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  3. Baylor Bears vs TCU Horned Frogs
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TCU Horned Frogs233154
NCAAB · Baylor Bears at TCU Horned Frogs

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Baylor Set to Face TCU in Crucial Big 12 Showdown to Break Tie in Standings

Game time: February 26, 2024 at 9:00 PM ET

Venue: Ed and Rae Schollmaier Arena — Fort Worth, TX

Article updated Feb 25, 10:16 PM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

On Monday, the #11 Baylor Bears (19-8, 8-6 Big 12) will face off against the TCU Horned Frogs (19-8, 8-6 Big 12) in a crucial matchup to break their tie in the standings.

Game outlook

On Monday, the #11 Baylor Bears (19-8, 8-6 Big 12) will face off against the TCU Horned Frogs (19-8, 8-6 Big 12) in a crucial matchup to break their tie in the standings. Baylor is looking for redemption after a tough loss to #2 Houston, while TCU is coming off a convincing win over Cincinnati. The teams previously met this season with TCU winning in triple overtime. TCU is the betting favorite opening at -3 with the line remaining unchanged. Tipoff is set for 9:00 EST at Ed and Rae Schollmaier Arena in Fort Worth, Texas.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Bears +131 | Horned Frogs -152

Spread: Bears +3 (-110) | Horned Frogs -3 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 148.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that TCU will win straight-up is 60%.

Baylor Bears

The Baylor Bears, ranked 14th overall according to KenPom, are one of the top teams in the Big 12 but have recently suffered consecutive losses to ranked opponents. Despite a tough loss in overtime to Houston, standout guard JaKobe Walter continues to impress, leading the team in scoring and being projected as a top NBA draft pick. The Bears also have top playmakers like RayJ Dennis and scorers like Jalen Bridges contributing to their success. Baylor's offensive efficiency is ranked 5th, with strong shooting percentages and contributions from multiple players. The team is currently projected to be a 4-seed in the NCAA Tournament. Injuries to players like Langston Love could impact their performance in the upcoming games. Defensively, Baylor has room for improvement in areas like field goal and three-point percentage allowed. Overall, the Bears have shown potential for a deep tournament run with their strong offense and depth of talent. It's heating up! @JaKobeWalter1 with a netter! 🔥 #SicEm | #CultureofJOY pic.twitter.com/M7eYPg0eXH

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

TCU Horned Frogs Analysis

The TCU basketball team is currently 4th in the Big 12 standings with an 14-8 record, tied with Baylor and Texas Tech. They have won three of their last four games, with their only loss coming to #23 Texas Tech on the road. In their most recent game against Cincinnati, TCU forced 17 turnovers and was led by forward Emanuel Miller with 18 points and six rebounds. Miller leads the team in scoring and rebounding with 16.1 PPG and 5.9 RPG. Micah Peavy and Jameer Nelson Jr. are also key scorers for the team. TCU is currently ranked 25th overall in KenPom and projected to be a 9-seed in the NCAA Tournament according to Bracketology. They have a power ranking of 192 and are ranked 26th in offense and 162nd in defense. TCU's offensive stats include shooting 48.10% from the field, 35.38% from three-point range, and averaging 37.58 rebounds per game. Their defensive stats include allowing opponents to shoot 44.06% from the field and 31.93% from three-point range. The team is currently 19-8 overall and 17-10 against the spread. Frogs Win! JaKobe Coles and Emanuel Miller each score a game-high 18 points. #GoFrogs pic.twitter.com/FgEU8ppqpb

Baylor Faces Roadblock Against TCU in Conference Matchup

Baylor's success this season has been notable; however, their performance on the road has not been as strong. The team's victories away from home in conference play have primarily been against lower-ranked teams such as West Virginia, UCF, and Oklahoma State. In contrast, TCU, a more competitive opponent, is positioned to secure a win against Baylor at home, as higher-ranked teams in the conference have done. Baylor's challenges on the road can be attributed to factors such as inexperience, as evidenced by Walter being a freshman and Dennis previously playing in a lower competitive division. TCU's defensive lineup, featuring an athletic 6'7 wing like Emanuel Miller, presents a formidable challenge for Baylor, particularly for Walter. With TCU ranking 26th in offensive efficiency compared to Baylor's 85th in defensive efficiency, TCU is poised to secure a victory on home court, as demonstrated by their significant wins against teams like Texas Tech, Houston, and Oklahoma. A favorable outcome for TCU is expected on Big Monday.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#BaylorBears#TCUHornedFrogs

