NCAAB Matchups
Tue Feb 13 8:00PM

Buffalo Bulls vs
Northern Illinois HuskiesPredictions & Preview

Northern Illinois Huskies Favored to Win in Matchup Against Struggling Buffalo Bulls

On Tuesday, the Buffalo Bulls and the Northern Illinois Huskies, two struggling teams in the MAC standings, will face each other in a game taking place at the NIU Convocation Center in Dekalb, Illinois. With a record of 3-20 and a 1-9 conference standing, the Buffalo Bulls are coming off an unexpected overtime victory against Georgia Southern, while the Northern Illinois Huskies, with a record of 8-15 and a 2-8 conference standing, faced a defeat against South Alabama in their previous game. Both teams recently participated in the MAC-Sun Belt challenge. This matchup marks the first of two games between these teams this season. Northern Illinois opened as the favorite with a -7.5 betting line, which has now shifted to -9.

Betting Odds

  • Moneyline: Bulls +321 | Huskies -420
  • Spread: Bulls +9 (-110) | Huskies -9 (-110)
  • Total: Over/Under 151 (-110)
  • Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Northern Illinois will win straight-up is 81%.

Buffalo vs Northern Illinois Stats

Bulls vs Huskies prediction infographic
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Buffalo Bulls

The Buffalo Bulls currently have a 3-20 overall record and have lost their last nine games before finally winning against Georgia Southern in their most recent game. With only three wins, they are among the teams with the fewest wins in the entire nation. Despite being last in the MAC, they have the potential to improve their standings with a few more wins. In their last game, Isaiah Adams, a forward, led the team with 24 points. Sy Chatman, a senior forward, is the leading scorer with an average of 18.0 points per game and also contributes 6.4 rebounds per game. He recently had a double-double with 23 points and 12 rebounds in the win over Georgia Southern. Another key scorer is Isaiah Adams, who averages 13.2 points per game. Buffalo is ranked 347th in the nation according to KenPom and ranks poorly in offensive and defensive efficiency. The team plays at a medium pace compared to other teams. In terms of injuries, none have been reported. The Bulls would need to win the MAC Tournament in order to advance to the NCAA Tournament. In terms of power rankings, Buffalo is ranked 361st and ranks 329th in offense and 348th in defense. They have a 3-20 record this season. The team has an average field goal percentage of 40.75% and a free throw percentage of 70.86%. They make an average of 26.58% of their three-point attempts. Buffalo averages 35.14 rebounds per game and has 12.23 offensive assists and 14.86 turnovers per game. Defensively, they allow opponents to make an average of 48.90% of their field goals and 71.66% of their free throws. They allow an average of 36.27% of three-pointers and average 36.50 defensive rebounds per game. The team has 16.82 defensive assists and 10.82 turnovers per game.

Northern Illinois Huskies Analysis

The Northern Illinois Huskies, a basketball team in the MAC standings, recently improved their position by winning two of their last three games. They defeated Eastern Michigan and Miami Ohio in their last two league games, bringing their record to 2-8 after losing their first eight games. Despite a loss to South Alabama, forward Xavier Amos scored 16 points. The team is led in scoring by junior guard David Coit with an average of 19.2 points per game and is recognized as an elite shooter from the outside. Zarique Nutter, a junior guard, adds 15.8 points per game and 5.7 rebounds from the perimeter. Xavier Amos, a sophomore forward, contributes 13.6 points per game and leads the team with 5.8 rebounds per game. In terms of efficiency, Northern Illinois ranks 225th in offensive efficiency and 320th in defensive efficiency. They play at a similar pace as the Bulls, ranking 115th in the nation in pace of play. Currently, the team is not projected to receive an at-large bid to the NCAA Tournament. According to KenPom, Northern Illinois is ranked 283rd overall. The team's injury report shows no players listed. In terms of statistics, the Huskies have an average of 76.05 points per game on offense, ranking 123rd, and allow an average of 78.73 points per game on defense, ranking 339th. They have a field goal percentage of 45.17%, a free throw percentage of 68.46%, and a three-point percentage of 33.40%. They average 35.91 rebounds per game and have 10.41 offensive assists and 12.68 turnovers per game. On defense, they allow a field goal percentage of 44.60%, a free throw percentage of 70.38%, and a three-point percentage of 35.84%. They average 37.82 defensive rebounds per game and have 13.86 defensive assists and 11.55 turnovers per game.

Northern Illinois Favored to Cover Nine-Point Spread Against Struggling Buffalo

Northern Illinois possesses significant advantages over Buffalo that make me comfortable with laying nine points on the Huskies. First and foremost, their current momentum cannot be overlooked. Moreover, their roster comprises multiple proficient scorers, and they hold a higher ranking in KenPom. Additionally, the fact that they are playing on their home court further solidifies their advantage. In contrast, Buffalo has won only three games this season and struggles to match Northern Illinois in terms of offensive firepower. In particular, David Coit stands out as a top-notch scorer for Northern Illinois, ranking fourth in the league. With his exceptional shooting ability, Coit has amassed the highest number of made three-pointers in comparison to any other player in this game. Buffalo, being the underdog, tends to have difficulty covering larger point spreads, as evidenced by their recent failure to cover against Bowling Green and Ohio. Notably, Northern Illinois possesses the superior offense among the two teams, ranked 225th in offensive efficiency. On the other hand, Buffalo's defense is ranked significantly lower at 345th. Given these circumstances, I expect Northern Illinois to outperform and dominate Buffalo at home, making them an ideal choice for covering the spread.

Sources: [ 1 ] [ 2 ] [ 4 ]

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