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  3. Ohio Bobcats vs Toledo Rockets
Fri 9:00 PM ET
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Ohio
Bobcats83
12-9
versus
Toledo Rockets logo
Toledo
Rockets85
15-8
Final
Team12T
Ohio Bobcats443983
Toledo Rockets394685
NCAAB · Ohio Bobcats at Toledo Rockets

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Toledo Rockets Expected to Dominate Ohio Bobcats in MAC Hoops Matchup

Game time: February 16, 2024 at 9:00 PM ET

Venue: Savage Arena — Toledo, OH

Article updated Feb 16, 6:15 AM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

In this college hoops matchup from the MAC, the Ohio Bobcats will be facing the Toledo Rockets. Ohio recently suffered a loss to Arkansas State in the MAC-Sun Belt Challenge,

Game outlook

In this college hoops matchup from the MAC, the Ohio Bobcats will be facing the Toledo Rockets. Ohio recently suffered a loss to Arkansas State in the MAC-Sun Belt Challenge, while Toledo also lost their matchup against Appalachian State. The teams have previously met this season, with Toledo winning by nine on the road. The game is scheduled for 9:00 EST at Savage Arena and will be aired on ESPNU. Toledo is favored to win, with the opening line at -6 and the current line at Toledo -5.5.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Bobcats +205 | Rockets -248

Spread: Bobcats +5.5 (-110) | Rockets -5.5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 159.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Toledo will win straight-up is 71%.

Ohio Bobcats

The MAC Conference is expected to have only one team in the NCAA Tournament this season, with the bid likely going to the winner of the MAC Conference Tournament. According to Joe Lunardi's Bracketology, Akron is currently favored to secure that spot as they sit at the top of the league and are projected as a 13-seed. Seeding becomes crucial in the conference tournament, and Ohio is currently ranked fifth with a 12-9 record. Despite a recent loss to Arkansas State, Ohio had previously been on a four-game winning streak in the league. Guard Jaylin Hunter has been a standout player for Ohio, leading the team in scoring with an average of 14.8 points per game and also excelling in assists and rebounds. Hunter's recent performances have been impressive, scoring 20 or more points in his last three games. Shereef Mitchell, another guard for Ohio, has also been a consistent scorer, averaging 13.3 points per game. AJ Clayton, a forward, is the team's top shooter and has made 49 three-pointers with a shooting percentage of 40.5%. In terms of overall rankings, Ohio is currently ranked 171st according to KenPom, with a stronger offensive performance (102nd in offensive efficiency) compared to their defensive performance (278th in defensive efficiency). The team plays at the 192nd fastest tempo in college hoops. The injury report for Ohio states that there are no listed injuries. As for their season statistics, Ohio has an offensive power ranking of 157, ranking 75th in offense with an average of 78.43 points per game and 160th in defense with an average of 71.17 points allowed per game. They have a 13-11 record for the season with a 10-13 against the spread (ATS). Offensively, the team shoots 46.00% from the field (ranked 108th), 71.49% from the free-throw line (ranked 188th), and 35.52% from three-point range (ranked 101st). They average 36.09 rebounds per game (ranked 156th), 14.09 offensive assists, and 9.78 turnovers per game (ranked 124th and 26th, respectively). Defensively, Ohio allows opponents to shoot 42.46% from the field (ranked 117th), 70.13% from the Count the basket!! 📺ESPN+// https://t.co/88X2EfgEmk #OUohyeah pic.twitter.com/cXvfgaPtWm

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Toledo Rockets Analysis

The Toledo Rockets are currently one game behind the first-place team in the MAC conference, despite losing two of their last three games. Fortunately, their most recent loss was non-conference, so it did not affect their standing in the league. They did, however, lose to Akron, the team currently ahead of them in the standings. They will have another opportunity to play against Akron immediately after their upcoming match with Ohio. In their previous game against App State, guard Dante Maddox Jr. led Toledo with 25 points, although they ultimately lost. The team has four players who are averaging over 13.0 points per game this season. Ra'Heim Moss, a 6'4 junior guard, leads the team with an average of 16.5 points, 5.6 rebounds, and 3.0 assists per game. Moss has consistently scored 15 or more points in his last nine games, including a high of 24 against Ball State. Dante Maddox Jr., a 6'2 junior guard, is the team's top shooter, with 56 made three-pointers on 42.1% shooting from deep. He also contributes an average of 15.7 points per game. Tyler Cochran, another 6'2 guard, adds 13.5 points per game and is a strong presence on the boards, averaging 6.7 rebounds per game despite his height. The top frontcourt player is 6'7 freshman Javan Simmons, who contributes 13.0 points per game. According to KenPom, Toledo is currently ranked 135th overall. Their offense is their strength, ranking 63rd in efficiency, while their defense is their weakness, ranking 266th. They also play at a faster pace than Ohio, with a national rank of 79th in pace of play. In terms of statistics, Toledo ranks 54th for offense in the country, scoring an average of 79.65 points per game. They have a field goal percentage of 48.13% (25th rank), a free throw percentage of 76.00% (37th rank), and a three-point percentage of 36.60% (49th rank). However, they struggle on defense, allowing opponents to shoot 48.79% (358th rank) from the field and 71.94% (221st rank) from the free-throw line. They allow opponents to

