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UConn vs Florida Gators Predictions December 7, 2022

Game time: December 7, 2022 at 9:00 PM ET

Venue: Exactech Arena at Stephen C. O'Connell Center — Gainesville, FL

Article updated Dec 7, 12:14 PM EST

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

UConn is on the road playing Florida at the Stephen C. O'Connell Center stadium on Wednesday, 12/7/2022 @ 9:00pm EST. UConn -3.5 was the opening favorite and current line is

Game outlook

UConn is on the road playing Florida at the Stephen C. O'Connell Center stadium on Wednesday, 12/7/2022 @ 9:00pm EST. UConn -3.5 was the opening favorite and current line is UConn -4.5.

Taking on the Florida Gators on Wednesday, the #5 UConn Huskies will battle for bragging rights in the Big East-SEC rivalry. With recent wins over Alabama, Iowa State, and Oklahoma State, the Huskies are 9-0. With consecutive wins over Florida A&M and Stetson, the Gators are 6-3. The game total is 143 points, and UConn is a four-point favorite. Exactech Arena will host the game at 9:00 p.m. Eastern time.

How effective is UConn or how overrated is it?

After a soft five-game start, Connecticut faced four straight Power-5 opponents and won the PK Invitational. Before entering the Big East conference, the Huskies will play at Florida and at home against Long Island. How talented is this UConn team? There's no doubt we're about to find out. OSU turned the ball over 17 times and committed 25 fouls in its most recent win over the Cowboys. It scored 37.5 percent from the floor and 34.8 percent from downtown. With a career-high 26 points, sophomore guard Jordan Hawkins shot 6-of-13 from the field and 9-of-12 from the free throw line for UConn. Also contributing 20 points was junior forward Adama Sanogo, who made 7-of-14 shots.

Despite shooting 47.5 percent from the field and 36.8 percent from distance, the Huskies have scored 82.9 points this season. The team's offensive efficiency rating, adjusted for schedule, is ninth highest in the country, according to KenPom. The team's adjusted defensive efficiency ranks tenth. In addition to giving up 58.7 points per game on defense, UConn's opponents shoot just 38.5 percent from the field, including 28.0% from three-point range.

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A grueling stretch of games awaits the Gators

With games against fifth-ranked UConn, Ohio, Oklahoma, 11th-ranked Auburn, and Texas A&M on the schedule, Florida has eight games remaining against top-25 teams. After winning consecutive games against easy opponents, the Gators were beaten by West Virginia 84-55. UF shot 34.5% from the field, 2-for-17 (11.8%) from long range, and 13-for-22 (59.1%) from the foul line. The Mountaineers controlled the glass (49-28 rebounding edge) and led by 31 points at one point. Averaging 81.0 points per game, Florida shoots 47.6 percent from the field and 38.4 percent from distance. According to KenPom, its adjusted offensive efficiency rating is 44th and its adjusted defensive efficiency rating is 56th. Additionally, UF has the 23rd-fastest adjusted tempo, averaging 72.4 possessions per 40 minutes (adjusted for opponents).

Colin Castleton leads the Gators in scoring (16.6 PPG, 7.4 RPG, and 2.9 BPG). There are also contributions from sophomore guard Will Richard (13.6 PPG and 4.4 RPG with a 60.7 FG%), junior guard Trey Bonham (10.2 PPG and 3.0 RPG), senior guard Kyle Lofton (9.6 PPG and 4.1 APG), and sophomore guard Kowacie Reeves (9.6 PPG). With a back injury that has kept him out of the past two games, Lofton is questionable for Wednesday's matchup.

Despite winning their fair share of recruiting battles for top players, the Gators haven't shown much promise in the win-loss column. It is now up to Todd Golden, the first-year head coach, to make a difference. In a matchup with a top-five team, Florida has an opportunity to show up and prove itself, but can we expect it to happen?

