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  1. Home
  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. Duke Blue Devils vs North Carolina Tar Heels
Sat 6:30 PM ET
Duke Blue Devils logo
Duke
Blue Devils84
35-3
versus
North Carolina Tar Heels logo
North Carolina
Tar Heels93
24-8
Final
Team12T
Duke Blue Devils354984
North Carolina Tar Heels454893
NCAAB · Duke Blue Devils at North Carolina Tar Heels

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Duke Blue Devils vs North Carolina Tar Heels Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: February 3, 2024 at 6:30 PM ET

Venue: Dean E. Smith Center — Chapel Hill, NC

Article updated Feb 3, 6:36 AM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Duke Blue Devils are on the road playing the North Carolina Tar Heels at the Dean E. Smith Center stadium on Saturday, 2/3/2024 @ 6:30pm EST. North Carolina is the

Game outlook

The Duke Blue Devils are on the road playing the North Carolina Tar Heels at the Dean E. Smith Center stadium on Saturday, 2/3/2024 @ 6:30pm EST. North Carolina is the betting favorite opening at -4 and the current line is North Carolina -4.5.

Blue Devils vs Tar Heels Prediction for Tonight's Game

Based on recent trends and head to head stats, the Scorecaster predicts Blue Devils to win tonight's game by 5 points. This model factors in recent against the spread (ATS) trends and scoring which predicts the Duke Blue Devils to cover the 4.5 point spread and the total to go over 152.25 points.

PREDICTED SCORE: Duke 80 to North Carolina 75

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Duke Blue Devils and North Carolina Tar Heels, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Curated Picks & Predictions

51% of SportsJaw users predict Duke Blue Devils to cover the spread.

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that North Carolina will win straight-up is 67%.

Based on the current lines, Oddsmakers predict the score to be DUKE 71.625, UNC 80.625.

OddsShark 's prediction is Duke will win, cover the spread, and the total will go over.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

61% picked North Carolina Tar Heels on Covers.com

Duke Key Betting Stats

With a power ranking of 75, Duke is ranked #39 in offense (scoring an average of 81.00 per game), #76 in defense (allowing an average of 67.20 points to be scored against them per game) and are 16-4 (10-9-1 ATS) this season.

Offensively, the Blue Devils hit an average of 48.22% of their field goals (ranked #32) and 73.38% of their free throws (ranked #107) and makes an average of 38.66% of their three pointers ranked #16 in the NCAAB). They average 35.75 rebounds per game (ranked # 182) and average 15.95 offensive assists and 9.40 turnovers per game (ranked # 42 and 12 respectively).

Defensively speaking, Duke allows an average of 43.30% field goals (ranked #175) and 69.84% free throws (ranked #112 in the NCAAB) The Blue Devils allow an average of 33.73% of the three pointers (ranked #217) and averages 31.65 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 31.65) Finally, the Blue Devils average 12.75 defensive assists and 12.35 turnovers per game (ranked # 174 and 174 respectively).

North Carolina Key Betting Stats

North Carolina Tar Heels has a power ranking of 26 and are #21 for offense (scoring an average of 83.10 per game), #113 for defense (giving up an average of 69.00 points per game) and 17-4 (13-8 ATS) overall. Duke went 1-2 (1-2 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against North Carolina.

For offense, the Tar Heels hit an average of 45.65% of their field goals (ranked #134) and 76.21% of their free throws (ranked #36) and makes an average of 35.68% of their three pointers (ranked #102 in the NCAAB). They average 41.25 rebounds per game (ranked # 13) and average 13.90 offensive assists and 10.65 turnovers per game (ranked # 137) and 68 respectively).

On defense, North Carolina allows an average of 39.71% field goals (ranked #20) and 73.50% free throws (ranked #290 in the NCAAB) The Tar Heels allow an average of 29.13% of the three pointers (ranked #15) and averages 33.85 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 33.85) Finally, the Tar Heels average 10.10 defensive assists and 11.55 turnovers per game (ranked # 16 and 249 respectively).

Betting Summary

Duke has a slight advantage in regards to ball control (factoring in rebounds and turnovers).

The Scorecaster model predicts the Duke Blue Devils to cover the 4.5 point spread and the total to go over 152.25 points.

Written by SportsJaw Staff Categorized as NCAAB Predictions

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#DukeBlueDevils#NorthCarolinaTarHeels

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Blue Devils vs Tar Heels archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Blue Devils vs Tar Heels matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Duke Blue Devils+130 → +182Moved
  • Moneyline · North Carolina Tar Heels-159 → -215Moved
  • Spread · Duke Blue Devils+4 (-110) → +4.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · North Carolina Tar Heels-4 (-110) → -4.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over152 (-110) → 152.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under152 (-110) → 152.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Duke Blue Devils
35-3 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
North Carolina Tar Heels
24-8 matchup record · 8-2-0 ATS · 1-9-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-02-03T11:36:19.034Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Duke Blue Devils and North Carolina Tar Heels, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-03-04Duke Blue Devils 62 · North Carolina Tar Heels 57
  • 2023-02-04North Carolina Tar Heels 57 · Duke Blue Devils 63
Final result

Matchup pick recap

North Carolina Tar Heels defeated Duke Blue Devils 93-84

North Carolina Tar Heels defeated Duke Blue Devils 93-84 on February 3, 2024, a 9-point decision in the series. North Carolina Tar Heels' strongest period was the 1st half, when it outscored its opponent 45-35. Against SportsJaw's recorded Duke Blue Devils +4.5 (-110) spread, North Carolina Tar Heels covered, while the 177 combined points finished over the recorded total of 152.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • AliencreationSpread · Duke Blue Devils +4 (-110)Loss