Toledo Returns to Home Court as Favorable Bet to Cover Against Ohio

Toledo will have the advantage of returning to their home court for this game, where they have demonstrated a strong record of 9-2 so far this season. It is worth noting that their only two losses have been against non-conference opponents. The Rockets have also displayed their dominance in their last five home games, which will undoubtedly bring anticipation and motivation as they conclude their three-game road trip. In terms of skill and performance, Toledo exemplifies a superior version of Ohio. Both teams share a similar style of play, yet the former outshines the latter in KenPom rankings, as well as in offensive and defensive efficiency. Toledo boasts a formidable offense, with four key scorers averaging over 13.0 PPG. Conversely, Ohio's defense has struggled this season, currently ranking as the weakest unit in this matchup, sitting at a disappointing 278th in efficiency. Toledo's Maddox has showcased exceptional shooting accuracy from beyond the arc lately, evidenced by his four successful three-pointers in the last game, as well as his six three-pointers in a previous game against Bowling Green. Additionally, Ra'Heim Moss consistently contributes at least 15 points per game and is expected to maintain his scoring prowess against Ohio's vulnerable defense. It is essential to recognize that Toledo has an upcoming rematch against Akron. Being on their home floor, the Rockets will undoubtedly prioritize this significant matchup and will not allow Ohio to undermine its importance before it even occurs. Therefore, I recommend placing your bet on Toledo to cover.

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Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Bobcats vs Rockets archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Bobcats vs Rockets matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Ohio Bobcats+210 → +190Moved
  • Moneyline · Toledo Rockets-253 → -230Moved
  • Spread · Ohio Bobcats+6 (-110) → +5.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Toledo Rockets-6 (-110) → -5.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over159.5 (-110) → 160.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under159.5 (-110) → 160.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Ohio Bobcats
12-9 matchup record · 7-3-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Toledo Rockets
15-8 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-02-16T11:15:48.561Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

The MAC Conference is expected to have only one team in the NCAA Tournament this season, with the bid likely going to the winner of the MAC Conference Tournament. According to Joe Lunardi's Bracketology, Akron is currently favored to secure that spot as they sit at the top of the league and are projected as a 13-seed. Seeding becomes crucial in the conference tournament, and Ohio is currently ranked fifth with a 12-9 record. Despite a recent loss to Arkansas State, Ohio had previously been on a four-game winning streak in the league. Guard Jaylin Hunter has been a standout player for Ohio, leading the team in scoring with an average of 14.8 points per game and also excelling in assists and rebounds. Hunter's recent performances have been impressive, scoring 20 or more points in his last three games. Shereef Mitchell, another guard for Ohio, has also been a consistent scorer, averaging 13.3 points per game. AJ Clayton, a forward, is the team's top shooter and has made 49 three-pointers with a shooting percentage of 40.5%. In terms of overall rankings, Ohio is currently ranked 171st according to KenPom, with a stronger offensive performance (102nd in offensive efficiency) compared to their defensive performance (278th in defensive efficiency). The team plays at the 192nd fastest tempo in college hoops. The injury report for Ohio states that there are no listed injuries. As for their season statistics, Ohio has an offensive power ranking of 157, ranking 75th in offense with an average of 78.43 points per game and 160th in defense with an average of 71.17 points allowed per game. They have a 13-11 record for the season with a 10-13 against the spread (ATS). Offensively, the team shoots 46.00% from the field (ranked 108th), 71.49% from the free-throw line (ranked 188th), and 35.52% from three-point range (ranked 101st). They average 36.09 rebounds per game (ranked 156th), 14.09 offensive assists, and 9.78 turnovers per game (ranked 124th and 26th, respectively). Defensively, Ohio allows opponents to shoot 42.46% from the field (ranked 117th), 70.13% from the Count the basket!! 📺ESPN+// https://t.co/88X2EfgEmk #OUohyeah pic.twitter.com/cXvfgaPtWm

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-01-02Toledo Rockets 86 · Ohio Bobcats 77
  • 2023-03-10Ohio Bobcats 75 · Toledo Rockets 82
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Toledo Rockets defeated Ohio Bobcats 85-83

Toledo Rockets defeated Ohio Bobcats 85-83 on February 16, 2024, a 2-point decision in the series. Toledo Rockets' strongest period was the 2nd half, when it outscored its opponent 46-39. Against SportsJaw's recorded Ohio Bobcats +5.5 (-110) spread, Ohio Bobcats covered, while the 168 combined points finished over the recorded total of 160.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • 1735203231Spread · Ohio Bobcats +5.5 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 159.5 (-110)Win
  • JeffjacksonSpread · Toledo Rockets -6 (-110)Loss
  • JtgarciaSpread · Ohio Bobcats +6 (-110)Win
  • Drew_WestcottSpread · Ohio Bobcats +6 (-110)Win
  • UncledavidTotal · Over 159.5 (-110)Win
  • MikeVargasSpread · Ohio Bobcats +6 (-110)Win
  • SfdanTotal · Under 159.5 (-110)Loss
  • Josh720Spread · Ohio Bobcats +6 (-110)Win
  • KryptonMoneyline · Toledo Rockets -240Win