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  1. Home
  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. Mississippi St. Bulldogs vs Alabama Crimson Tide
Sat 8:30 PM ET
Mississippi St. Bulldogs logo
Mississippi St.
Bulldogs67
13-19
versus
Alabama Crimson Tide logo
Alabama
Crimson Tide99
25-10
Final
Team12T
Mississippi St. Bulldogs244367
Alabama Crimson Tide475299
NCAAB · Mississippi St. Bulldogs at Alabama Crimson Tide

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Mississippi St. Bulldogs vs Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: February 3, 2024 at 8:30 PM ET

Venue: Coleman Coliseum — Tuscaloosa, AL

Article updated Feb 3, 6:23 AM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

In this content, two programs in the Yellowhammer State are preparing to compete on the parquet floor. Both teams are on the road, with Mississippi State facing a Saturday

Game outlook

In this content, two programs in the Yellowhammer State are preparing to compete on the parquet floor. Both teams are on the road, with Mississippi State facing a Saturday night game. They recently suffered an 86-82 defeat against Ole Miss, failing to cover the one-point underdog line. On the other hand, Alabama emerged victorious in their previous contest against Georgia, rallying for an 85-76 win and covering the 6.5-point favorite line. Looking at the history between these teams, the Crimson Tide hold a dominant 92-51 advantage and have won their last five meetings, including a road win earlier this season. As for the current odds, Alabama is the betting favorite with an opening line of -9, which has since decreased to -8.5.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Bulldogs +320 | Crimson Tide -425

Spread: Bulldogs +8.5 (-110) | Crimson Tide -8.5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 156.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Alabama will win straight-up is 81%.

Mississippi St. Bulldogs

Mississippi State suffered their fourth loss in six games, falling to Ole Miss in their previous matchup. Despite holding a seven-point lead in the first half, the Bulldogs were tied at halftime and struggled in the second half, resulting in a final score of 53-42. Although Ole Miss had superior shooting percentages and rebounding stats, Mississippi State was unable to overcome the deficit. In the loss, Josh Hubbard led the team with 21 points and seven assists. In terms of overall performance, Mississippi State has a scoring average of 74.5 points per game, ranking them 178th in the nation. Their rebounding ability is stronger, ranking 42nd with 39.4 boards per game, and they distribute 14.9 assists per game which places them 94th in the country. However, their defense has been a strength, ranking 63rd with an average of 66.9 points allowed per game. Tolu Smith is the team's leading scorer with 16.2 points and 7.9 rebounds per game, followed by Josh Hubbard with 15.2 points per game. Other players such as Cameron Matthews and Shakeel Moore also contribute significant minutes in the team's rotation. As a team, Mississippi State shoots 45% from the field and 31.4% from beyond the arc. Their free-throw shooting has been below average at 68.5%. In terms of power rankings, Mississippi State is ranked 175th and has an offensive ranking of 171, scoring an average of 74.52 points per game. Defensively, they rank 68th, allowing an average of 66.90 points against them per game. With a record of 14-7, they have a 10-10-1 ATS record. Their field goal percentage is 45.01% and their free throw percentage is 68.49%. Their three-point shooting percentage is 31.57%. They average 39.33 rebounds per game and have 14.71 offensive assists and 12.90 turnovers per game. Defensively, they allow a 40.63% field goal percentage and a 72.47% free throw percentage. They allow an average of 28.45% of three-pointers and average 32.38 defensive rebounds per game. Lastly, they average 11.29 defensive assists and 12.33 turnovers per game. RAMS DAVIS CORNER THREE! The Rebs lead by 2 with 1:15 Remaining and Call Time! #HailState 🐶 || 📺 » https://t.co/VxrWUS0dmb pic.twitter.com/gwW39iptFT

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Alabama Crimson Tide Analysis

