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  1. Home
  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. Troy Trojans vs San Diego St. Aztecs
Mon 10:00 PM ET
Troy Trojans logo
Troy
Trojans55
2-3
versus
San Diego St. Aztecs logo
San Diego St.
Aztecs60
5-2
Final
Team12T
Troy Trojans332255
San Diego St. Aztecs293160
NCAAB · Troy Trojans at San Diego St. Aztecs

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Troy vs San Diego St. Betting Prediction

Game time: December 5, 2022 at 10:00 PM ET

Venue: Viejas Arena — San Diego, CA

Article updated Dec 5, 7:32 AM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

Troy is on the road playing San Diego St. at the Viejas Arena at Aztec Bowl stadium on Monday, 12/5/2022 @ 10:00pm EST. San Diego St. -15.5 was the opening favorite and line

Game outlook

Troy is on the road playing San Diego St. at the Viejas Arena at Aztec Bowl stadium on Monday, 12/5/2022 @ 10:00pm EST. San Diego St. -15.5 was the opening favorite and line hasn't moved.

Troy Betting Preview

For the third consecutive game, the Troy Trojans are on the road. On Monday, they lost 74-61 to a ranked Arkansas team and on Saturday, they lost 78-72 to SIU Edwardsville. As a result of a relatively easy schedule, Troy has a rare chance to play non-divisional opponents three times. However, last month, they managed to defeat Florida State and cover the spread twice.

As a result of an undisclosed reason, Duke Miles is listed as questionable for the last two games. Nelson Phillips is producing, eclipsing 20 points twice in his last three games. The sophomore guard logged 14 points per game on 48% shooting. Christyon Eugene has scored at least 10 points in three consecutive games, reaching 20 points on three occasions and averaging 13.9 points and 6.3 rebounds. During the past year, the junior guard has averaged 11.9 points per game.

Currently ranked 163rd in DI in Ken Pomeroy's college basketball ratings, the Trojans are expected to fall near the bottom of the Sun Belt this year. The Trojans are 2-2 on the road this season, including a victory over Montana. The Trojans are averaging a stellar 81.7 points, ranking 39th. They concede a score of 65.3 points, ranking 104th.

With a power ranking of 91, Troy is ranked #29 in offense (scoring an average of 82.88 per game), #74 in defense (allowing an average of 63.75 points to be scored against them per game) and are 6-3 (4-2 ATS) this season.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

San Diego St. Betting Preview

After going 4-0 at the beginning of the season, the Aztecs lost two straight games. Both losses were against ranked foes, Arizona and Arkansas, who lost a narrow overtime game to the Aztecs. As a result of that slide, the Aztecs defeated UC Irvine 72-69 on Wednesday, then dominated non-DI opponent Occidental 95-57 on Friday. Despite that, the Aztecs have only covered the spread one time in the past four games.

In five straight games, Derrick Trammell's field goal efficiency is below 40%. Trammell has eclipsed 20 points twice this season and averages 13.1 PPG on 38% shooting. He did not play Friday and is questionable with a hamstring injury. In the loss to Arkansas, Matt Bradley scored 23 points. He has logged 11.3 points per game and is only shooting 31% from beyond. With an average of 9 points per game, Jaedon LeDee hasn't scored in double figures for five straight games.

The Aztecs are 24th in DI in Ken Pomeroy's ratings and dropped seven spots to #24 in this week's AP Top 25. Including an 82-75 win against BYU, San Diego State has gone 4-0 on their home court. The Aztecs have scored 79.4 points on average, ranking them 70th, while conceding 70.3 points, which ranks them 219th.

San Diego St. Aztecs has a power ranking of 150 and are #64 for offense (scoring an average of 79.38 per game), #216 for defense (giving up an average of 63.75 points per game) and 6-2 (2-4-1 ATS) overall. Troy went 0-1 (0-0 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against San Diego St..

Curated Picks & Predictions

From the lines set by Sportsbooks, they predict the score to be TROY 83.25, SD.ST 52.25.

52% of SportsJaw predicts San Diego St. Aztecs to cover.

OddsShark has not made their prediction yet.

60% picked Troy Trojans on Covers.com

Our ScoreCaster betting prediction Trojans 48 to Aztecs 80.

