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  3. North Texas Eagles vs SMU Mustangs
Sun 2:00 PM ET
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SMU Mustangs304171
NCAAB · North Texas Eagles at SMU Mustangs

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North Texas Eagles vs SMU Mustangs Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: February 11, 2024 at 2:00 PM ET

Venue: Moody Coliseum — Dallas, TX

Article updated Feb 11, 6:15 AM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The North Texas Mean Green (13-9, 6-4 AAC) and the SMU Mustangs (16-7, 7-3 AAC) will face off in an American Athletic Conference game on Sunday. Both teams are coming off

Game outlook

The North Texas Mean Green (13-9, 6-4 AAC) and the SMU Mustangs (16-7, 7-3 AAC) will face off in an American Athletic Conference game on Sunday. Both teams are coming off impressive road wins, with North Texas defeating Tulsa 68-55 and SMU winning against Rice 95-69. North Texas previously won against SMU earlier this season. The game will take place at Moody Coliseum in Dallas and will be televised on ESPNU. SMU opens as the favored team with a -5 point spread, and the current line is SMU -5.5.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Eagles +196 | Mustangs -239

Spread: Eagles +5.5 (-110) | Mustangs -5.5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 127.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that SMU will win straight-up is 71%.

North Texas Eagles

The North Texas Mean Green had a strong start in conference play, winning five out of their first six league games. However, they faced a setback by losing their next three games against #22 FAU, UAB, and USF. Fortunately, they were able to bounce back with a convincing win against Tulsa. The team took an early lead of 18-5 and never looked back, led by forward Aaron Scott who scored 18 points in the game. The Mean Green's leading scorer is 6'0 sophomore guard Jason Edwards, averaging 18.0 points per game. He is ranked fifth in scoring in the conference and is the team's top shooter with 52 made three-pointers at a shooting percentage of 34.4% from deep. In the win against Tulsa, Edwards scored 15 points, but he had scored 31 points in each of his previous two games. Forward Aaron Scott is the top scorer in the frontcourt, averaging 12.0 points and 6.1 rebounds per game. Scott had a double-double with 18 points and 10 rebounds in the win over Tulsa. Another scorer in double figures is 6'5 wing Rubin Jones, averaging 11.7 points and 3.8 assists per game, but he is questionable due to a hamstring injury. Guard CJ Noland, who contributes 9.8 points per game, is also questionable with a groin injury. North Texas is currently ranked 75th in the nation according to KenPom. They have a ranking of 130th in offensive efficiency and 32nd in defensive efficiency. The team is known for their slower pace, ranking 361st out of 362 Division I teams in tempo. Bracketology projects that the AAC will receive two bids to the NCAA Tournament, but North Texas would likely need to win the AAC Tournament to secure a spot. In terms of statistics, North Texas has a power ranking of 214. They are ranked 322nd in offense, averaging 67.24 points per game, and 4th in defense, allowing 60.24 points against per game. The Mean Green's field goal percentage is 42.93%, ranked 280th, and they have a free throw percentage of 72.49%, ranked 134th. From beyond the arc, they make an average of 35.82% of their three-point attempts, ranking 90th in the nation. The team averages 36 Boooooooom💣 📺 ESPN+ #GMG pic.twitter.com/Ua0AFavBFj

