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NCAAB PicksWed 8:00 PM ET
South Alabama Jaguars logo
South Alabama
Jaguars76
21-11
versus
TE
Texas State67
Final
Team12T
South Alabama Jaguars383876
Texas State333467
NCAAB · South Alabama Jaguars at Texas State

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South Alabama Jaguars vs Texas State Predictions February 22, 2023

Game time: February 22, 2023 at 8:00 PM ET

Venue: Strahan Arena at the University Events Center — San Marcos, TX

Article updated Feb 21, 2:14 PM EST

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

The South Alabama Jaguars are traveling to play the Texas State at the Strahan Coliseum stadium on Wednesday, 2/22/2023 @ 8:00pm EST. South Alabama is the betting favorite

Game outlook

The South Alabama Jaguars are traveling to play the Texas State at the Strahan Coliseum stadium on Wednesday, 2/22/2023 @ 8:00pm EST. South Alabama is the betting favorite opening at -2.5 and the line hasn't moved.

Jaguars vs Bobcats Prediction for Tonight's Game

Based on recent trends and head to head stats, the Scorecaster predicts Jaguars to win tonight's game by 6 points. This model factors in recent against the spread (ATS) trends and scoring which predicts the South Alabama Jaguars to cover the 2.5 point spread and the total to go over 130.5 points.

PREDICTED SCORE: South Alabama 69 to Texas State 63

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the South Alabama Jaguars and Texas State, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Curated Picks & Predictions

The SportsJaw community predicts South Alabama Jaguars to cover the spread (51%)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that South Alabama will win straight-up is 59%.

From the lines set by Sportsbooks, they predict the score to be S.ALA 67.75, TXST 62.75.

OddsShark predicts South Alabama will win, cover the spread, and the total will go over.

split down the middle on Covers.com

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

South Alabama Key Betting Stats

With a power ranking of 3, South Alabama is ranked #206 in offense (scoring an average of 70.54 per game), #64 in defense (allowing an average of 65.61 points to be scored against them per game) and are 15-14 (17-10 ATS) this season.

Offensively, the Jaguars hit an average of 46.43% of their field goals (ranked #73) and 69.09% of their free throws (ranked #265) and makes an average of 32.92% of their three pointers ranked #254 in the NCAAB). They average 32.96 rebounds per game (ranked # 282) and average 11.71 offensive assists and 10.29 turnovers per game (ranked # 298 and 17 respectively).

Defensively speaking, South Alabama allows an average of 42.40% field goals (ranked #102) and 71.04% free throws (ranked #168 in the NCAAB) The Jaguars allow an average of 30.22% of the three pointers (ranked #27) and averages 36.18 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 36.18) Finally, the Jaguars average 10.21 defensive assists and 11.46 turnovers per game (ranked # 22 and 289 respectively).

Texas State Key Betting Stats

Texas State has a power ranking of 188 and are #332 for offense (scoring an average of 65.00 per game), #83 for defense (giving up an average of 66.43 points per game) and 13-16 (9-16-1 ATS) overall. South Alabama went 2-1 (2-1 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against Texas State.

For offense, the Bobcats hit an average of 43.06% of their field goals (ranked #271) and 71.13% of their free throws (ranked #196) and makes an average of 30.40% of their three pointers (ranked #340 in the NCAAB). They average 32.93 rebounds per game (ranked # 284) and average 9.71 offensive assists and 11.93 turnovers per game (ranked # 357) and 113 respectively).

On defense, Texas State allows an average of 44.65% field goals (ranked #251) and 70.45% free throws (ranked #134 in the NCAAB) The Bobcats allow an average of 35.32% of the three pointers (ranked #286) and averages 31.18 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 31.18) Finally, the Bobcats average 11.00 defensive assists and 12.79 turnovers per game (ranked # 58 and 175 respectively).

Betting Summary

South Alabama has a slight advantage in regards to ball control (factoring in rebounds and turnovers).

The Scorecaster model predicts the South Alabama Jaguars to cover the 2.5 point spread and the total to go over 130.5 points.

For the best predictions available, make sure to checkout the best bets made by our certified NCAAB experts.

Written by SportsJaw Staff Categorized as NCAAB Predictions

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

SportsJaw Jaguars vs Texas State archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Crowd vs qualified handicappers

No qualifying consensus sample is available yet.

Qualified handicappers need at least 20 graded picks and a 52.5% win rate. A market needs at least three current qualified picks. Selection share is not a win probability.

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · South Alabama Jaguars-137 → -145Moved
  • Moneyline · Texas State+127 → +125Moved
  • Spread · South Alabama Jaguars-2.5 (-110) → -2.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Spread · Texas State+2.5 (-110) → +2.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Over133 (-110) → 130.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under133 (-110) → 130.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

South Alabama Jaguars
21-11 matchup record · 7-3-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Texas State
ATS unavailable · O/U unavailable
Last 0 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-02-21T19:14:40.316Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the South Alabama Jaguars and Texas State, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-01-07Texas State 64 · South Alabama Jaguars 58
  • 2022-02-23Texas State 55 · South Alabama Jaguars 52
  • 2021-11-26South Alabama Jaguars 72 · Hawai'i 69
Final result

Matchup pick recap

South Alabama Jaguars defeated Texas State 76-67

South Alabama Jaguars defeated Texas State 76-67 on February 22, 2023, a 9-point decision in the series. South Alabama Jaguars' strongest period was the 1st half, when it outscored its opponent 38-33. Against SportsJaw's recorded South Alabama Jaguars -2.5 (-110) spread, South Alabama Jaguars covered, while the 143 combined points finished over the recorded total of 130.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • CoolioSpread · South Alabama Jaguars -2.5 (-110)Win
  • CoolioTotal · Over 131 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkSpread · South Alabama Jaguars -2.5 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 131 (-110)Win
  • CoversSpread · Texas State +2.5 (-110)Loss