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  1. Home
  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. Liberty Flames vs New Mexico St. Aggies
Thu 9:00 PM ET
Liberty Flames logo
Liberty
Flames64
25-7
versus
New Mexico St. Aggies logo
New Mexico St.
Aggies54
16-16
Final
Team12T
Liberty Flames244064
New Mexico St. Aggies292554
NCAAB · Liberty Flames at New Mexico St. Aggies

Your Picks on Liberty vs New Mexico St.

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Liberty Flames vs New Mexico St. Aggies Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: February 13, 2025 at 9:00 PM ET

Venue: Pan American Center — Las Cruces, NM

Article updated Feb 13, 8:17 AM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Liberty Flames are set to square off against the New Mexico State Aggies in a C-USA matchup, with Liberty being the predicted favorite with a -4 opening line. The Flames

Game outlook

The Liberty Flames are set to square off against the New Mexico State Aggies in a C-USA matchup, with Liberty being the predicted favorite with a -4 opening line. The Flames are coming off a strong home win against Sam Houston State, while the Aggies secured a victory at home against UTEP. In their previous meeting, Liberty emerged victorious with a 68-60 home win. Will New Mexico State be able to rise above .500 in conference play? Stay tuned for the prediction and check out our NCAB Picks for more insight on this matchup.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Flames -189 | Aggies +155

Spread: Flames -4 (-110) | Aggies +4 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 133.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Liberty will win straight-up is 65%.

Liberty Flames

The Liberty Flames are aiming for their third consecutive win as they continue to showcase a strong defensive performance. Despite a recent narrow home win against Sam Houston State, where they did not cover the spread, the team has won five of its past six games. Led by players like Kaden Matheny, Taelon Peter, Zach Cleveland, and Collin Porter, the Flames have demonstrated consistency and effectiveness on both ends of the court. With a power ranking of 99, Liberty ranks 101 in offense and 8 in defense, allowing an average of 61.75 points per game. The team's defensive prowess is highlighted by their ability to limit opponents to 61.8 points per game, ranking them eighth in the country. On offense, the Flames excel in field goal percentage and three-point shooting, showcasing their versatility and scoring capabilities. Overall, Liberty has a strong record of 25-7 this season, further solidifying their standing as a formidable team in college basketball.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

New Mexico St. Aggies Analysis

The New Mexico State Aggies are currently seeking their sixth conference win in C-USA play. Despite a strong start with four consecutive victories, they have since cooled off and currently have a 5-5 record in conference play. The team has faced some recent challenges, including losses to Western Kentucky and UTEP. Christian Cook has been relatively quiet in recent games, while Peter Filipovity and Robert Carpenter have shown potential for big performances. The team is ranked 169th in Ken Pomeroy's ratings and has a record of 7-4 at home. Offensively, they are averaging 71 points per game and defensively, they are allowing an average of 68.2 points per game. In terms of shooting statistics, the Aggies rank 313th in field goal percentage and 247th in three-point percentage. Defensively, they are performing better, ranking 37th in field goal percentage allowed and 29th in three-point percentage allowed. Overall, the Aggies have a power ranking of 298 and are 12-11 (8-12 ATS) for the season.

New Mexico State Aggies Defense Poised to Challenge Liberty Flames' Three-Point Shooting

The Liberty Flames have struggled to cover the spread in their recent games and faced a loss against Jacksonville State in their last away match. On the other hand, the New Mexico State Aggies displayed competitiveness in their previous encounter with Liberty, limiting them to only 68 points and covering the spread despite the loss. The Aggies possess a strong defensive capability, allowing 5.6 fewer points per 100 possessions compared to Liberty. Additionally, the Aggies excel in defending against three-point attempts, holding opponents to just 29.8% shooting from beyond the arc, ranking 28th in the nation. With Liberty heavily relying on three-point shots, this presents a favorable matchup for the Aggies.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#LibertyFlames#NewMexicoStAggies

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Flames vs Aggies archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Flames vs Aggies matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Liberty Flames-185 → -157Moved
  • Moneyline · New Mexico St. Aggies+150 → +135Moved
  • Spread · Liberty Flames-4 (-110) → -3 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · New Mexico St. Aggies+4 (-110) → +3 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over133.5 (-110) → 133.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under133.5 (-110) → 133.5 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

Liberty Flames
25-7 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
New Mexico St. Aggies
16-16 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 2-8-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2025-02-13T13:17:23.786Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2025-01-18New Mexico St. Aggies 60 · Liberty Flames 68
  • 2024-02-29New Mexico St. Aggies 58 · Liberty Flames 83
  • 2024-02-01Liberty Flames 73 · New Mexico St. Aggies 79
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Liberty Flames defeated New Mexico St. Aggies 64-54

Liberty Flames defeated New Mexico St. Aggies 64-54 on February 13, 2025, a 10-point decision in the series. Liberty Flames' strongest period was the 2nd half, when it outscored its opponent 40-25. Against SportsJaw's recorded Liberty Flames -3 (-110) spread, Liberty Flames covered, while the 118 combined points finished under the recorded total of 133.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • AliencreationSpread · Liberty Flames -4 (-110)Win
  • AliencreationMoneyline · Liberty Flames -185Win
  • EmcSpread · Liberty Flames -4 (-110)Win