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

SMU Mustangs Analysis

The SMU Mustangs have been on a winning streak in conference play, emerging victorious in their last three games against Tulane, UAB, and Rice. They currently hold a 7-3 record in the league, placing them two games behind the conference leader, USF, who has a 9-1 record. In their most recent game against Rice, SMU dominated with a 26-point win on the road. Guard Zhuric Phelps led the team with 16 points. Phelps is the team's leading scorer, averaging 14.6 points per game, along with 4.3 rebounds and 2.8 assists. He has been consistently performing well in his past six games, scoring 12 or more points each time, with a high of 22 against North Texas. Another key player on the team is senior Chuck Harris, who is the top shooter with 49 three-pointers made on 41.5% shooting from beyond the arc. Harris averages 13.0 points per game and leads the team with 3.6 assists per game. He has also been scoring in double figures in his last four games, including a high of 15 against Wichita State. Apart from Phelps and Harris, the team's next highest scorer is senior forward Samuell Williamson, who averages 9.3 points per game and adds 7.4 rebounds. Currently ranked 47th overall according to KenPom, SMU ranks 68th in offensive efficiency and 33rd in defensive efficiency. They play at a faster pace compared to North Texas but are still placed 201st in the nation for pace of play. At the moment, SMU is not projected to receive an at-large bid to the NCAA Tournament. The team does not have any players listed on the injury report. 𝐇𝐀𝐌𝐌𝐄𝐑 𝐓𝐈𝐌𝐄 🔨 #PonyUpDallas | @SMUMustangs @Samuell pic.twitter.com/oStRH9gmxM

SMU Set to Dominate North Texas in Basketball Matchup

The upcoming matchup between SMU and North Texas presents an opportunity to highlight SMU's superiority as both a team and in terms of health. Unfortunately for North Texas, their chances are diminished due to the absence of key contributors Rubin Jones and CJ Noland, both of whom have been sidelined with injuries in recent games. This loss accounts for a significant 21.5 points per game from their starting lineup, resulting in potential scoring and depth issues for North Texas. In addition, North Texas ranks a modest 130th in offensive efficiency, making them the weakest offensive unit in this particular game. The team's injuries further amplify this weakness. On the other hand, SMU has been on a winning streak, triumphing in their last three games. They are displaying excellent basketball skills as they strive for a potential NCAA Tournament bid, which remains within their grasp. Boasting the 33rd ranked defensive unit in the nation, SMU is poised to capitalize on North Texas' depleted roster. Zhuric Phelps, a formidable and physical guard, has been particularly impressive in conference play and is expected to play a key role in leading SMU to victory in this league matchup. Considering the aforementioned factors, it is advisable to place your confidence in SMU to secure both the win and cover in this contest.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Eagles vs Mustangs archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Eagles vs Mustangs matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · North Texas Eagles+178 → +240Moved
  • Moneyline · SMU Mustangs-213 → -300Moved
  • Spread · North Texas Eagles+5 (-110) → +6.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · SMU Mustangs-5 (-110) → -6.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over128.5 (-110) → 125.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under128.5 (-110) → 125.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

North Texas Eagles
19-14 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 3-7-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
SMU Mustangs
20-13 matchup record · 5-4-1 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-02-11T11:15:18.465Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

The North Texas Mean Green had a strong start in conference play, winning five out of their first six league games. However, they faced a setback by losing their next three games against #22 FAU, UAB, and USF. Fortunately, they were able to bounce back with a convincing win against Tulsa. The team took an early lead of 18-5 and never looked back, led by forward Aaron Scott who scored 18 points in the game. The Mean Green's leading scorer is 6'0 sophomore guard Jason Edwards, averaging 18.0 points per game. He is ranked fifth in scoring in the conference and is the team's top shooter with 52 made three-pointers at a shooting percentage of 34.4% from deep. In the win against Tulsa, Edwards scored 15 points, but he had scored 31 points in each of his previous two games. Forward Aaron Scott is the top scorer in the frontcourt, averaging 12.0 points and 6.1 rebounds per game. Scott had a double-double with 18 points and 10 rebounds in the win over Tulsa. Another scorer in double figures is 6'5 wing Rubin Jones, averaging 11.7 points and 3.8 assists per game, but he is questionable due to a hamstring injury. Guard CJ Noland, who contributes 9.8 points per game, is also questionable with a groin injury. North Texas is currently ranked 75th in the nation according to KenPom. They have a ranking of 130th in offensive efficiency and 32nd in defensive efficiency. The team is known for their slower pace, ranking 361st out of 362 Division I teams in tempo. Bracketology projects that the AAC will receive two bids to the NCAA Tournament, but North Texas would likely need to win the AAC Tournament to secure a spot. In terms of statistics, North Texas has a power ranking of 214. They are ranked 322nd in offense, averaging 67.24 points per game, and 4th in defense, allowing 60.24 points against per game. The Mean Green's field goal percentage is 42.93%, ranked 280th, and they have a free throw percentage of 72.49%, ranked 134th. From beyond the arc, they make an average of 35.82% of their three-point attempts, ranking 90th in the nation. The team averages 36 Boooooooom💣 📺 ESPN+ #GMG pic.twitter.com/Ua0AFavBFj

