4, 2023

Game time: February 4, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET

Venue: Trojan Arena — Troy, AL

Article updated Feb 3, 2:14 PM EST

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

Texas State is on the road playing Troy at the Trojan Arena stadium on Saturday, 2/4/2023 @ 7:00pm EST. Troy is the betting favorite opening at -6.5 and the current line is

Game outlook

Texas State is on the road playing Troy at the Trojan Arena stadium on Saturday, 2/4/2023 @ 7:00pm EST. Troy is the betting favorite opening at -6.5 and the current line is Troy -4.5.

Bobcats vs Trojans Prediction for Tonight's Game

Based on recent trends and head to head stats, the Scorecaster predicts Trojans to win tonight's game by 1 points. This model factors in recent against the spread (ATS) trends and scoring which predicts Bobcats to cover the 4.5 point spread and the total to go over 128 points.

PREDICTED SCORE: Texas State 71 to Troy 72

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Texas State and Troy Trojans, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Curated Picks & Predictions

Based on the current lines, Oddsmakers predict the score to be TXST 59.5, TROY 68.5.

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Troy will win straight-up is 66%.

51% of SportsJaw users predict Texas State to cover.

OddsShark 's prediction is Troy will win, texas state will cover, and the total will go over.

split down the middle on Covers.com

Texas State Highlights

With a power ranking of 238, Texas State is ranked #338 in offense (scoring an average of 64.52 per game), #62 in defense (allowing an average of 65.04 points to be scored against them per game) and are 11-13 (7-13-1 ATS) this season.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Troy Highlights

Troy Trojans has a power ranking of 258 and are #153 for offense (scoring an average of 73.17 per game), #71 for defense (giving up an average of 65.57 points per game) and 13-11 (11-10 ATS) overall. Texas State went 2-1 (2-1 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against Troy.

Texas State Offensive Stats

The Bobcats are ranked #338 in offense scoring an average of 64.52 per game.

The Bobcats hit an average of 42.68% of their field goals (ranked #282 in the NCAAB) and 70.80% of their free throws (ranked #204 in the NCAAB) per game.

Texas State makes an average of 29.70% of their three pointers (ranked #341 in the NCAAB).

Texas State averages 33.04 rebounds per game (ranked # 282 in the NCAAB).

The Bobcats average 9.91 offensive assists and 12.26 turnovers per game (ranked # 357 and 137 respectively).

Troy Offensive Stats

The Trojans are ranked #338 in offense scoring an average of 64.52 per game.

The Trojans hit an average of 44.17% of their field goals (ranked #211 in the NCAAB) and 71.76% of their free throws (ranked #174 in the NCAAB) per game.

Troy makes an average of 32.32% of their three pointers (ranked #281 in the NCAAB).

Troy averages 34.30 rebounds per game (ranked # 236 in the NCAAB).

The Trojans average 14.04 offensive assists and 13.22 turnovers per game (ranked # 357 and 234 respectively).

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

SportsJaw Texas State vs Trojans archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Crowd vs qualified handicappers

No qualifying consensus sample is available yet.

Qualified handicappers need at least 20 graded picks and a 52.5% win rate. A market needs at least three current qualified picks. Selection share is not a win probability.

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Texas State+245 → +165Moved
  • Moneyline · Troy Trojans-265 → -190Moved
  • Spread · Texas State+6.5 (-110) → +4.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Troy Trojans-6.5 (-110) → -4.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over129.5 (-110) → 128 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under129.5 (-110) → 128 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Texas State
ATS unavailable · O/U unavailable
Last 0 completed games on file
Troy Trojans
22-11 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-02-03T19:14:49.747Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Texas State and Troy Trojans, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2022-12-31Troy Trojans 55 · Texas State 52
  • 2022-11-18Troy Trojans 76 · St. Thomas - Minnesota 78
  • 2022-02-25Texas State 66 · Troy Trojans 61
  • 2021-12-30Troy Trojans 78 · Texas State 63
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Troy Trojans defeated Texas State 68-64

Troy Trojans defeated Texas State 68-64 on February 4, 2023, a 4-point decision in the series. Troy Trojans' strongest period was the 1st half, when it outscored its opponent 45-24. Against SportsJaw's recorded Texas State +4.5 (-110) spread, Texas State covered, while the 132 combined points finished over the recorded total of 128.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • CoolioSpread · Texas State +4.5 (-110)Win
  • CoolioTotal · Over 128.25 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkSpread · Texas State +4.5 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 128.25 (-110)Win
  • CoversSpread · Troy Trojans -4.5 (-110)Loss