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  1. Home
  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. Illinois Fighting Illini vs Maryland Terrapins
Sat 5:30 PM ET
Illinois Fighting Illini logo
Illinois
Fighting Illini85
28-9
versus
Maryland Terrapins logo
Maryland
Terrapins80
12-21
Final
Team12T
Illinois Fighting Illini434285
Maryland Terrapins384280
NCAAB · Illinois Fighting Illini at Maryland Terrapins

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Illinois Fighting Illini vs Maryland Terrapins Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: February 17, 2024 at 5:30 PM ET

Venue: XFINITY Center — College Park, MD

Article updated Feb 17, 6:23 AM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

No. 14 Illinois will face off against Maryland in a college basketball matchup at Xfinity Center on Saturday. The last time these teams played, Maryland came out on top with

Game outlook

No. 14 Illinois will face off against Maryland in a college basketball matchup at Xfinity Center on Saturday. The last time these teams played, Maryland came out on top with a 76-67 victory. Illinois will look to bounce back with their leading scorer Terrence Shannon Jr. back in the lineup. Illinois is favored to win by 2 points with the betting line remaining steady.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Fighting Illini -135 | Terrapins +115

Spread: Fighting Illini -2 (-110) | Terrapins +2 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 139.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Illinois will win straight-up is 57%.

Illinois Fighting Illini

Illinois is currently ranked 13th in the NCAA Net Rankings and eighth overall on KenPom. In the latest Bracketology, Jerry Palm has Illinois as the No. 4 seed in the South. The Illini recently secured a dominant 97-68 victory over Michigan, with Shannon Jr. leading the team with 31 points. They are one of the most efficient offensive teams in the nation and have a strong rebounding presence. Offensively, Illinois averages 83 points per game on 46.4% shooting and defensively allows 70.3 points per game on 41.5% shooting. With an overall record of 18-6, Illinois ranks 20th in offense and #135 in defense. They have a strong free-throw shooting percentage but rank lower in three-point shooting. Defensively, Illinois allows opponents to shoot 41.46% from the field and 32.31% from beyond the arc. Just Luke doing Luke things. #Illini | #HTTO | #EveryDayGuys pic.twitter.com/qw5gtz5zAK

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Maryland Terrapins Analysis

Maryland's recent 78-66 win over Iowa helped break a three-game losing streak, but the team still faces challenges in reaching the NCAA Tournament. With a Net Ranking of 76, Maryland is not currently in contention for a spot in the Big Dance. The team has had some tough losses this season, including close games against Rutgers, Ohio State, Minnesota, Northwestern, and Michigan State. Injuries to key players Jordan Geronimo and Mady Traore were overcome in the win over Iowa, with standout performances from Eric Ayala, Aaron Wiggins, and Donta Scott. Freshman DeShawn Harris-Smith had a breakout game, potentially boosting Maryland's chances in upcoming matches. The team's defense ranks 5th in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency, but their offense has struggled, averaging just 69.4 points per game and shooting poorly from the field and beyond the arc. Maryland's power ranking sits at 101 overall, with notable strengths in defense and weaknesses in offense. Their upcoming matchup against Illinois will test their abilities on both ends of the court.

Maryland's Victory Over Illinois Marred by Key Player Absence and Roster Concerns

Maryland emerged victorious in the initial game, however the absence of Illinois' key player, Terrence Shannon Jr., was a significant factor. It is evident that the Terps have consistently fallen short in games against strong opponents this season. Illinois is aiming for a top-four seed in the upcoming NCAA Tournament. Concerns regarding Maryland's roster depth have arisen, with multiple players listed as questionable due to injuries or undisclosed issues. Jordan Geronimo, in particular, is a standout defender for the team. Given the circumstances, it is unlikely that Harris-Smith will replicate a standout performance on a significant platform, as was the case in the Iowa game.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
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Pick on the Total

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Fighting Illini vs Terrapins archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Fighting Illini vs Terrapins matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Illinois Fighting Illini-133 → -150Moved
  • Moneyline · Maryland Terrapins+111 → +130Moved
  • Spread · Illinois Fighting Illini-2 (-110) → -2.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Maryland Terrapins+2 (-110) → +2.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over139 (-110) → 139 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under139 (-110) → 139 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

Illinois Fighting Illini
28-9 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 8-2-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Maryland Terrapins
12-21 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 3-7-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-02-17T11:23:07.310Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Maryland's recent 78-66 win over Iowa helped break a three-game losing streak, but the team still faces challenges in reaching the NCAA Tournament. With a Net Ranking of 76, Maryland is not currently in contention for a spot in the Big Dance. The team has had some tough losses this season, including close games against Rutgers, Ohio State, Minnesota, Northwestern, and Michigan State. Injuries to key players Jordan Geronimo and Mady Traore were overcome in the win over Iowa, with standout performances from Eric Ayala, Aaron Wiggins, and Donta Scott. Freshman DeShawn Harris-Smith had a breakout game, potentially boosting Maryland's chances in upcoming matches. The team's defense ranks 5th in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency, but their offense has struggled, averaging just 69.4 points per game and shooting poorly from the field and beyond the arc. Maryland's power ranking sits at 101 overall, with notable strengths in defense and weaknesses in offense. Their upcoming matchup against Illinois will test their abilities on both ends of the court.

Maryland emerged victorious in the initial game, however the absence of Illinois' key player, Terrence Shannon Jr., was a significant factor. It is evident that the Terps have consistently fallen short in games against strong opponents this season. Illinois is aiming for a top-four seed in the upcoming NCAA Tournament. Concerns regarding Maryland's roster depth have arisen, with multiple players listed as questionable due to injuries or undisclosed issues. Jordan Geronimo, in particular, is a standout defender for the team. Given the circumstances, it is unlikely that Harris-Smith will replicate a standout performance on a significant platform, as was the case in the Iowa game.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-01-14Maryland Terrapins 76 · Illinois Fighting Illini 67
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Illinois Fighting Illini defeated Maryland Terrapins 85-80

Illinois Fighting Illini defeated Maryland Terrapins 85-80 on February 17, 2024, a 5-point decision in the series. Illinois Fighting Illini's strongest period was the 1st half, when it outscored its opponent 43-38. Against SportsJaw's recorded Illinois Fighting Illini -2.5 (-110) spread, Illinois Fighting Illini covered, while the 165 combined points finished over the recorded total of 139.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • WarbuczTotal · Under 139.5 (-110)Loss
  • RoycejacobsTotal · Under 139.5 (-110)Loss
  • CoversSpread · Illinois Fighting Illini -2 (-110)Win
  • StevedSpread · Maryland Terrapins +2 (-110)Loss