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  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. Troy Trojans vs Dayton Flyers
Sat 12:30 PM ET
Troy Trojans logo
Troy
Trojans70
1-3
versus
Dayton Flyers logo
Dayton
Flyers82
5-2
Final
Team12T
Troy Trojans313970
Dayton Flyers453782
NCAAB · Troy Trojans at Dayton Flyers

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Troy vs Dayton Predictions & Best Bets

Game time: December 9, 2023 at 12:30 PM ET

Venue: UD Arena — Dayton, OH

Article updated Dec 9, 1:35 AM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Troy Trojans are traveling to play the Dayton Flyers at the University of Dayton Arena stadium on Saturday, 12/9/2023 @ 12:30pm EST. Dayton is the betting favorite

Game outlook

The Troy Trojans are traveling to play the Dayton Flyers at the University of Dayton Arena stadium on Saturday, 12/9/2023 @ 12:30pm EST. Dayton is the betting favorite opening at -14 and the current line is Dayton -13.5.

Trojans vs Flyers Prediction for Today's Game

Based on recent trends and head to head stats, the Scorecaster predicts Flyers to win today's game by 10 points. This model factors in recent against the spread (ATS) trends and scoring which predicts the Troy Trojans to cover the 13.5 point spread and the total to go under 136 points.

PREDICTED SCORE: Troy 63 to Dayton 73

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Troy Trojans and Dayton Flyers, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Curated Picks & Predictions

The SportsJaw community predicts Troy Trojans to cover the spread (54%)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Dayton will win straight-up is 92%.

From the lines set by Sportsbooks, they predict the score to be TROY 54.5, DAYTN 81.5.

OddsShark predicts Dayton will win, troy will cover, and the total will go over.

split down the middle on Covers.com

Troy Key Betting Stats

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

With a power ranking of 66, Troy is ranked #29 in offense (scoring an average of 84.75 per game), #146 in defense (allowing an average of 69.25 points to be scored against them per game) and are 4-4 (4-1-1 ATS) this season.

Offensively, the Trojans hit an average of 44.32% of their field goals (ranked #190) and 69.65% of their free throws (ranked #225) and makes an average of 34.65% of their three pointers ranked #132 in the NCAAB). They average 43.63 rebounds per game (ranked # 15) and average 15.13 offensive assists and 15.63 turnovers per game (ranked # 84 and 345 respectively).

Defensively speaking, Troy allows an average of 40.13% field goals (ranked #77) and 68.95% free throws (ranked #125 in the NCAAB) The Trojans allow an average of 29.03% of the three pointers (ranked #71) and averages 34.13 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 34.13) Finally, the Trojans average 10.38 defensive assists and 16.38 turnovers per game (ranked # 61 and 31 respectively).

Dayton Key Betting Stats

Dayton Flyers has a power ranking of 130 and are #286 for offense (scoring an average of 69.14 per game), #93 for defense (giving up an average of 66.71 points per game) and 6-2 (4-3-1 ATS) overall. Troy went 1-0 (0-1 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against Dayton.

For offense, the Flyers hit an average of 46.26% of their field goals (ranked #121) and 74.10% of their free throws (ranked #76) and makes an average of 37.34% of their three pointers (ranked #59 in the NCAAB). They average 31.00 rebounds per game (ranked # 342) and average 14.71 offensive assists and 12.00 turnovers per game (ranked # 104) and 150 respectively).

On defense, Dayton allows an average of 43.64% field goals (ranked #229) and 73.63% free throws (ranked #285 in the NCAAB) The Flyers allow an average of 38.17% of the three pointers (ranked #337) and averages 32.57 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 32.57) Finally, the Flyers average 12.00 defensive assists and 11.00 turnovers per game (ranked # 146 and 292 respectively).

Betting Summary

Troy has a slight advantage in regards to ball control (factoring in rebounds and turnovers).

The Scorecaster model predicts the Troy Trojans to cover the 13.5 point spread and the total to go under 136 points.

For the best predictions available, make sure to checkout the best bets made by our certified NCAAB experts.

Written by SportsJaw Staff Categorized as NCAAB Predictions

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Trojans vs Flyers archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Trojans vs Flyers matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Troy Trojans+750 → +700Moved
  • Moneyline · Dayton Flyers-1,399 → -1,200Moved
  • Spread · Troy Trojans+14 (-110) → +13.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Dayton Flyers-14 (-110) → -13.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over139.5 (-110) → 136 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under139.5 (-110) → 136 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Troy Trojans
1-3 matchup record · 4-5-1 ATS · 7-2-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Dayton Flyers
5-2 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-12-09T06:35:14.361Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Troy Trojans and Dayton Flyers, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

Final result

Matchup pick recap

Dayton Flyers defeated Troy Trojans 82-70

Dayton Flyers defeated Troy Trojans 82-70 on December 9, 2023, a 12-point decision in the series. Dayton Flyers' strongest period was the 1st half, when it outscored its opponent 45-31. Against SportsJaw's recorded Troy Trojans +13.5 (-110) spread, Troy Trojans covered, while the 152 combined points finished over the recorded total of 136.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • CoversSpread · Troy Trojans +14 (-110)Win
  • BrycetSpread · Troy Trojans +13.75 (-110)Win
  • CoolioSpread · Troy Trojans +14 (-110)Win
  • CoolioTotal · Over 137.5 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkSpread · Troy Trojans +14 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 137.5 (-110)Win