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  1. Home
  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. Alabama Crimson Tide vs Mississippi St. Bulldogs
Wed 9:00 PM ET
Alabama Crimson Tide logo
Alabama
Crimson Tide78
25-10
versus
Mississippi St. Bulldogs logo
Mississippi St.
Bulldogs67
13-19
Final
Team12T
Alabama Crimson Tide344478
Mississippi St. Bulldogs303767
NCAAB · Alabama Crimson Tide at Mississippi St. Bulldogs

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Alabama Crimson Tide vs Mississippi St. Bulldogs Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: December 28, 2022 at 9:00 PM ET

Venue: Humphrey Coliseum — Starkville, MS

Article updated Dec 29, 2:11 AM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

Alabama is on the road playing Mississippi St. at the Humphrey Coliseum stadium on Wednesday, 12/28/2022 @ 9:00pm EST. Alabama -2 was the opening favorite and current line is

Game outlook

Alabama is on the road playing Mississippi St. at the Humphrey Coliseum stadium on Wednesday, 12/28/2022 @ 9:00pm EST. Alabama -2 was the opening favorite and current line is Alabama -1.5.

It wi ll be the first conference game between the #9 Alabama Crimson Tide and the #20 Mississippi State Bulldogs on Wednesday. The Tide defeated Jackson State 84-64 in their last game, finishing 10-2 straight up and 5-6-1 against the spread. Drake snapped the Bulldogs' 11-game winning streak with a 58-52 victory over the Bulldogs, who were 11-1 SU and 5-6-1 ATS.

The SEC will be a challenge for Alabama, but it has battle-tested players

With non-conference victories over Michigan State, North Carolina, and Houston, has Alabama lost its mojo since falling to Gonzaga? On Wednesday, the Crimson Tide will get their first true test since their loss to Jackson State. After losing to Drake, the Bulldogs now have additional motivation to win again.

After trailing by just one point at halftime, Alabama put away the Tigers with 51 points in the second half. Despite shooting 47.6 percent from the field, Alabama missed 20 three-pointers and nine free throws. The Tide were led by senior forward Noah Gurley with 16 points, five rebounds, and two blocks. There were four other Crimson Tide players who scored in double digits.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

After losing their first game of the season, how will the Bulldogs respond?

After facing Marquette, Utah, Minnesota, and Drake in non-conference games, the Bulldogs won't back down from the Crimson Tide. It is the Bulldogs' stellar defensive play that has earned them a spot in the top 25.

Despite MSU's poor second-half performance, Drake pulled off a six-point upset. A 31-23 halftime lead was squandered after Mississippi State managed just 21 points after the break. The Bulldogs shot under 40 percent from the field and committed 17 turnovers with just two steals. The only MSU player to score in double figures against Drake was senior guard Eric Reed Jr. (11 points on 4-for-11 shooting). A total of nine points were scored by senior forward Tolu Smith, who leads MSU in scoring with 15.6 points per game.

Right now, Alabama is the team to beat in the SEC. With the 11th-toughest schedule in the nation, they're talented and battle-tested. Meanwhile, the Bulldogs have faced the 325th contest on their schedule. The Tide should be prepared for the Bulldogs' strong defense, since they have already faced the 18th-toughest averaged adjusted defensive efficiency.

After missing the last game on Dec. 20 due to illness, Clowney should return. In a team that relies heavily on his double-double potential, his presence is crucial. If he plays, I think Alabama's offense will be able to score enough points to outpace MSU's offense that scored just 68.3 points on 42.7 percent shooting.

They are 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight games overall and 0-6-1 ATS at home. As well as their length to pull down offensive rebounds for second-chance baskets, I predict the Crimson Tide's experience and depth will determine the outcome of this game.

Alabama Highlights

With a power ranking of 56, Alabama is ranked #16 in offense (scoring an average of 83.64 per game), #277 in defense (allowing an average of 72.82 points to be scored against them per game) and are 10-2 (6-6 ATS) this season.

Mississippi St. Highlights

Mississippi St. Bulldogs has a power ranking of 96 and are #243 for offense (scoring an average of 69.73 per game), #3 for defense (giving up an average of 72.82 points per game) and 11-1 (5-6-1 ATS) overall. Alabama went 1-2 (2-1 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against Mississippi St..

Curated Picks & Predictions

Based on the current lines, Oddsmakers predict the score to be ALA 68.75, MISST 71.75. 50% of SportsJaw players predict Mississippi St. Bulldogs to cover. OddsShark 's prediction is Mississippi State will win, cover the spread, and the total will go over.

split down the middle on Covers.com

SportsJaw's ScoreCaster prediction: Crimson Tide 71 to Bulldogs 77.

Staff Prediction

Our prediction: Crimson Tide 71 to Bulldogs 77.

Written by SportsJaw Staff Categorized as NCAAB Predictions

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#AlabamaCrimsonTide#MississippiStBulldogs

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Crimson Tide vs Bulldogs archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Crimson Tide vs Bulldogs matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Alabama Crimson Tide-127 → -125Moved
  • Moneyline · Mississippi St. Bulldogs+117 → +105Moved
  • Spread · Alabama Crimson Tide-2 (-110) → -1.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Mississippi St. Bulldogs+2 (-110) → +1.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over136.5 (-110) → 140.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under136.5 (-110) → 140.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Alabama Crimson Tide
25-10 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Mississippi St. Bulldogs
13-19 matchup record · 4-4-2 ATS · 1-9-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2022-12-29T07:11:47.000Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2022-02-16Mississippi St. Bulldogs 75 · Alabama Crimson Tide 80
  • 2022-01-15Alabama Crimson Tide 76 · Mississippi St. Bulldogs 78
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Alabama Crimson Tide defeated Mississippi St. Bulldogs 78-67

Alabama Crimson Tide defeated Mississippi St. Bulldogs 78-67 on December 28, 2022, a 11-point decision in the series. Alabama Crimson Tide's strongest period was the 2nd half, when it outscored its opponent 44-37. Against SportsJaw's recorded Alabama Crimson Tide -1.5 (-110) spread, Alabama Crimson Tide covered, while the 145 combined points finished over the recorded total of 140.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • MackintoshSpread · Alabama Crimson Tide -2 (-110)Win
  • GustavosintoSpread · Alabama Crimson Tide -2 (-110)Win
  • Mickey619Total · Over 138.5 (-110)Win
  • CoolioSpread · Mississippi St. Bulldogs +1 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioTotal · Over 141 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkSpread · Mississippi St. Bulldogs +1 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 141 (-110)Win
  • CoversSpread · Alabama Crimson Tide -1 (-110)Win