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NCAAB PicksSat 7:30 PM ET
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks logo
Stephen F. Austin
Lumberjacks82
3-0
versus
UT
UT Rio Grande Valley72
Final
Team12T
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks374582
UT Rio Grande Valley314172
NCAAB · Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks at UT Rio Grande Valley

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Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs UT Rio Grande Valley Predictions February 11, 2023

Game time: February 11, 2023 at 7:30 PM ET

Venue: UTRGV Fieldhouse — Edinburg, TX

Article updated Feb 11, 7:37 AM EST

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks are traveling to play the UT Rio Grande Valley at the UTRGV Fieldhouse stadium on Saturday, 2/11/2023 @ 7:30pm EST. Stephen F. Austin is the

Game outlook

The Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks are traveling to play the UT Rio Grande Valley at the UTRGV Fieldhouse stadium on Saturday, 2/11/2023 @ 7:30pm EST. Stephen F. Austin is the betting favorite opening at -6 and the line hasn't moved.

Lumberjacks vs Vaqueros Prediction for Tonight's Game

Based on recent trends and head to head stats, the Scorecaster predicts Lumberjacks to win tonight's game by 8 points. This model factors in recent against the spread (ATS) trends and scoring which predicts the Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks to cover the 6 point spread and the total to go over 151.5 points.

PREDICTED SCORE: Stephen F. Austin 80 to UT Rio Grande Valley 72

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks and UT Rio Grande Valley, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Curated Picks & Predictions

The SportsJaw community predicts Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks to cover the spread (52%)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Stephen F. Austin will win straight-up is 72%.

From the lines set by Sportsbooks, they predict the score to be SFA 81.75, RIO 69.75.

OddsShark predicts Stephen F. Austin will win, cover the spread, and the total will go under.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

65% picked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks on Covers.com

Stephen F. Austin Key Betting Stats

With a power ranking of 86, Stephen F. Austin is ranked #70 in offense (scoring an average of 76.46 per game), #129 in defense (allowing an average of 67.88 points to be scored against them per game) and are 15-9 (13-7-1 ATS) this season.

Offensively, the Lumberjacks hit an average of 48.06% of their field goals (ranked #27) and 72.75% of their free throws (ranked #139) and makes an average of 39.39% of their three pointers ranked #6 in the NCAAB). They average 33.71 rebounds per game (ranked # 256) and average 15.46 offensive assists and 15.63 turnovers per game (ranked # 42 and 351 respectively).

Defensively speaking, Stephen F. Austin allows an average of 43.96% field goals (ranked #213) and 68.02% free throws (ranked #48 in the NCAAB) The Lumberjacks allow an average of 32.70% of the three pointers (ranked #132) and averages 32.42 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 32.42) Finally, the Lumberjacks average 13.50 defensive assists and 18.83 turnovers per game (ranked # 234 and 2 respectively).

UT Rio Grande Valley Key Betting Stats

UT Rio Grande Valley has a power ranking of 263 and are #47 for offense (scoring an average of 77.83 per game), #346 for defense (giving up an average of 77.22 points per game) and 12-12 (10-11 ATS) overall. Stephen F. Austin went 0-3 (1-2 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against UT Rio Grande Valley.

For offense, the Vaqueros hit an average of 47.30% of their field goals (ranked #43) and 70.46% of their free throws (ranked #217) and makes an average of 35.63% of their three pointers (ranked #106 in the NCAAB). They average 37.74 rebounds per game (ranked # 49) and average 15.65 offensive assists and 16.87 turnovers per game (ranked # 35) and 362 respectively).

On defense, UT Rio Grande Valley allows an average of 43.75% field goals (ranked #195) and 73.46% free throws (ranked #298 in the NCAAB) The Vaqueros allow an average of 33.39% of the three pointers (ranked #170) and averages 33.43 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 33.43) Finally, the Vaqueros average 17.00 defensive assists and 13.09 turnovers per game (ranked # 355 and 160 respectively).

Betting Summary

Stephen F. Austin has advantage in regards to ball control (factoring in rebounds and turnovers).

The Scorecaster model predicts the Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks to cover the 6 point spread and the total to go over 151.5 points.

Written by SportsJaw Staff Categorized as NCAAB Predictions

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

SportsJaw Lumberjacks vs UT Rio Grande Valley archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Crowd vs qualified handicappers

No qualifying consensus sample is available yet.

Qualified handicappers need at least 20 graded picks and a 52.5% win rate. A market needs at least three current qualified picks. Selection share is not a win probability.

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks-240 → -250Moved
  • Moneyline · UT Rio Grande Valley+220 → +210Moved
  • Spread · Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks-6 (-110) → -6 (-110)Unchanged
  • Spread · UT Rio Grande Valley+6 (-110) → +6 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Over153.5 (-110) → 152.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under153.5 (-110) → 152.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
3-0 matchup record · 8-2-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
UT Rio Grande Valley
ATS unavailable · O/U unavailable
Last 0 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-02-11T12:37:12.000Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks and UT Rio Grande Valley, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-01-25UT Rio Grande Valley 66 · Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks 83
  • 2023-01-12Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks 85 · Utah Tech 72
  • 2022-03-05Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks 93 · UT Rio Grande Valley 63
  • 2022-02-16Chicago State 71 · Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks 88
  • 2022-02-10Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks 81 · Chicago State 61
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks defeated UT Rio Grande Valley 82-72

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks defeated UT Rio Grande Valley 82-72 on February 11, 2023, a 10-point decision in the series. Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks' strongest period was the 1st half, when it outscored its opponent 37-31. Against SportsJaw's recorded Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks -6 (-110) spread, Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks covered, while the 154 combined points finished over the recorded total of 152.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • CoolioSpread · Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks -6 (-110)Win
  • CoolioTotal · Over 152.5 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkSpread · Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks -6 (-110)Win
  • CoversSpread · Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks -6 (-110)Win