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  1. Home
  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. Cal Poly Mustangs vs Oregon St. Beavers
Mon 10:00 PM ET
Cal Poly Mustangs logo
Cal Poly
Mustangs63
2-5
versus
Oregon St. Beavers logo
Oregon St.
Beavers70
3-3
Final/2OT
Team1234T
Cal Poly Mustangs282111363
Oregon St. Beavers2524111070
NCAAB · Cal Poly Mustangs at Oregon St. Beavers

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Cal Poly Mustangs Look to Upset Oregon St. Beavers at Gill Coliseum

Game time: December 4, 2023 at 10:00 PM ET

Venue: Gill Coliseum — Corvallis, OR

Article updated Dec 4, 1:15 AM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The over/under market expects a total of 134.5 points. On Monday, December 4, the Mustangs and Beavers will face off for the first time since 2006, when Oregon St. beat Cal

Game outlook

The over/under market expects a total of 134.5 points. On Monday, December 4, the Mustangs and Beavers will face off for the first time since 2006, when Oregon St. beat Cal Poly 78-65. This non-conference showdown from Gill Coliseum in Corvallis, Oregon, is sure to bring an entertaining matchup.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Mustangs +700 | Beavers -1,225

Spread: Mustangs +13.5 (-110) | Beavers -13.5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 133.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Oregon St. will win straight-up is 92%.

Cal Poly Mustangs

Cal Poly Mustangs have had a difficult season, ranking at No. 333 in the KenPom rankings and No. 348 at Bart Torvik. They have a power ranking of 300, are 3-5 (4-3 ATS) and have struggled offensively and defensively, averaging 68.43 points scored, 73.71 points allowed, and having rankings of 247/243 in field goals and free throws, 176 in three pointers, 305 in rebounds and 350 and 34 respectively in offensive/defensive assists and turnovers.

Oregon St. Beavers Analysis

Oregon State Beavers have a 4-3 (2-3-1 ATS) record and are ranked 265 in power rankings. On offense, they average 71.57 points per game (ranked 239th) and hit an average of 41.93% of field goals (ranked 284th), 76.24% of free throws (ranked 47th), and 27.52% of three pointers (ranked 328th). They also average 36.00 rebounds (ranked 213th) and 11.86 offensive assists (ranked 299th) and 14.29 turnovers (ranked 259th) per game. On defense, the Beavers allow an average of 39.95% field goals (ranked 70th) and 68.55% free throws (ranked 111th), and 29.94% three pointers (ranked 97th). They average 38.57 defensive rebounds (ranked 38th) and 14.43 defensive assists (ranked 302nd) and 13.71 turnovers (ranked 125th) per game.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Oregon State Defense Could Clinch Victory Over Cal Poly as Offense Remains Unpredictable

The Beavers were victorious against UC Davis due to their defense. They could repeat this performance against Cal Poly; however, their offense has been unpredictable in recent play and ranks 308th in turnover percentage (20.8%) and 317th in 3-point percentage (27.8%). Oregon State has been successful in getting to the free-throw line and must capitalize for this opportunity since Cal Poly’s defense is 353rd in free-throw rate (50.8). The Mustangs have a capable backcourt tandem that could cause issues on defense. Even with those facts in mind, Cal Poly is 12-3 ATS in their last 15 outings as underdogs, which points to the potential of their success in this upcoming matchup.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#CalPolyMustangs#OregonStBeavers

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Mustangs vs Beavers archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Mustangs vs Beavers matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Cal Poly Mustangs+700 → +685Moved
  • Moneyline · Oregon St. Beavers-1,250 → -1,086Moved
  • Spread · Cal Poly Mustangs+13.5 (-110) → +14 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Oregon St. Beavers-13.5 (-110) → -14 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over134.5 (-110) → 131.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under134.5 (-110) → 131.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Cal Poly Mustangs
2-5 matchup record · 7-3-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Oregon St. Beavers
3-3 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 7-3-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-12-04T06:15:07.294Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

Final result

Matchup pick recap

Oregon St. Beavers defeated Cal Poly Mustangs 70-63

Oregon St. Beavers defeated Cal Poly Mustangs 70-63 on December 4, 2023, a 7-point decision in the series. Oregon St. Beavers' strongest period was the overtime, when it outscored its opponent 10-3. Against SportsJaw's recorded Cal Poly Mustangs +14 (-110) spread, Cal Poly Mustangs covered, while the 133 combined points finished over the recorded total of 131.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • TweiskoffSpread · Cal Poly Mustangs +13.5 (-110)Win
  • MickeytSpread · Cal Poly Mustangs +13.5 (-110)Win
  • PeytoncSpread · Cal Poly Mustangs +13.75 (-110)Win
  • FlyigglesflySpread · Cal Poly Mustangs +13.75 (-110)Win
  • RcSpread · Oregon St. Beavers -13.75 (-110)Loss
  • SfdanTotal · Over 133.5 (-110)Loss
  • EljefeTotal · Under 133.5 (-110)Win
  • MauriceJonesSpread · Oregon St. Beavers -13.75 (-110)Loss
  • GeorgewSpread · Cal Poly Mustangs +14 (-110)Win
  • 1707662905Total · Over 132 (-110)Win
  • CoolioSpread · Cal Poly Mustangs +14 (-110)Win
  • CoolioTotal · Over 132 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkSpread · Cal Poly Mustangs +14 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 132 (-110)Win
  • CoversSpread · Oregon St. Beavers -14 (-110)Loss