The SMU Mustangs have been on a winning streak in conference play, emerging victorious in their last three games against Tulane, UAB, and Rice. They currently hold a 7-3 record in the league, placing them two games behind the conference leader, USF, who has a 9-1 record. In their most recent game against Rice, SMU dominated with a 26-point win on the road. Guard Zhuric Phelps led the team with 16 points. Phelps is the team's leading scorer, averaging 14.6 points per game, along with 4.3 rebounds and 2.8 assists. He has been consistently performing well in his past six games, scoring 12 or more points each time, with a high of 22 against North Texas. Another key player on the team is senior Chuck Harris, who is the top shooter with 49 three-pointers made on 41.5% shooting from beyond the arc. Harris averages 13.0 points per game and leads the team with 3.6 assists per game. He has also been scoring in double figures in his last four games, including a high of 15 against Wichita State. Apart from Phelps and Harris, the team's next highest scorer is senior forward Samuell Williamson, who averages 9.3 points per game and adds 7.4 rebounds. Currently ranked 47th overall according to KenPom, SMU ranks 68th in offensive efficiency and 33rd in defensive efficiency. They play at a faster pace compared to North Texas but are still placed 201st in the nation for pace of play. At the moment, SMU is not projected to receive an at-large bid to the NCAA Tournament. The team does not have any players listed on the injury report. 𝐇𝐀𝐌𝐌𝐄𝐑 𝐓𝐈𝐌𝐄 🔨 #PonyUpDallas | @SMUMustangs @Samuell pic.twitter.com/oStRH9gmxM

The upcoming matchup between SMU and North Texas presents an opportunity to highlight SMU's superiority as both a team and in terms of health. Unfortunately for North Texas, their chances are diminished due to the absence of key contributors Rubin Jones and CJ Noland, both of whom have been sidelined with injuries in recent games. This loss accounts for a significant 21.5 points per game from their starting lineup, resulting in potential scoring and depth issues for North Texas. In addition, North Texas ranks a modest 130th in offensive efficiency, making them the weakest offensive unit in this particular game. The team's injuries further amplify this weakness. On the other hand, SMU has been on a winning streak, triumphing in their last three games. They are displaying excellent basketball skills as they strive for a potential NCAA Tournament bid, which remains within their grasp. Boasting the 33rd ranked defensive unit in the nation, SMU is poised to capitalize on North Texas' depleted roster. Zhuric Phelps, a formidable and physical guard, has been particularly impressive in conference play and is expected to play a key role in leading SMU to victory in this league matchup. Considering the aforementioned factors, it is advisable to place your confidence in SMU to secure both the win and cover in this contest.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-01-25SMU Mustangs 66 · North Texas Eagles 68
Final result

Matchup pick recap

SMU Mustangs defeated North Texas Eagles 71-68

SMU Mustangs defeated North Texas Eagles 71-68 on February 11, 2024, a 3-point decision in the series. SMU Mustangs' strongest period was the 2nd half, when it outscored its opponent 41-34. Against SportsJaw's recorded North Texas Eagles +6.5 (-110) spread, North Texas Eagles covered, while the 139 combined points finished over the recorded total of 125.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • DrfeelgoodSpread · North Texas Eagles +5.5 (-110)Win
  • Leadpipe_LocksTotal · Under 127.5 (-110)Loss
  • JtphamSpread · North Texas Eagles +5.5 (-110)Win
  • CoversSpread · SMU Mustangs -5.5 (-110)Loss
  • 72dolphinsSpread · SMU Mustangs -5.5 (-110)Loss