This year, UF is scoring more than it has in the past few seasons, but its offensive efficiency rating is nearly the same as it was last year. Under Golden, the pace of play has drastically changed. This season, the Gators averaged 72.4 possessions per 40 minutes, up from 65.4 possessions per 40 minutes last season (267th-most). Will they be able to run with the Huskies?

UConn can also score (82.9 PPG) and hold its opponents to 58.7 PPG. According to KenPom, they are the only team in the country with top ten offensive and defensive efficiency ratings.

UConn Highlights

With a power ranking of 2, UConn is ranked #27 in offense (scoring an average of 82.89 per game), #20 in defense (allowing an average of 58.67 points to be scored against them per game) and are 9-0 (8-1 ATS) this season.

Florida Highlights

Florida Gators has a power ranking of 50 and are #58 for offense (scoring an average of 80.00 per game), #241 for defense (giving up an average of 58.67 points per game) and 6-3 (4-5 ATS) overall. UConn went 0-3 (0-3 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against Florida.

Curated Picks & Predictions

From the lines set by Sportsbooks, they predict the score to be CONN 67.25, FLA 76.25. 50% of SportsJaw predicts Florida Gators to cover. OddsShark predicts The super computer is giving each team a 50% chance of winning , and the total will go under.

60% picked UConn on Covers.com

Our ScoreCaster predicts Huskies 77 to Gators 78.

Staff Prediction

Our prediction: Huskies 77 to Gators 78.

Written by SportsJaw Staff Categorized as NCAAB Predictions

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

SportsJaw UConn vs Gators archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Crowd vs qualified handicappers

No qualifying consensus sample is available yet.

Qualified handicappers need at least 20 graded picks and a 52.5% win rate. A market needs at least three current qualified picks. Selection share is not a win probability.

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · UConn-170 → -193Moved
  • Moneyline · Florida Gators+145 → +162Moved
  • Spread · UConn-3.5 (-110) → -4 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Florida Gators+3.5 (-110) → +4 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over144.5 (-110) → 144 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under144.5 (-110) → 144 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

UConn
ATS unavailable · O/U unavailable
Last 0 completed games on file
Florida Gators
27-8 matchup record · 3-7-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2022-12-07T17:14:18.000Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Colin Castleton leads the Gators in scoring (16.6 PPG, 7.4 RPG, and 2.9 BPG). There are also contributions from sophomore guard Will Richard (13.6 PPG and 4.4 RPG with a 60.7 FG%), junior guard Trey Bonham (10.2 PPG and 3.0 RPG), senior guard Kyle Lofton (9.6 PPG and 4.1 APG), and sophomore guard Kowacie Reeves (9.6 PPG). With a back injury that has kept him out of the past two games, Lofton is questionable for Wednesday's matchup.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

Final result

Matchup pick recap

UConn defeated Florida Gators 75-54

UConn defeated Florida Gators 75-54 on December 7, 2022, a 21-point decision in the series. UConn's strongest period was the 1st half, when it outscored its opponent 36-23. Against SportsJaw's recorded UConn -4 (-110) spread, UConn covered, while the 129 combined points finished under the recorded total of 144.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • RetweetSpread · Florida Gators +4 (-110)Loss
  • AliencreationSpread · UConn -4 (-110)Win
  • AliencreationMoneyline · UConn -193Win
  • 1735203231Spread · Florida Gators +4 (-110)Loss
  • JohnnylikescashSpread · Florida Gators +4 (-110)Loss
  • DpxsportsTotal · Over 144 (-110)Loss
  • CorSpread · UConn -4 (-110)Win
  • Bookey Brothers LLCMoneyline · UConn -193Win
  • CoolioTotal · Over 144 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioSpread · Florida Gators +4 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkSpread · Florida Gators +4 (-110)Loss
  • Amp2224Spread · UConn -4 (-110)Win
  • VegaspatTotal · Over 144 (-110)Loss
  • CoversSpread · UConn -4 (-110)Win
  • Amp2223Spread · Florida Gators +4 (-110)Loss
  • PicGawdSpread · UConn -4 (-110)
Win