Betting Prediction

15.5 points is a lot of points to lay against a 6-3 Troy team. But San Diego State comes in with the better resume and has played a tough schedule so far. The Aztecs have beaten BYU, Stanford, Ohio State and lost in overtime to Arkansas. Four of their six wins have been by double digits at home. The offense on these teams is also vastly different. Compared to the Trojans, the Aztecs are averaging 110.4 points per 100 possessions while the Trojans are averaging 102.4. The Aztecs are also conceding 11 fewer points per 100 possessions than the Trojans. Not a lot of value here for bettors, but if forced to play this game I would take San Diego State to do enough damage to get the win and cover.

Our betting prediction: Trojans 48 to Aztecs 68

Written by SportsJaw Staff Categorized as NCAAB Predictions

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#TroyTrojans#SanDiegoStAztecs

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Trojans vs Aztecs archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Trojans vs Aztecs matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Troy Trojans+875 → +950Moved
  • Moneyline · San Diego St. Aztecs-1,800 → -1,800Unchanged
  • Spread · Troy Trojans+15.5 (-110) → +16.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · San Diego St. Aztecs-15.5 (-110) → -16.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over135.5 (-110) → 137.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under135.5 (-110) → 137.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Troy Trojans
2-3 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
San Diego St. Aztecs
5-2 matchup record · 3-6-1 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2022-12-05T12:32:08.000Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

As a result of an undisclosed reason, Duke Miles is listed as questionable for the last two games. Nelson Phillips is producing, eclipsing 20 points twice in his last three games. The sophomore guard logged 14 points per game on 48% shooting. Christyon Eugene has scored at least 10 points in three consecutive games, reaching 20 points on three occasions and averaging 13.9 points and 6.3 rebounds. During the past year, the junior guard has averaged 11.9 points per game.

In five straight games, Derrick Trammell's field goal efficiency is below 40%. Trammell has eclipsed 20 points twice this season and averages 13.1 PPG on 38% shooting. He did not play Friday and is questionable with a hamstring injury. In the loss to Arkansas, Matt Bradley scored 23 points. He has logged 11.3 points per game and is only shooting 31% from beyond. With an average of 9 points per game, Jaedon LeDee hasn't scored in double figures for five straight games.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

Final result

Matchup pick recap

San Diego St. Aztecs defeated Troy Trojans 60-55

San Diego St. Aztecs defeated Troy Trojans 60-55 on December 5, 2022, a 5-point decision in the series. San Diego St. Aztecs' strongest period was the 2nd half, when it outscored its opponent 31-22. Against SportsJaw's recorded Troy Trojans +16.5 (-110) spread, Troy Trojans covered, while the 115 combined points finished under the recorded total of 137.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • JohnnylikescashSpread · San Diego St. Aztecs -16.5 (-110)Loss
  • JohnnylikescashTotal · Over 137.5 (-110)Loss
  • ScottyydoesknowSpread · Troy Trojans +16.5 (-110)Win
  • MikehuffTotal · Over 137.5 (-110)Loss
  • RcollinsSpread · San Diego St. Aztecs -16.5 (-110)Loss
  • SimonsaysSpread · Troy Trojans +16.5 (-110)Win
  • DtownsendSpread · Troy Trojans +16.5 (-110)Win
  • Desert_DudeTotal · Over 137.5 (-110)Loss
  • Bagel ManSpread · Troy Trojans +16.5 (-110)Win
  • Mr_BiggsSpread · San Diego St. Aztecs -16.5 (-110)Loss
  • MacSpread · Troy Trojans +16.5 (-110)Win
  • Nutinbutlocks
Spread · Troy Trojans +16.5 (-110)
Win
  • KrockpicksSpread · San Diego St. Aztecs -16.5 (-110)Loss
  • DemarcusBryantSpread · San Diego St. Aztecs -16.5 (-110)Loss
  • JtmcentireSpread · San Diego St. Aztecs -16.5 (-110)Loss
  • CoversSpread · Troy Trojans +16.5 (-110)Win
  • CoolioSpread · Troy Trojans +16.5 (-110)Win
  • CoolioTotal · Over 137.5 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkSpread · Troy Trojans +16.5 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 137.5 (-110)Loss