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  3. SMU Mustangs vs Arizona St. Sun Devils
Wed 10:00 PM ET
SMU Mustangs logo
SMU
Mustangs74
3-3
versus
Arizona St. Sun Devils logo
Arizona St.
Sun Devils76
3-2
Final
Team12T
SMU Mustangs403474
Arizona St. Sun Devils364076
NCAAB · SMU Mustangs at Arizona St. Sun Devils

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SMU Mustangs vs Arizona St. Sun Devils Prediction

Game time: December 6, 2023 at 10:00 PM ET

Venue: Desert Financial Arena — Tempe, AZ

Article updated Dec 6, 1:35 AM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The SMU Mustangs are on the road playing the Arizona St. Sun Devils at the Desert Financial Arena stadium on Wednesday, 12/6/2023 @ 10:00pm EST. Arizona St. is the betting

Game outlook

The SMU Mustangs are on the road playing the Arizona St. Sun Devils at the Desert Financial Arena stadium on Wednesday, 12/6/2023 @ 10:00pm EST. Arizona St. is the betting favorite opening at -3 and the current line is Arizona St. -2.

Mustangs vs Sun Devils Prediction for Tonight's Game

Based on recent trends and head to head stats, the Scorecaster predicts Mustangs to win tonight's game by 2 points. This model factors in recent against the spread (ATS) trends and scoring which predicts the SMU Mustangs to cover the 2 point spread and the total to go over 142.5 points.

PREDICTED SCORE: SMU 74 to Arizona St. 72

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the SMU Mustangs and Arizona St. Sun Devils, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Curated Picks & Predictions

51% of SportsJaw users predict SMU Mustangs to cover the spread.

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Arizona St. will win straight-up is 58%.

Based on the current lines, Oddsmakers predict the score to be SMU 69.25, ARZST 73.25.

OddsShark 's prediction is Southern Methodist will win, cover the spread, and the total will go over.

52% picked SMU Mustangs on Covers.com

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

SMU Key Betting Stats

With a power ranking of 67, SMU is ranked #232 in offense (scoring an average of 72.50 per game), #38 in defense (allowing an average of 63.88 points to be scored against them per game) and are 6-3 (3-4-1 ATS) this season.

Offensively, the Mustangs hit an average of 42.57% of their field goals (ranked #264) and 69.93% of their free throws (ranked #216) and makes an average of 32.75% of their three pointers ranked #197 in the NCAAB). They average 40.13 rebounds per game (ranked # 58) and average 14.50 offensive assists and 11.38 turnovers per game (ranked # 115 and 107 respectively).

Defensively speaking, SMU allows an average of 38.24% field goals (ranked #26) and 71.22% free throws (ranked #199 in the NCAAB) The Mustangs allow an average of 28.07% of the three pointers (ranked #41) and averages 37.13 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 37.13) Finally, the Mustangs average 13.50 defensive assists and 13.63 turnovers per game (ranked # 254 and 128 respectively).

Arizona St. Key Betting Stats

Arizona St. Sun Devils has a power ranking of 197 and are #320 for offense (scoring an average of 66.50 per game), #79 for defense (giving up an average of 66.17 points per game) and 5-2 (3-4 ATS) overall. SMU went 1-0 (1-0 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against Arizona St..

For offense, the Sun Devils hit an average of 41.43% of their field goals (ranked #299) and 58.59% of their free throws (ranked #357) and makes an average of 27.87% of their three pointers (ranked #324 in the NCAAB). They average 36.33 rebounds per game (ranked # 198) and average 12.50 offensive assists and 10.50 turnovers per game (ranked # 225) and 57 respectively).

On defense, Arizona St. allows an average of 38.67% field goals (ranked #35) and 72.09% free throws (ranked #241 in the NCAAB) The Sun Devils allow an average of 29.03% of the three pointers (ranked #58) and averages 43.50 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 43.50) Finally, the Sun Devils average 13.17 defensive assists and 14.83 turnovers per game (ranked # 233 and 73 respectively).

Betting Summary

Arizona St. has a slight advantage in regards to ball control (factoring in rebounds and turnovers).

The Scorecaster model predicts the SMU Mustangs to cover the 2 point spread and the total to go over 142.5 points.

Written by SportsJaw Staff Categorized as NCAAB Predictions

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Mustangs vs Sun Devils archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Mustangs vs Sun Devils matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · SMU Mustangs+127 → +120Moved
  • Moneyline · Arizona St. Sun Devils-154 → -140Moved
  • Spread · SMU Mustangs+3 (-110) → +2.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Arizona St. Sun Devils-3 (-110) → -2.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over140.5 (-110) → 141 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under140.5 (-110) → 141 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

SMU Mustangs
3-3 matchup record · 3-6-1 ATS · 3-7-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Arizona St. Sun Devils
3-2 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-12-06T06:35:54.484Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the SMU Mustangs and Arizona St. Sun Devils, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

Final result

Matchup pick recap

Arizona St. Sun Devils defeated SMU Mustangs 76-74

Arizona St. Sun Devils defeated SMU Mustangs 76-74 on December 6, 2023, a 2-point decision in the series. Arizona St. Sun Devils' strongest period was the 2nd half, when it outscored its opponent 40-34. Against SportsJaw's recorded SMU Mustangs +2.5 (-110) spread, SMU Mustangs covered, while the 150 combined points finished over the recorded total of 141.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • BjenkinsTotal · Under 140.5 (-110)Loss
  • Roderick806Spread · SMU Mustangs +3 (-110)Win
  • Hustle$Spread · Arizona St. Sun Devils -3 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioSpread · SMU Mustangs +2 (-110)Push
  • CoolioTotal · Over 143 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkSpread · SMU Mustangs +2 (-110)Push
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 143 (-110)Win
  • TgodfreySpread · Arizona St. Sun Devils -2 (-110)Push
  • CoversSpread · SMU Mustangs +2 (-110)Push