Alabama Crimson Tide started their game against Georgia with a slow start but managed to rally and secure a victory. The team now holds a 15-6 overall record for the season and is leading the SEC with a 7-1 conference record. In their game against Vanderbilt, Alabama faced a 17-2 deficit in the first eight minutes of the game and trailed by 14 points at halftime. However, they staged a comeback in the second half, going on a 27-9 run to take a 71-66 lead with 3:40 remaining. Alabama maintained their lead and secured the win. Despite being outrebounded in the game, they shot 53.3% from the field and made eight three-pointers. Mark Sears led the Crimson Tide with 23 points, five rebounds, five assists, and four steals. Overall, Alabama is averaging 89.4 points per game this season, making them the top-scoring team in the nation. They also collect an average of 39.1 rebounds per game and dish out 15.7 assists per game. However, their defense allows an average of 75.5 points per game. Mark Sears is the team's leading scorer with 20.1 points per game, followed by Grant Nelson and Aaron Estrada. The team's shooting percentages are also impressive, with a field goal percentage of 48.8% and a three-point percentage of 38.8%. In terms of their power ranking, Alabama ranks 88th overall. They are ranked first in offense, scoring an average of 89.65 points per game, and 277th in defense, allowing an average of 75.55 points per game. In their last three matchups against Mississippi State, Alabama has a record of 25-10. Their offensive statistics include a field goal percentage of 48.62%, a free throw percentage of 79.10%, and a three-point percentage of 38.91%. They average 39.75 rebounds per game and have 15.50 offensive assists and 12.60 turnovers per game. Defensively, Alabama allows a field goal percentage of 42.79%, a free throw percentage of 70.90%, and a three-point percentage of 31.62%. They average 33.40 defensive rebounds per game and have 11.70 defensive assists and 11.75 turnovers per game. Estrada🤝Griffen 📺: @SECNetwork #RollTide | #BlueCollarBasketball pic.twitter.com/NldKZ6iKt5

Alabama's Dominance Makes Them Favorites in Matchup against Disappointing Mississippi State

Mississippi State has had a commendable season thus far, with the majority of their success being achieved at their home base in Starkville, where they boast an impressive 13-19 record. Additionally, the Bulldogs have secured four victories on neutral courts, as well as triumphs in Tupelo, Mississippi, and Newark earlier this season. However, their performance on true road games has been quite disappointing, with a woeful 0-5 record, and they also suffered a one-point home loss to Southern. On the other hand, Alabama currently dominates the SEC standings with three consecutive wins and an astonishing nine victories in their last ten games. The Crimson Tide have demonstrated their dominance at home, with an outstanding 25-10 record, of which a remarkable nine wins were achieved with double-digit differentials. Considering these factors, it is undeniable that Alabama holds the upper hand in this matchup, as their formidable offense has proven difficult to counter, even for a stalwart defensive team like Mississippi State.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#MississippiStBulldogs#AlabamaCrimsonTide

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Bulldogs vs Crimson Tide archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Bulldogs vs Crimson Tide matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Mississippi St. Bulldogs+310 → +313Moved
  • Moneyline · Alabama Crimson Tide-400 → -410Moved
  • Spread · Mississippi St. Bulldogs+9 (-110) → +8.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Alabama Crimson Tide-9 (-110) → -8.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over156.5 (-110) → 157.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under156.5 (-110) → 157.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Mississippi St. Bulldogs
13-19 matchup record · 4-5-1 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Alabama Crimson Tide
25-10 matchup record · 7-3-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-02-03T11:23:09.603Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-01-13Alabama Crimson Tide 82 · Mississippi St. Bulldogs 74
  • 2023-03-10Mississippi St. Bulldogs 49 · Alabama Crimson Tide 72
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Alabama Crimson Tide defeated Mississippi St. Bulldogs 99-67

Alabama Crimson Tide defeated Mississippi St. Bulldogs 99-67 on February 3, 2024, a 32-point decision in the series. Alabama Crimson Tide's strongest period was the 1st half, when it outscored its opponent 47-24. Against SportsJaw's recorded Mississippi St. Bulldogs +8.5 (-110) spread, Alabama Crimson Tide covered, while the 166 combined points finished over the recorded total of 157.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • TgodfreySpread · Alabama Crimson Tide -8.5 (-110)Win