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Bears vs Horned Frogs archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Bears vs Horned Frogs matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Baylor Bears+131 → +123Moved
  • Moneyline · TCU Horned Frogs-152 → -145Moved
  • Spread · Baylor Bears+3 (-110) → +2.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · TCU Horned Frogs-3 (-110) → -2.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over148.5 (-110) → 145.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under148.5 (-110) → 145.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Baylor Bears
14-8 matchup record · 5-4-1 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
TCU Horned Frogs
14-8 matchup record · 7-3-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-02-26T03:16:11.363Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

The Baylor Bears, ranked 14th overall according to KenPom, are one of the top teams in the Big 12 but have recently suffered consecutive losses to ranked opponents. Despite a tough loss in overtime to Houston, standout guard JaKobe Walter continues to impress, leading the team in scoring and being projected as a top NBA draft pick. The Bears also have top playmakers like RayJ Dennis and scorers like Jalen Bridges contributing to their success. Baylor's offensive efficiency is ranked 5th, with strong shooting percentages and contributions from multiple players. The team is currently projected to be a 4-seed in the NCAA Tournament. Injuries to players like Langston Love could impact their performance in the upcoming games. Defensively, Baylor has room for improvement in areas like field goal and three-point percentage allowed. Overall, the Bears have shown potential for a deep tournament run with their strong offense and depth of talent. It's heating up! @JaKobeWalter1 with a netter! 🔥 #SicEm | #CultureofJOY pic.twitter.com/M7eYPg0eXH

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-01-27TCU Horned Frogs 105 · Baylor Bears 102
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Baylor Bears defeated TCU Horned Frogs 62-54

Baylor Bears defeated TCU Horned Frogs 62-54 on February 26, 2024, a 8-point decision in the series. Baylor Bears' strongest period was the 2nd half, when it outscored its opponent 37-31. Against SportsJaw's recorded Baylor Bears +2.5 (-110) spread, Baylor Bears covered, while the 116 combined points finished under the recorded total of 145.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • VfernandezSpread · TCU Horned Frogs -3 (-110)Loss
  • DrfeelgoodTotal · Under 148.5 (-110)Win
  • Tbone91Spread · Baylor Bears +3 (-110)Win
  • UncledavidSpread · TCU Horned Frogs -3 (-110)Loss
  • ThetotalerSpread · Baylor Bears +3 (-110)Win
  • StevehSpread · Baylor Bears -3 (-110)Win
  • Teddy718Total · Under 148.5 (-110)Win
  • RainmanSpread · TCU Horned Frogs -3 (-110)Loss
  • AdrianMariucciTotal · Over 148.5 (-110)Loss
  • PremierPicksSpread · Baylor Bears +2.5 (-110)Win
  • TgodfreySpread · Baylor Bears +2.5 (-110)Win
  • Randy54Total · Under 148 (-110)
Win
  • GsimmsTotal · Over 148 (-110)Loss
  • Josh720Spread · Baylor Bears +2.5 (-110)Win
  • Josh720Total · Over 148 (-110)Loss
  • TjwinsTotal · Under 148 (-110)Win
  • BrycetSpread · Baylor Bears +2.5 (-110)Win
  • BrycetTotal · Under 148 (-110)Win
  • RcollinsTotal · Under 148 (-110)Win
  • Leadpipe_LocksTotal · Over 148 (-110)Loss
  • TweiskoffSpread · Baylor Bears +2.5 (-110)Win
  • JoeyBergSpread · Baylor Bears +2.5 (-110)Win
  • Novacek84Total · Under 147 (-110)Win
  • Novacek84Spread · Baylor Bears +2.5 (-110)Win
  • JamescashiolaSpread · Baylor Bears +2.5 (-110)Win
  • DemarcusBryantSpread · Baylor Bears +2.5 (-110)Win
  • 1118240754Spread · Baylor Bears +2.5 (-110)Win
  • GeauxtigersSpread · Baylor Bears +2.5 (-110)Win
  • TjwinsSpread · TCU Horned Frogs -2.5 (-110)Loss
  • MauriceJonesTotal · Under 147 (-110)Win