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  1. Home
  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. Missouri St. Bears vs Northern Iowa Panthers
Wed 8:00 PM ET
Missouri St. Bears logo
Missouri St.
Bears79
16-18
versus
Northern Iowa Panthers logo
Northern Iowa
Panthers67
23-12
Final
Team12T
Missouri St. Bears403979
Northern Iowa Panthers293867
NCAAB · Missouri St. Bears at Northern Iowa Panthers

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Missouri St. Bears vs Northern Iowa Panthers Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: December 28, 2022 at 8:00 PM ET

Venue: McLeod Center — Cedar Falls, IA

Article updated Dec 29, 2:49 AM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

Missouri St. is on the road playing Northern Iowa at the McLeod Center stadium on Wednesday, 12/28/2022 @ 8:00pm EST. Northern Iowa -1 was the opening favorite and current

Game outlook

Missouri St. is on the road playing Northern Iowa at the McLeod Center stadium on Wednesday, 12/28/2022 @ 8:00pm EST. Northern Iowa -1 was the opening favorite and current line is Northern Iowa -3.

The Tigers play their first game in 10 days on Wednesday night when they travel to Northern Iowa in the Missouri Valley Conference. With a 79-58 win over Central Michigan, the Bears snapped a four-game losing streak. After beating St. Bonaventure last Wednesday, Northern Iowa is on a two-game winning streak.

After a long break, the Bears are back

In its first seven games, Missouri State won four and fell to BYU, UNC Wilmington, and Ball State. Despite losing to UNC Wilmington and Ball State, the Bears won over Oakland and UIC. After that, they lost four straight games, with two of those victories coming as favorites. The only time Missouri State covered the spread during that four-game skid was when it fell to Oral Roberts as an 8-point underdog earlier this month. Ten days ago, the Bears won 79-58 over Central Michigan, covering the 12.5-point spread.

Last Thursday's game against Sam Houston State was canceled, so this will be their first game since Dec. 18. This season, Missouri State ranks 204 out of 363 teams in effective field goal percentage (49.4). Missouri State hits 31.7% of its 3-pointers and shoots 58.4% from the free throw line. Northern Iowa has the No. 224 field goal percentage, but a high turnover rate and strong rebounding numbers. Missouri State's only double-figure scorer is sophomore guard Chance Moore, who averages 12.9 points and 4.6 rebounds. Senior guard Donovan Clay contributes 7.6 points, 5.8 rebounds, and 3.4 assists, while sophomore guard Alston Mason adds 8.3 points.

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The Panthers have a height disadvantage

After losing seven games in a nine-game stretch, Northern Iowa is trying to get back to .500. In their last two games, the Panthers defeated Towson and St. Bonaventure by double digits. Their 83-66 win over Towson was a 5.5-point underdog, and their 62-52 win over St. Bonaventure was a 2-point favorite. With 10 rebounds, Tytan Anderson topped his double-double against the Bonnies with 25 points. Last Thursday's game against Sam Houston State was canceled, so this will be the Panthers' first game since Dec. 18. Missouri State ranks 204 out of 363 teams in effective field goal percentage (49.5). The Tigers make just 31.7% of their 3-pointers and shoot 58.4% from the line. Despite having the No. 224 field goal percentage, Northern Iowa has a high turnover rate and strong rebounding numbers. Chance Moore is Missouri State's only double-figure scorer, averaging 12.9 points and 4.6 rebounds per game. Donovan Clay contributes 7.6 points, 5.8 rebounds, and 3.4 assists, while Alston Mason adds 8.3 points. The team took a 22-point lead into halftime and never looked back, led by Anderson's 13 points in the second half.

On offense, the Panthers rank 162 in effective field goal percentage (50.3). They are outside the top 200 in turnover rate and offensive rebounding percentage, as well as shooting just 67.5% from the charity stripe. As one of the shortest teams in the country (No. 288), Northern Iowa will face Missouri State, which is ranked No. 170. According to KenPom's adjusted efficiency ratings, the Bears are a strong defensive team. Bowen Born leads the team with 19.3 points and 3.3 assists per game, while Anderson adds 14.0 points and 9.3 rebounds.

Since last season, Northern Iowa has won 13 of its last 17 home games. Eight of the last nine head-to-head meetings between the Panthers and Missouri State have been won by the Panthers and covered the spread. The success will continue on Wednesday night. With 10 days off without a game, the Bears are apt to have trouble rectifying their offensive deficiencies in a road game. Due to the Panthers' two games before a week off, this is a better scheduling spot for them, as they also have a mental edge.

Missouri St. Highlights

With a power ranking of 112, Missouri St. is ranked #325 in offense (scoring an average of 65.33 per game), #37 in defense (allowing an average of 61.75 points to be scored against them per game) and are 5-7 (6-5 ATS) this season.

Northern Iowa Highlights

Northern Iowa Panthers has a power ranking of 192 and are #214 for offense (scoring an average of 70.91 per game), #132 for defense (giving up an average of 61.75 points per game) and 5-7 (5-6 ATS) overall. Missouri St. went 3-0 (3-0 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against Northern Iowa.

Curated Picks & Predictions

Based on the current lines, Oddsmakers predict the score to be MOST 67.75, NIOWA 61.75. 51% of SportsJaw players predict Northern Iowa Panthers to cover. OddsShark 's prediction is Northern Iowa will win, cover the spread, and the total will go over.

split down the middle on Covers.com

SportsJaw's ScoreCaster prediction: Bears 72 to Panthers 68.

Staff Prediction

Our prediction: Bears 72 to Panthers 68.

Written by SportsJaw Staff Categorized as NCAAB Predictions

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#MissouriStBears#NorthernIowaPanthers

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Bears vs Panthers archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Bears vs Panthers matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Missouri St. Bears+103 → +135Moved
  • Moneyline · Northern Iowa Panthers-113 → -155Moved
  • Spread · Missouri St. Bears+1 (-110) → +3 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Northern Iowa Panthers-1 (-110) → -3 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over130 (-110) → 129.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under130 (-110) → 129.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Missouri St. Bears
16-18 matchup record · 7-3-0 ATS · 3-7-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Northern Iowa Panthers
23-12 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2022-12-29T07:49:18.000Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2022-02-20Missouri St. Bears 75 · Northern Iowa Panthers 95
  • 2022-01-08Northern Iowa Panthers 85 · Missouri St. Bears 84
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Missouri St. Bears defeated Northern Iowa Panthers 79-67

Missouri St. Bears defeated Northern Iowa Panthers 79-67 on December 28, 2022, a 12-point decision in the series. Missouri St. Bears' strongest period was the 1st half, when it outscored its opponent 40-29. Against SportsJaw's recorded Missouri St. Bears +3 (-110) spread, Missouri St. Bears covered, while the 146 combined points finished over the recorded total of 129.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • JohnnywalkerSpread · Missouri St. Bears +1 (-110)Win
  • 1188460207Total · Under 130 (-110)Loss
  • BrycetSpread · Missouri St. Bears +1 (-110)Win
  • BluedevilTotal · Over 129 (-110)Win
  • DpxsportsSpread · Missouri St. Bears +1 (-110)Win
  • HitmanhartSpread · Northern Iowa Panthers -1 (-110)Loss
  • Mr_BiggsSpread · Northern Iowa Panthers -1.5 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioSpread · Northern Iowa Panthers -2.5 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioTotal · Over 129 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkSpread · Northern Iowa Panthers -2.5 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 129 (-110)Win
  • CoversSpread · Northern Iowa Panthers -2.5 (-110)Loss