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NCAAB PicksSat 7:30 PM ET
TA
Tarleton St.
Texans95
14-18
versus
UT
UT Rio Grande Valley99
Final/OT
Team123T
Tarleton St. Texans40431295
UT Rio Grande Valley38451699
NCAAB · Tarleton St. Texans at UT Rio Grande Valley

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Tarleton St. Texans vs UT Rio Grande Valley Predictions February 25, 2023

Game time: February 25, 2023 at 7:30 PM ET

Venue: UTRGV Fieldhouse — Edinburg, TX

Article updated Feb 25, 5:19 AM EST

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Tarleton St. Texans are on the road playing the UT Rio Grande Valley at the UTRGV Fieldhouse stadium on Saturday, 2/25/2023 @ 7:30pm EST. Tarleton St. is the betting

Game outlook

The Tarleton St. Texans are on the road playing the UT Rio Grande Valley at the UTRGV Fieldhouse stadium on Saturday, 2/25/2023 @ 7:30pm EST. Tarleton St. is the betting favorite opening at -3 and the current line is Tarleton St. -4.5.

Texans vs Vaqueros Prediction for Tonight's Game

Based on recent trends and stats, the Scorecaster predicts Vaqueros to win tonight's game by 8 points. This model factors in recent against the spread (ATS) trends and scoring which predicts the UT Rio Grande Valley to cover the 4.5 point spread and the total to go over 145 points.

PREDICTED SCORE: Tarleton St. 73 to UT Rio Grande Valley 81

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Tarleton St. Texans and UT Rio Grande Valley, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Curated Picks & Predictions

52% of SportsJaw players predict UT Rio Grande Valley to cover the spread.

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Tarleton St. will win straight-up is 67%.

Based on the current lines, Oddsmakers predict the score to be tar 77, RIO 68.

OddsShark 's prediction is UTRGV will win, cover the spread, and the total will go over.

split down the middle on Covers.com

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Tarleton St. Key Betting Stats

With a power ranking of 241, Tarleton St. is ranked #215 in offense (scoring an average of 70.07 per game), #111 in defense (allowing an average of 67.57 points to be scored against them per game) and are 15-14 (13-12-1 ATS) this season.

Offensively, the Texans hit an average of 45.52% of their field goals (ranked #125) and 67.65% of their free throws (ranked #309) and makes an average of 35.35% of their three pointers ranked #126 in the NCAAB). They average 31.36 rebounds per game (ranked # 336) and average 12.43 offensive assists and 12.54 turnovers per game (ranked # 245 and 190 respectively).

Defensively speaking, Tarleton St. allows an average of 44.09% field goals (ranked #215) and 71.82% free throws (ranked #207 in the NCAAB) The Texans allow an average of 35.96% of the three pointers (ranked #306) and averages 33.25 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 33.25) Finally, the Texans average 12.54 defensive assists and 17.14 turnovers per game (ranked # 175 and 15 respectively).

UT Rio Grande Valley Key Betting Stats

UT Rio Grande Valley has a power ranking of 207 and are #42 for offense (scoring an average of 78.15 per game), #338 for defense (giving up an average of 76.41 points per game) and 14-14 (11-13 ATS) overall. Tarleton St. went 1-2 (1-2 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against UT Rio Grande Valley.

For offense, the Vaqueros hit an average of 46.77% of their field goals (ranked #63) and 69.87% of their free throws (ranked #243) and makes an average of 34.01% of their three pointers (ranked #198 in the NCAAB). They average 38.78 rebounds per game (ranked # 22) and average 16.00 offensive assists and 16.30 turnovers per game (ranked # 22) and 361 respectively).

On defense, UT Rio Grande Valley allows an average of 43.58% field goals (ranked #176) and 72.61% free throws (ranked #247 in the NCAAB) The Vaqueros allow an average of 32.91% of the three pointers (ranked #129) and averages 33.81 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 33.81) Finally, the Vaqueros average 16.59 defensive assists and 13.07 turnovers per game (ranked # 353 and 145 respectively).

Betting Summary

Tarleton St. has advantage in regards to ball control (factoring in rebounds and turnovers).

The Scorecaster model predicts the UT Rio Grande Valley to cover the 4.5 point spread and the total to go over 145 points.

Written by SportsJaw Staff Categorized as NCAAB Predictions

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

SportsJaw Texans vs UT Rio Grande Valley archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Crowd vs qualified handicappers

No qualifying consensus sample is available yet.

Qualified handicappers need at least 20 graded picks and a 52.5% win rate. A market needs at least three current qualified picks. Selection share is not a win probability.

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Tarleton St. Texans-147 → -200Moved
  • Moneyline · UT Rio Grande Valley+137 → +170Moved
  • Spread · Tarleton St. Texans-3 (-110) → -4.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · UT Rio Grande Valley+3 (-110) → +4.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over146.5 (-110) → 145 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under146.5 (-110) → 145 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Tarleton St. Texans
14-18 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
UT Rio Grande Valley
ATS unavailable · O/U unavailable
Last 0 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-02-25T10:19:26.000Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Tarleton St. Texans and UT Rio Grande Valley, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-02-11Tarleton St. Texans 75 · Utah Tech 71
  • 2023-02-04UT Rio Grande Valley 68 · Tarleton St. Texans 65
  • 2023-01-26Utah Tech 72 · Tarleton St. Texans 74
  • 2023-01-21Tarleton St. Texans 48 · California Baptist 77
  • 2022-12-11Tarleton St. Texans 49 · UCF 75
Final result

Matchup pick recap

UT Rio Grande Valley defeated Tarleton St. Texans 99-95

UT Rio Grande Valley defeated Tarleton St. Texans 99-95 on February 25, 2023, a 4-point decision in the series. UT Rio Grande Valley's strongest period was the overtime, when it outscored its opponent 16-12. Against SportsJaw's recorded Tarleton St. Texans -4.5 (-110) spread, UT Rio Grande Valley covered, while the 194 combined points finished over the recorded total of 145.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • CoolioSpread · UT Rio Grande Valley +5 (-110)Win
  • CoolioTotal · Over 144.5 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkSpread · UT Rio Grande Valley +5 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 144.5 (-110)Win
  • CoversSpread · UT Rio Grande Valley +5 (-110)Win