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  1. Home
  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. UC Davis Aggies vs Cal Poly Mustangs
Sat 6:00 PM ET
UC Davis Aggies logo
UC Davis
Aggies59
11-8
versus
Cal Poly Mustangs logo
Cal Poly
Mustangs52
3-18
Final
Team12T
UC Davis Aggies253459
Cal Poly Mustangs232952
NCAAB · UC Davis Aggies at Cal Poly Mustangs

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UC Davis vs Cal Poly Predictions

Game time: February 3, 2024 at 6:00 PM ET

Venue: Robert A. Mott Athletics Center — San Luis Obispo, CA

Article updated Feb 3, 6:36 AM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The UC Davis Aggies are on the road playing the Cal Poly Mustangs at the Robert A. Mott Athletics Center stadium on Saturday, 2/3/2024 @ 6:00pm EST. UC Davis is the betting

Game outlook

The UC Davis Aggies are on the road playing the Cal Poly Mustangs at the Robert A. Mott Athletics Center stadium on Saturday, 2/3/2024 @ 6:00pm EST. UC Davis is the betting favorite opening at -8.5 and the current line is UC Davis -9.5.

Aggies vs Mustangs Prediction for Tonight's Game

Based on recent trends and stats, the Scorecaster predicts Aggies to win tonight's game by 9 points. This model factors in recent against the spread (ATS) trends and scoring which predicts the Cal Poly Mustangs to cover the 9.5 point spread and the total to go under 134 points.

PREDICTED SCORE: UC Davis 69 to Cal Poly 60

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the UC Davis Aggies and Cal Poly Mustangs, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Curated Picks & Predictions

50% of SportsJaw players predict Cal Poly Mustangs to cover the spread.

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that UC Davis will win straight-up is 83%.

Based on the current lines, Oddsmakers predict the score to be UCDAV 76.5, CP 57.5.

OddsShark 's prediction is UC Davis will win, cover the spread, and the total will go over.

split down the middle on Covers.com

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

UC Davis Key Betting Stats

With a power ranking of 197, UC Davis is ranked #233 in offense (scoring an average of 72.52 per game), #82 in defense (allowing an average of 67.67 points to be scored against them per game) and are 13-8 (11-8 ATS) this season.

Offensively, the Aggies hit an average of 44.70% of their field goals (ranked #181) and 71.52% of their free throws (ranked #184) and makes an average of 34.76% of their three pointers ranked #142 in the NCAAB). They average 34.19 rebounds per game (ranked # 269) and average 12.67 offensive assists and 14.24 turnovers per game (ranked # 230 and 329 respectively).

Defensively speaking, UC Davis allows an average of 42.88% field goals (ranked #151) and 73.06% free throws (ranked #280 in the NCAAB) The Aggies allow an average of 30.99% of the three pointers (ranked #57) and averages 33.19 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 33.19) Finally, the Aggies average 11.38 defensive assists and 15.29 turnovers per game (ranked # 68 and 26 respectively).

Cal Poly Key Betting Stats

Cal Poly Mustangs has a power ranking of 340 and are #354 for offense (scoring an average of 63.05 per game), #218 for defense (giving up an average of 72.73 points per game) and 4-18 (9-12 ATS) overall. UC Davis went 0-3 (1-1-1 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against Cal Poly.

For offense, the Mustangs hit an average of 40.26% of their field goals (ranked #338) and 70.44% of their free throws (ranked #226) and makes an average of 31.43% of their three pointers (ranked #290 in the NCAAB). They average 32.36 rebounds per game (ranked # 334) and average 9.59 offensive assists and 12.91 turnovers per game (ranked # 356) and 263 respectively).

On defense, Cal Poly allows an average of 45.03% field goals (ranked #267) and 71.70% free throws (ranked #207 in the NCAAB) The Mustangs allow an average of 33.24% of the three pointers (ranked #181) and averages 38.91 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 38.91) Finally, the Mustangs average 11.23 defensive assists and 12.00 turnovers per game (ranked # 56 and 214 respectively).

Betting Summary

UC Davis has a slight advantage in regards to ball control (factoring in rebounds and turnovers).

The Scorecaster model predicts the Cal Poly Mustangs to cover the 9.5 point spread and the total to go under 134 points.

Written by SportsJaw Staff Categorized as NCAAB Predictions

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#UCDavisAggies#CalPolyMustangs

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Aggies vs Mustangs archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Aggies vs Mustangs matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · UC Davis Aggies-360 → -489Moved
  • Moneyline · Cal Poly Mustangs+285 → +375Moved
  • Spread · UC Davis Aggies-8.5 (-110) → -9.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Cal Poly Mustangs+8.5 (-110) → +9.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over133.5 (-110) → 134 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under133.5 (-110) → 134 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

UC Davis Aggies
11-8 matchup record · 8-2-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Cal Poly Mustangs
3-18 matchup record · 3-7-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-02-03T11:36:13.124Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the UC Davis Aggies and Cal Poly Mustangs, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-12-30Cal Poly Mustangs 46 · UC Davis Aggies 71
  • 2023-02-25UC Davis Aggies 58 · Cal Poly Mustangs 52
Final result

Matchup pick recap

UC Davis Aggies defeated Cal Poly Mustangs 59-52

UC Davis Aggies defeated Cal Poly Mustangs 59-52 on February 3, 2024, a 7-point decision in the series. UC Davis Aggies' strongest period was the 2nd half, when it outscored its opponent 34-29. Against SportsJaw's recorded UC Davis Aggies -9.5 (-110) spread, Cal Poly Mustangs covered, while the 111 combined points finished under the recorded total of 134.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • Joem81Spread · Cal Poly Mustangs +9.5 (-110)Win
  • TweiskoffSpread · UC Davis Aggies -9.5 (-110)Loss