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  3. Tulane Green Wave vs SMU Mustangs
Thu 7:00 PM ET
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Green Wave76
7-8
versus
SMU Mustangs logo
SMU
Mustangs80
9-7
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Tulane Green Wave324476
SMU Mustangs384280
NCAAB · Tulane Green Wave at SMU Mustangs

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Tulane Green Wave Struggle While SMU Mustangs Dominate in Upcoming AAC Showdown

Game time: February 1, 2024 at 7:00 PM ET

Venue: Moody Coliseum — Dallas, TX

Article updated Jan 31, 10:16 PM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

In an upcoming AAC showdown, the Tulane Green Wave will face off against the SMU Mustangs. With a current record of 12-8, the Green Wave have struggled against the spread

Game outlook

In an upcoming AAC showdown, the Tulane Green Wave will face off against the SMU Mustangs. With a current record of 12-8, the Green Wave have struggled against the spread with an 8-10-1 record and have hit the over 11 times in their games this season. However, they recently suffered a loss at home against Charlotte. The Mustangs, on the other hand, have a slightly better record of 13-7 and have performed well against the spread with an 9-7 record. They have struggled to hit the over, with an 8-11 record in that category. It's worth noting that Tulane achieved a 2-0 victory against SMU in their previous encounters last season. As for the betting odds, SMU is considered the favorite, originally opening at -9, and the line has yet to move.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Green Wave +349 | Mustangs -463

Spread: Green Wave +9 (-110) | Mustangs -9 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 157 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that SMU will win straight-up is 82%.

Tulane Green Wave

The Tulane Green Wave are currently seeking their fourth conference win, despite struggling with inconsistency in conference play due to their shaky defense. They were able to secure overtime victories against Tulsa and Memphis in their first conference wins, but have since suffered two consecutive losses to UTSA and Charlotte. In terms of betting, the Green Wave have covered the spread in two of their last five games. Kevin Cross, the senior forward, has had an outstanding season, scoring at least 20 points in three of his last five games, including 28 points against Tulsa. Jaylen Forbes, the senior guard, scored 23 points in the loss against UTSA and has been averaging a reliable 15.1 PPG, although his shooting percentage for the season is 37%. Sion James, the junior guard, has reached double digits in three of his last four games and is averaging 13.8 PPG. Ranked 115th in DI in Ken Pomeroy's ratings, the Green Wave have a 2-3 record on the road, including three conference road defeats. They have been scoring an average of 85.2 points per game, placing them 10th in offense. However, their defense has been struggling, allowing at least 75 points in their last five games and conceding an average of 79.3 points per game, ranking them 340th. In terms of their power ranking, Tulane is ranked 274th and has a 7-8 record this season, with an 8-11 ATS record. Offensively, they have been successful, hitting an average of 48.72% of their field goals and 73.62% of their free throws, while making 35.89% of their three-pointers. However, they struggle with rebounding, averaging 33.10 rebounds per game, and have 14.50 offensive assists and 10.45 turnovers per game. Defensively, the Green Wave allow opponents to make an average of 42.92% of their field goals and 70.23% of their free throws, with opponents making 34.04% of their three-pointers. They average 40.05 defensive rebounds per game and have 15.10 defensive assists and 14.25 turnovers per game. BANG❕ 👌👌👌 @G0LDENJAY23 #RollWave 🌊 | 📺: ESPNU pic.twitter.com/I1pmaBjzqR

