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  1. Home
  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. Michigan St. Spartans vs Penn St. Nittany Lions
Wed 6:30 PM ET
Michigan St. Spartans logo
Michigan St.
Spartans67
27-8
versus
Penn St. Nittany Lions logo
Penn St.
Nittany Lions58
12-20
Final
Team12T
Michigan St. Spartans353267
Penn St. Nittany Lions352358
NCAAB · Michigan St. Spartans at Penn St. Nittany Lions

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Michigan St. Spartans vs Penn St. Nittany Lions Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: December 7, 2022 at 6:30 PM ET

Venue: Bryce Jordan Center — University Park, PA

Article updated Dec 7, 5:12 AM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

Michigan St. is on the road playing Penn St. at the Bryce Jordan Center stadium on Wednesday, 12/7/2022 @ 6:30pm EST. Penn St. -4 was the opening favorite and current line is

Game outlook

Michigan St. is on the road playing Penn St. at the Bryce Jordan Center stadium on Wednesday, 12/7/2022 @ 6:30pm EST. Penn St. -4 was the opening favorite and current line is Penn St. -4.25.

When the Michigan State Spartans travel to Happy Valley to play the Penn State Nittany Lions, they will play their second straight Atlantic 10 Conference game. After a 70-63 home loss to Northwestern in a mild upset, the Spartans enter this matchup at 5-4. In their last game, the Nittany Lions lost in double overtime to Clemson. Penn State will open its conference schedule with this game. 6:30pm EST is the time for the opening tap.

The Spartans are Sputtering

As the calendar turns over to a new year, Tom Izzo's Michigan State teams play their finest basketball, so the Spartans' 5-4 record isn't alarming. Nevertheless, three losses in five games is probably not on Izzo's Christmas wish list either. Northwestern beat the Spartans 70-63 on Sunday night, falling behind by nine points in the second half before rallying to cut the lead to one. It was led by A.J. Hoggard, who scored 12 points, had eight assists, and grabbed six rebounds. In addition to Mady Sissoko's 12 points, Joey Hauser added 10 points and eight rebounds to round out the double-digit scorers. Northwestern outrebounded MSU 32-31 and turned the ball over 13 times, resulting in 13 points.

In working out a rotation that he is comfortable with, Izzo mentioned his team's lack of depth. The Spartans' inability to protect the basketball is another concern at this point. Michigan State turns the ball over 13 times per game while forcing only 11 turnovers. The Spartans cannot give away possessions when they are shooting only 44% from the field. Teams are shooting 42% overall and 32% from 3-point range at MSU. Spartan rebounding hasn't been as dominant as it has been in years past, with just a +2.4 edge.

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Nittany Lions Showing Teeth on Offense

In their Week 10 opener, the Penn State Nittany Lions have won three of their last five games and are 12-20 overall. Both losses this year have been to ACC teams, including a double overtime loss to Clemson over a week ago in the ACC/Big Ten Men's Basketball Challenge. In the game's final 51 seconds, Penn State rallied from a seven-point deficit. Clemson fans were stunned when Andrew Funk drilled a game-tying three-point field goal in overtime. Ultimately, Penn State lost 101-94 in double overtime. Camren Wynter led the way with 26 points, while Jaden Pickett had 23 points, eight assists, and seven rebounds. The Nittany Lions' top performers included Seth Lundy, who had 23 points and 12 rebounds.

So far this season, Penn State has averaged nearly 77 points per game and has a +9.6 point differential over the Spartans. Overall, they shoot 47% from the field and 40% from downtown. Overall, the Nittany Lions are holding their opponents to under 41% shooting and 31% from three-point range. Just under five more three-point field goals are made by Penn State than by their opponents. Despite forcing over 10 turnovers per game, the Lions average under 10 turnovers per game.

Emotions play a big role in this game. With hard-fought losses to two ACC schools and wins against the rest of their schedule, Penn State is off to a fast start. A home favorite against one of the Big Ten's elite basketball programs, Michigan State, they are in an unusual position. Expect the student body to come out in full force, as Shrewsberry has requested. From a basketball perspective, can the Nittany Lions succeed? Their long-range shooting is above average. Their overall efficiency so far is +15.99 and their offense ranks 29th in the nation. As of right now, the Spartans are unable to take advantage of Penn State's weakness, rebounding. It has also been difficult for Michigan State to control the boards.

Michigan St. Highlights

With a power ranking of 281, Michigan St. is ranked #211 in offense (scoring an average of 71.13 per game), #227 in defense (allowing an average of 70.63 points to be scored against them per game) and are 5-4 (3-6 ATS) this season.

Penn St. Highlights

Penn St. Nittany Lions has a power ranking of 99 and are #101 for offense (scoring an average of 76.88 per game), #145 for defense (giving up an average of 70.63 points per game) and 6-2 (6-2 ATS) overall. Michigan St. went 1-2 (2-1 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against Penn St..

Curated Picks & Predictions

Based on the current lines, Oddsmakers predict the score to be MICHS 71.5, PENST 63. 51% of SportsJaw players predict Penn St. Nittany Lions to cover. OddsShark has not made their prediction yet.

64% picked Michigan St. Spartans on Covers.com

SportsJaw's ScoreCaster prediction: Spartans 65 to Nittany Lions 81.

Staff Prediction

Our prediction: Spartans 65 to Nittany Lions 81.

Written by SportsJaw Staff Categorized as NCAAB Predictions

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#MichiganStSpartans#PennStNittanyLions

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Spartans vs Nittany Lions archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Spartans vs Nittany Lions matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Michigan St. Spartans+155 → +158Moved
  • Moneyline · Penn St. Nittany Lions-180 → -185Moved
  • Spread · Michigan St. Spartans+4 (-110) → +4 (-110)Unchanged
  • Spread · Penn St. Nittany Lions-4 (-110) → -4 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Over134 (-110) → 136.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under134 (-110) → 136.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Michigan St. Spartans
27-8 matchup record · 3-7-0 ATS · 7-3-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Penn St. Nittany Lions
12-20 matchup record · 9-1-0 ATS · 2-8-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2022-12-07T10:12:06.000Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2022-02-15Michigan St. Spartans 58 · Penn St. Nittany Lions 62
  • 2021-12-11Penn St. Nittany Lions 64 · Michigan St. Spartans 80
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Michigan St. Spartans defeated Penn St. Nittany Lions 67-58

Michigan St. Spartans defeated Penn St. Nittany Lions 67-58 on December 7, 2022, a 9-point decision in the series. Michigan St. Spartans' strongest period was the 2nd half, when it outscored its opponent 32-23. Against SportsJaw's recorded Michigan St. Spartans +4 (-110) spread, Michigan St. Spartans covered, while the 125 combined points finished under the recorded total of 136.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • JohnnylikescashSpread · Michigan St. Spartans +4 (-110)Win
  • Mr_BiggsSpread · Penn St. Nittany Lions -4 (-110)Loss
  • AliencreationSpread · Penn St. Nittany Lions -4 (-110)Loss
  • Desert_DudeTotal · Over 136.5 (-110)Loss
  • Bookey Brothers LLCTotal · Under 136.5 (-110)Win
  • CoversSpread · Michigan St. Spartans +4 (-110)Win
  • CoolioSpread · Penn St. Nittany Lions -4 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioTotal · Over 136.5 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkSpread · Penn St. Nittany Lions -4 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 136.5 (-110)Loss
  • Amp2223Moneyline · Penn St. Nittany Lions -185Loss