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  1. Home
  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. Maryland Terrapins vs Michigan St. Spartans
Sat 5:30 PM ET
Maryland Terrapins logo
Maryland
Terrapins54
9-8
versus
Michigan St. Spartans logo
Michigan St.
Spartans63
12-8
Final
Team12T
Maryland Terrapins272754
Michigan St. Spartans313263
NCAAB · Maryland Terrapins at Michigan St. Spartans

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Maryland Terrapins vs Michigan St. Spartans Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: February 3, 2024 at 5:30 PM ET

Venue: Breslin Center — East Lansing, MI

Article updated Feb 3, 6:23 AM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

Maryland will be traveling to East Lansing to face Michigan State in a rematch game on Saturday at 5:30pmET. The Spartans emerged victorious in their previous encounter on

Game outlook

Maryland will be traveling to East Lansing to face Michigan State in a rematch game on Saturday at 5:30pmET. The Spartans emerged victorious in their previous encounter on January 21st, winning 61-59 as a 1-point favorite. Tyson Walker led Michigan State with 15 points and five steals, while Jahmir Young topped the scoring for Maryland with 19 points and four assists. Currently, Michigan State is favored to win with a point spread of -6.5, and the line has remained unchanged.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Terrapins +235 | Spartans -295

Spread: Terrapins +6.5 (-110) | Spartans -6.5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 130.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Michigan St. will win straight-up is 75%.

Maryland Terrapins

Maryland's basketball team has had a relatively average road record this season, with three wins out of seven games. Despite these victories, their ranking in the NCAA Net Rankings is only 79th, suggesting they are not in a strong position to make the NCAA Tournament. However, recent wins against Iowa and Nebraska have improved their standing, and they are slowly moving closer to the bubble. In their last game, Julian Reese and freshman Jamie Kaiser had noteworthy performances, contributing to the team's success. Kaiser's shooting, particularly from beyond the arc, has been inconsistent throughout his freshman season. To strengthen the team, it would be beneficial for Maryland to acquire additional bench players, as they heavily rely on Jahmir Young and Reese for scoring. According to KenPom rankings, Maryland is ranked 52nd overall, with a strong defensive efficiency. However, their offensive statistics still have room for improvement, as they have struggled with shooting percentages from both the field and beyond the arc. Defensively, Maryland has displayed solid performance in limiting opponents' scoring. Although their three-point defense is a slight concern, their overall defensive statistics are commendable. Overall, Maryland's offensive ranking is 276th, as they score an average of 70.29 points per game. They have struggled with shooting percentages in both field goals and free throws, ranking 311th and 222nd respectively. Additionally, their three-point shooting percentage is low, ranking 333rd. On the defensive end, they allow opponents to score an average of 63.38 points per game, ranking 11th in the nation. They have also showcased strong defensive field goal percentages, but have struggled with defending against free throws and three-point shots. In terms of rebounding and assists, Maryland ranks 133rd in rebounds per game and 331st in offensive assists. However, they have a lower turnover rate, ranking 174th. Defensively, they rank 239th in defending against three-point shots and excel in defensive rebounding. They also have a higher rate of defensive assists compared to turnovers, ranking 34th and 101st respectively. Protected our house 🎥 Terp Tapes: Nebraska pic.twitter.com/sZzSCyeRf2

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Michigan St. Spartans Analysis

The Michigan State Spartans, led by coach Tom Izzo, have a record of 5-5 in conference play but are ranked 22nd in the NCAA Net Rankings. Despite doubts from some about their potential, the team has recently won four out of their last five games, including a dominant victory over rival Michigan. Jaden Akins and A.J. Hoggard were standout performers in the game, with Akins scoring 23 points and Hoggard contributing 15 points and seven assists. This win marked Izzo's 700th career win and the Spartans outscored Michigan by 21 points in the second half while capitalizing on their turnovers with 20 points. Tyson Walker leads the team in scoring and steals, while Hoggard adds a strong presence at the point guard position. Defensively, the Spartans rank 20th in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency and hold their opponents to 40% shooting from the field and 31.4% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, they shoot 47.5% from the field and 36.8% from beyond the arc, averaging 76 points per game. In terms of sports betting promos, various offers such as odds boosts, bonus bets, first bet insurance, and deposit match offers are available. The Spartans have a power ranking of 92 and rank #132 in offense, averaging 75.95 points per game, whereas their defense ranks #43, allowing an average of 65.81 points per game. Their overall record is 13-8 (11-9-1 ATS). Maryland has had the upper hand in their recent matchups against Michigan State. The Spartans have a solid shooting percentage of 47.52% from the field, 70.03% from free throws, and 36.80% from three-point range, with rebounding averaging 35.10 per game. They also have a good number of offensive assists and turnovers, ranking #16 in both categories. Defensively, Michigan State allows opponents to shoot 40.03% from the field, 71.58% from free throws, and 31.41% from three-point range. They average 34.24 defensive rebounds per game and have 12.33 defensive assists and 12.67 turnovers per game.

Maryland's Advantageous Position and Potential Victory over Michigan State Hindered by Turnovers and Subpar Performance

Maryland possesses a stronger incentive to emerge victorious in this game, giving them an advantageous position. Regardless of their acknowledged weaknesses, particularly in their defense against three-point shots, I maintain that this match will be fiercely contested, potentially resulting in a one-possession game. Michigan State's subpar free throw shooting percentage (70%) and mediocre performance in rebounding (ranked 190th in rebound margin) may prove detrimental in a close contest. In their previous encounter, Maryland squandered their chances by committing a staggering 18 turnovers. However, turnovers have not been a prevalent issue for the Terps (ranked 104th in turnover margin), making it plausible for them to rectify this flaw. It is worth noting that Maryland outrebounded Michigan State by 10 in their initial encounter and would have secured victory had it not been for the seven turnovers committed by Young.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#MarylandTerrapins#MichiganStSpartans

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Terrapins vs Spartans archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Terrapins vs Spartans matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Maryland Terrapins+235 → +220Moved
  • Moneyline · Michigan St. Spartans-290 → -265Moved
  • Spread · Maryland Terrapins+6.5 (-110) → +6 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Michigan St. Spartans-6.5 (-110) → -6 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over129.5 (-110) → 130 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under129.5 (-110) → 130 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Maryland Terrapins
9-8 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Michigan St. Spartans
12-8 matchup record · 7-3-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-02-03T11:23:07.778Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-01-21Michigan St. Spartans 61 · Maryland Terrapins 59
  • 2023-02-07Maryland Terrapins 58 · Michigan St. Spartans 63
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Michigan St. Spartans defeated Maryland Terrapins 63-54

Michigan St. Spartans defeated Maryland Terrapins 63-54 on February 3, 2024, a 9-point decision in the series. Michigan St. Spartans' strongest period was the 2nd half, when it outscored its opponent 32-27. Against SportsJaw's recorded Maryland Terrapins +6 (-110) spread, Michigan St. Spartans covered, while the 117 combined points finished under the recorded total of 130.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • JtmcentireTotal · Under 130.5 (-110)Win
  • JwSpread · Maryland Terrapins +6.5 (-110)Loss
  • CoversSpread · Maryland Terrapins +6.5 (-110)Loss