NCAAB Matchups
Air Force Falcons vs UNLV Runnin Rebels Prediction

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AIRFO
UNLV
Open
Side
+15
-15
-14
Moneyline
+870
-1600
-1000
Total
O 134
U 134
134

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Air Force Falcons vs
UNLV Runnin RebelsPredictions & Preview

UNLV Rebels Favored to Dominate Air Force Falcons in Mountain West Conference Matchup

The Air Force Falcons are set to play against the UNLV Rebels at Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas, NV, on Tuesday night in a Mountain West Conference matchup. This will be the second time the two teams face off this season, with UNLV winning the previous game 77-58 as a 7.5-point road favorite. In this upcoming game, UNLV is favored to win by 14 points, with the betting line remaining steady. For more insights and predictions on this game, continue reading our analysis of the Air Force vs. UNLV matchup, featured as one of our NCAAB picks for Tuesday, February 11, 2025.

Betting Odds

  • Moneyline: Falcons +650 | Runnin Rebels -1000
  • Spread: Falcons +14 (-110) | Runnin Rebels -14 (-110)
  • Total: Over/Under 134 (-110)
  • Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that UNLV will win straight-up is 91%.

Air Force vs UNLV Stats

Falcons vs Runnin' Rebels prediction infographic
View stats & injuries for Falcons vs Runnin' Rebels

Air Force Falcons

The Air Force Falcons are currently struggling with a 14-game losing streak and have only covered twice in their last 12 outings. In their recent loss against New Mexico, they shot just 31.5% from the field and were outscored 48-18 in the paint. Despite the efforts of players like Luke Kearney and Ethan Taylor, the team is averaging just 99.9 points per 100 possessions while allowing 110.4 points in return. They are ranked No. 310 in the NCAA NET Rankings and have a power ranking of 336. Offensively, they are scoring an average of 63.22 points per game and are ranked 259th in field goal percentage and 357th in free throw percentage. Defensively, they are allowing an average of 71.74 points per game and are ranked 345th in field goal percentage allowed. Ultimately, their performance this season has resulted in a 3-21 record, with a power ranking of 336.

UNLV Runnin Rebels Analysis

The UNLV Rebels recently broke their losing streak by defeating Wyoming 68-57 as 2.5-point road favorites. Despite a less than stellar assist-to-turnover ratio, the Rebels shot 46.0% from the field and were led by sophomore guard Dedan Thomas Jr. who scored 18 points. Thomas Jr. has been a standout player this season, averaging 16.3 points and 4.6 assists per game. Currently ranked 106 in the NCAA NET Rankings, UNLV averages 109.9 points per 100 possessions and allows 103.2 points in return. On offense, they hit an average of 44.48% of their field goals and 71.71% of their free throws, while on defense they allow an average of 43.63% field goals and 71.72% free throws. With a power ranking of 197, the Rebels have an overall record of 12-12 (10-14 ATS) and are ranked #274 for offense and #151 for defense.

UNLV Dominates Air Force in First Season Matchup, Looks to Continue Strong Form

In the first season meeting between the Rebels and the Falcons, UNLV emerged victorious with a commanding performance. Shooting an impressive 57.1% from the field, including 9-for-16 from beyond the arc, UNLV outperformed Air Force, who shot 33.3% from the field and made 8 out of 35 three-point attempts. The Rebels held a lead of up to 28 points during the game, demonstrating their dominance over the Falcons. Given Air Force's struggles this season, ranking poorly in key statistical categories within the conference, I anticipate another strong showing from UNLV. With a recent 11-point road victory over Wyoming, a team considered stronger than Air Force, I am confident in UNLV's ability to cover a 13.5-point spread in their upcoming match against the Falcons.

Sources: [ 2 ] [ 3 ]

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