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  1. Home
  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. Troy Trojans vs Arkansas St. Red Wolves
Thu 9:00 PM ET
Troy Trojans logo
Troy
Trojans71
22-11
versus
Arkansas St. Red Wolves logo
Arkansas St.
Red Wolves79
20-12
Final
Team12T
Troy Trojans284371
Arkansas St. Red Wolves394079
NCAAB · Troy Trojans at Arkansas St. Red Wolves

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Troy Trojans vs Arkansas St. Red Wolves Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: February 22, 2024 at 9:00 PM ET

Venue: First National Bank Arena — Jonesboro, AR

Article updated Feb 22, 10:35 PM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Troy Trojans are traveling to play the Arkansas St. Red Wolves at the First National Bank Arena stadium on Thursday, 2/22/2024 @ 9:00pm EST. Arkansas St. is the betting

Game outlook

The Troy Trojans are traveling to play the Arkansas St. Red Wolves at the First National Bank Arena stadium on Thursday, 2/22/2024 @ 9:00pm EST. Arkansas St. is the betting favorite opening at -2 and the line hasn't moved.

Trojans vs Red Wolves Prediction for Tonight's Game

Based on recent trends and head to head stats, the Scorecaster predicts Trojans to win tonight's game by 4 points. This model factors in recent against the spread (ATS) trends and scoring which predicts the Troy Trojans to cover the 2 point spread and the total to go over 154.5 points.

PREDICTED SCORE: Troy 82 to Arkansas St. 78

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Troy Trojans and Arkansas St. Red Wolves, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Curated Picks & Predictions

52% of SportsJaw predicts Arkansas St. Red Wolves to cover the spread.

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Arkansas St. will win straight-up is 57%.

From the lines set by Sportsbooks, they predict the score to be TROY 75.25, ARKST 79.25.

OddsShark predicts Troy will win, cover the spread, and the total will go over.

split down the middle on Covers.com

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Troy Key Betting Stats

With a power ranking of 56, Troy is ranked #54 in offense (scoring an average of 79.69 per game), #122 in defense (allowing an average of 69.92 points to be scored against them per game) and are 18-9 (17-6-1 ATS) this season.

Offensively, the Trojans hit an average of 43.73% of their field goals (ranked #237) and 72.68% of their free throws (ranked #137) and makes an average of 34.78% of their three pointers ranked #135 in the NCAAB). They average 40.15 rebounds per game (ranked # 19) and average 13.88 offensive assists and 13.50 turnovers per game (ranked # 128 and 310 respectively).

Defensively speaking, Troy allows an average of 42.23% field goals (ranked #102) and 69.12% free throws (ranked #53 in the NCAAB) The Trojans allow an average of 35.20% of the three pointers (ranked #293) and averages 34.12 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 34.12) Finally, the Trojans average 10.92 defensive assists and 14.88 turnovers per game (ranked # 43 and 32 respectively).

Arkansas St. Key Betting Stats

Arkansas St. Red Wolves has a power ranking of 12 and are #53 for offense (scoring an average of 79.81 per game), #332 for defense (giving up an average of 78.50 points per game) and 13-14 (16-10-1 ATS) overall. Troy went 1-2 (3-0 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against Arkansas St..

For offense, the Red Wolves hit an average of 44.42% of their field goals (ranked #200) and 69.96% of their free throws (ranked #252) and makes an average of 35.82% of their three pointers (ranked #89 in the NCAAB). They average 37.77 rebounds per game (ranked # 81) and average 14.92 offensive assists and 11.85 turnovers per game (ranked # 80) and 175 respectively).

On defense, Arkansas St. allows an average of 45.26% field goals (ranked #280) and 75.99% free throws (ranked #352 in the NCAAB) The Red Wolves allow an average of 34.56% of the three pointers (ranked #261) and averages 36.15 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 36.15) Finally, the Red Wolves average 11.54 defensive assists and 10.00 turnovers per game (ranked # 71 and 336 respectively).

Betting Summary

Troy has advantage in regards to ball control (factoring in rebounds and turnovers).

The Scorecaster model predicts the Troy Trojans to cover the 2 point spread and the total to go over 154.5 points.

Written by SportsJaw Staff Categorized as NCAAB Predictions

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#TroyTrojans#ArkansasStRedWolves

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Trojans vs Red Wolves archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Trojans vs Red Wolves matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Troy Trojans+115 → +110Moved
  • Moneyline · Arkansas St. Red Wolves-135 → -133Moved
  • Spread · Troy Trojans+2 (-110) → +2 (-110)Unchanged
  • Spread · Arkansas St. Red Wolves-2 (-110) → -2 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Over154 (-110) → 154.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under154 (-110) → 154.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Troy Trojans
22-11 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Arkansas St. Red Wolves
20-12 matchup record · 7-3-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-02-23T03:35:54.014Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Troy Trojans and Arkansas St. Red Wolves, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-02-15Arkansas St. Red Wolves 82 · Troy Trojans 71
  • 2023-03-02Arkansas St. Red Wolves 59 · Troy Trojans 63
  • 2023-02-16Troy Trojans 67 · Arkansas St. Red Wolves 62
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Arkansas St. Red Wolves defeated Troy Trojans 79-71

Arkansas St. Red Wolves defeated Troy Trojans 79-71 on February 22, 2024, a 8-point decision in the series. Arkansas St. Red Wolves' strongest period was the 1st half, when it outscored its opponent 39-28. Against SportsJaw's recorded Troy Trojans +2 (-110) spread, Arkansas St. Red Wolves covered, while the 150 combined points finished under the recorded total of 154.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • Steve512Spread · Arkansas St. Red Wolves -2.5 (-110)Win
  • KrockpicksSpread · Arkansas St. Red Wolves -2.5 (-110)Win