NCAAB Matchups
Tue Feb 13 7:00PM

Michigan Wolverines vs
Illinois Fighting IlliniPredictions & Preview

Illinois Fighting Illini Expected to Dominate Struggling Michigan Wolverines in Big Ten Showdown

In an upcoming matchup, the top-ranked team in the Big Ten standings, the #14 Illinois Fighting Illini, will face the struggling Michigan Wolverines. The Wolverines have had a difficult season with a record of 8-16 and are considered one of the conference's worst schools. On the other hand, Illinois has been performing well with a record of 17-6. The game will take place at State Farm Center at 7:00 p.m. EDT. In their previous matchup in January, Illinois emerged victorious with a 15-point win. Despite being the underdogs, the Wolverines will try to bounce back in Champaign. The betting odds favor Illinois as the favorite with a -16 opening line, which has remained unchanged.

Betting Odds

  • Moneyline: Wolverines +885 | Fighting Illini -1700
  • Spread: Wolverines +16 (-110) | Fighting Illini -16 (-110)
  • Total: Over/Under 153.5 (-110)
  • Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Illinois will win straight-up is 94%.

Michigan vs Illinois Stats

Wolverines vs Fighting Illini prediction infographic
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Michigan Wolverines

The Wolverines had a disappointing loss in Nebraska last weekend, scoring only 59 points. Their offense is ranked 65th nationally and is averaging 76.0 points per game. They have a field goal percentage of 45.5%, three-point percentage of 36.7%, and free throw percentage of 71.3%. They average 11.0 offensive rebounds and 12.7 turnovers per game. Their defense has been a challenge this season, allowing 78.4 points per game, the worst in the Big Ten. They have struggled to limit their opponents' shooting, with a three-point percentage allowed of 35.6% and a field goal percentage allowed of 45.6%. They allow an average of 18.8 free throw attempts per game. Michigan has a positive rebounding margin but a negative turnover differential. Their next game against Illinois will show if they can bounce back from their recent defeat. Overall, Michigan is ranked 105th in offense, 329th in defense, and has a record of 8-16 this season. They have been relatively efficient on offense, shooting 46.05% from the field, 71.26% from the free throw line, and 36.87% from three-point range. They average 36.43 rebounds per game, 13.17 offensive assists, and 12.61 turnovers. Defensively, they struggle to contain their opponents, allowing a field goal percentage of 45.52%, free throw percentage of 72.58%, and three-point percentage of 35.46%. They average 34.48 defensive rebounds, 12.87 defensive assists, and 9.87 turnovers per game.

Illinois Fighting Illini Analysis

The Illinois Fighting Illini recently experienced a defeat against Michigan State but have a chance to bounce back at home where they hold a strong record. The team has performed well in the Big Ten with an explosive offense, averaging 82.4 points per game on 46.0% shooting. They excel in grabbing offensive rebounds, leading the conference with 13.3 per game. Despite the loss, their defense has been solid throughout the season, allowing an average of 70.4 points per game on 41.4% shooting. However, they have performed even better defensively at home, holding opponents to 38.5% shooting and 64.2 points per game. Additionally, they have a +9.3 rebounding margin. While they have a turnover differential of -1.9, they have been able to mask this issue when playing at home. In terms of rankings, the Fighting Illini are ranked 25th in offense, scoring an average of 82.55 points per game, and 117th in defense, allowing an average of 69.64 points per game. They have a power ranking of 55 and hold a record of 17-6. In their previous matchups with Michigan, Illinois lost three out of three games. Their offensive stats show that they hit an average of 46.08% of their field goals, 72.28% of their free throws, and 33.82% of their three-pointers. They average 43.18 rebounds per game, 13.00 offensive assists, and 11.23 turnovers per game. On the defensive side, Illinois allows opponents to shoot 41.00% from the field, 69.79% from the free-throw line, and 32.27% from beyond the arc. They average 33.41 defensive rebounds per game, 10.77 defensive assists, and 9.36 turnovers per game.

Michigan's Struggles Continue on the Road, Illinois Expected to Dominate

The Michigan team demonstrated a lackluster performance in their last road game, suffering a 20-point loss, which was unfortunately anticipated. Unfortunately, this pattern has been consistent throughout their conference schedule this season, particularly when playing away games. The Wolverines have endured four consecutive road losses, with the last three resulting in defeats by a margin of no less than 19 points. The upcoming Tuesday match is unlikely to deviate from this trend, considering that the Illinois team possesses one of the strongest offenses in the Big Ten. Given their dominance, coupled with Michigan's struggles on the defensive end, the Fighting Illini will undoubtedly capitalize on their home-court advantage. Conversely, Illinois' defense has proven to be significantly more effective at home and should have minimal difficulties neutralizing Michigan's offense, which has failed to surpass the 70-point mark in their past four road games. It is therefore advisable to place confidence in Illinois to prevail against the spread.

Sources: [ 1 ] [ 2 ] [ 3 ]

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