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SMU Mustangs Analysis

The SMU Mustangs recently won three consecutive games, including a 103-70 victory against Tulsa. However, their winning streak was ended by a narrow 68-66 loss to North Texas and a disappointing 88-80 loss to Wichita State. They now have a record of 4-3 in AAC play. Zhuric Phelps and Chuck Harris have been standout performers for the team, with Phelps scoring 22 points against North Texas and 12 points in the loss to Wichita State, while Harris has scored at least 15 points in three of his last four games. Samuel Williamson's shooting has been inconsistent, with him shooting below 40% in three of his last five games. In terms of rankings, the SMU Mustangs are 43rd in Ken Pomeroy's ratings. They have a record of 9-2 at home, with three conference home wins. They are averaging 75.6 points per game, ranking them 148th in the country. Defensively, they have been strong, holding opponents to an average of 63.4 points per game, ranking them 19th. They have a power ranking of 89 and are #144 in offense, scoring an average of 75.74 points per game, and #8 in defense, giving up an average of 62.68 points per game. They have an overall record of 13-7 (11-6-2 ATS). Tulane has struggled against SMU in their last three matchups. Offensively, the Mustangs have a shooting percentage of 45.70% from the field, 68.99% from free throws, and 34.66% from three-pointers. They average 40.21 rebounds per game, 15.84 offensive assists, and 12.00 turnovers per game. Defensively, SMU allows opponents to shoot 37.38% from the field, 68.47% from free throws, and 26.54% from three-pointers. They average 34.79 defensive rebounds per game, 12.11 defensive assists, and 13.37 turnovers per game. 𝐅𝐑𝐎𝐌 𝐓𝐇𝐄 𝐋𝐎𝐆𝐎 Chuck Harris is a threat from anywhere. Mustangs up 29-18 in the first #PonyUpDallas | @Cth23Chuck pic.twitter.com/SUn8ChgdWv

Tulane Green Wave Struggle While SMU Mustangs Dominate on the Court

The Tulane Green Wave have encountered recent challenges with a string of losses, winning only one game out of their last four. Additionally, their performance on the road has not been favorable, as they have lost three out of four conference games away from home. In contrast, the SMU Mustangs have displayed consistent success, emerging victorious in seven out of their last ten matchups. Moreover, the Green Wave's defensive capabilities have proven to be lacking, as they have allowed an alarming average of 107.4 points per 100 possessions. This places them at a less than desirable ranking of 204th in adjusted defensive efficiency. On the other hand, the Mustangs have showcased a much stronger defense, conceding an average of only 96.6 points per 100 possessions. Significantly, the Mustangs have established their dominance in home games, winning their last three games with a minimum margin of 10 points.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#TulaneGreenWave#SMUMustangs

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Green Wave vs Mustangs archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Green Wave vs Mustangs matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Tulane Green Wave+349 → +318Moved
  • Moneyline · SMU Mustangs-463 → -420Moved
  • Spread · Tulane Green Wave+9 (-110) → +8.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · SMU Mustangs-9 (-110) → -8.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over157 (-110) → 159.25 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under157 (-110) → 159.25 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Tulane Green Wave
7-8 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 4-5-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
SMU Mustangs
9-7 matchup record · 7-2-1 ATS · 7-3-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-02-01T03:16:32.652Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-02-01SMU Mustangs 52 · Tulane Green Wave 74
Final result

Matchup pick recap

SMU Mustangs defeated Tulane Green Wave 80-76

SMU Mustangs defeated Tulane Green Wave 80-76 on February 1, 2024, a 4-point decision in the series. SMU Mustangs' strongest period was the 1st half, when it outscored its opponent 38-32. Against SportsJaw's recorded Tulane Green Wave +8.5 (-110) spread, Tulane Green Wave covered, while the 156 combined points finished under the recorded total of 159.25.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • PurplebloodTotal · Under 157 (-110)Win
  • JtgarciaSpread · Tulane Green Wave +9 (-110)Win
  • PremierPicksTotal · Over 157 (-110)Loss
  • JwSpread · Tulane Green Wave +9 (-110)Win
  • JohnnywalkerSpread · Tulane Green Wave +9 (-110)Win
  • JohnnywalkerTotal · Under 157 (-110)Win
  • Mickey619Spread · SMU Mustangs -9 (-110)Loss
  • EmcTotal · Under 157 (-110)Win
  • Josh720Spread · SMU Mustangs -9 (-110)Loss
  • RoycejacobsSpread · Tulane Green Wave +9 (-110)Win
  • ThinkmakegrowSpread · Tulane Green Wave -9 (-110)Win
  • ThinkmakegrowTotal · Under 157 (-110)Win
  • MbcTotal · Over 157 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 157 (-110)Loss
  • Tbone91Spread · SMU Mustangs -8.5 (-110)Loss
  • JaredkuntzSpread · Tulane Green Wave +8.5 (-110)Win