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  1. Home
  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. Illinois Fighting Illini vs Missouri Tigers
Thu 9:00 PM ET
Illinois Fighting Illini logo
Illinois
Fighting Illini71
28-9
versus
Missouri Tigers logo
Missouri
Tigers93
20-12
Final
Team12T
Illinois Fighting Illini274471
Missouri Tigers514293
NCAAB · Illinois Fighting Illini at Missouri Tigers

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Illinois Fighting Illini vs Missouri Tigers Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: December 22, 2022 at 9:00 PM ET

Venue: Enterprise Center — St. Louis, MO

Article updated Dec 22, 7:04 AM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

Illinois is on the road playing Missouri at the Enterprise Center stadium on Thursday, 12/22/2022 @ 9:00pm EST. Illinois -7 was the opening favorite and current line is

Game outlook

Illinois is on the road playing Missouri at the Enterprise Center stadium on Thursday, 12/22/2022 @ 9:00pm EST. Illinois -7 was the opening favorite and current line is Illinois -6.5.

In St. Louis, Missouri, the Missouri Tigers (10-1) face the Illinois Fighting Illini (8-3) in an SEC vs. Big 10 showdown.

Have they been beating up weaker teams or are they for real?

A soft schedule helped Missouri get off to a 9-0 start after finishing 12-21 last season. Despite losing their first game of the season to No. 6 Kansas (95-67) on December 10, the Tigers beat UCF (68-66) on Saturday thanks to a half court buzzer beater by Milwaukee transfer DeAndre Gholston.

According to KenPom, Missouri ranks 60th out of 50 states. In adjusted offensive efficiency, the Tigers rank 13th. The Tigers rank among the top-100 teams in offensive scoring, field goal percentage, free throw percentage, and three-point percentage. Five Missouri players average at least 10 points per game, led by 6'4 senior guard D'moi Hodge with 16.4 points per game. According to KenPom's adjusted efficiency, Missouri is 143rd and allows 75 points per game.

Dangerous and balanced

Last season, Illinois finished 23-10 and lost to Houston in the second round of the NCAA Tournament. After beating the No. No. 8 UCLA (79-70) and No. 2 Texas (85-78), the Fighting Illini are off to a strong start. Illinois lost to No. 16 Virginia (70-61), as well as both Big Ten games against No. 22 Maryland 71-66 and Penn State 74-59. Alabama A&M was easily defeated by Illinois on Saturday, 68-47.

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KenPom ranks Illinois 18th in the nation. In adjusted offensive efficiency, they are 40th and score 78.1 points per game. Also, the Fighting Illini average 46.9 points per game and shoot 34.4% from three-point range. Defense has been even better, ranking 20th in adjusted efficiency and 43rd in holding opponents to 62.1 points per game. Texas Tech transfer Terrence Shannon Jr leads Illinois with 17.8 ppg this season, followed by six others who are averaging between 8 and 9.9 ppg.

Despite Missouri's excellent record, they have faced only one team ranked in the Top 25 of the Coaches Poll and have faced only the 346th-rated schedule according to KenPom. Illinois has a much more battle-tested schedule, having played 14 top-25 teams and two top-10 teams. It has the offensive firepower to match Missouri and loves to play fast. There is no doubt that the Fighting Illini are better on the defensive end and also on the boards. Compared to their opponents, they outrebound them by 7.7 points per game. Meanwhile, Missouri has the same rebounding margin as last year. The points will be awarded and Illinois will be taken.

Illinois Highlights

With a power ranking of 110, Illinois is ranked #3 in offense (scoring an average of 90.40 per game), #331 in defense (allowing an average of 75.90 points to be scored against them per game) and are 10-1 (6-5 ATS) this season.

Missouri Highlights

Missouri Tigers has a power ranking of 51 and are #65 for offense (scoring an average of 79.10 per game), #70 for defense (giving up an average of 75.90 points per game) and 8-3 (6-5 ATS) overall. Illinois went 1-2 (1-2 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against Missouri.

Curated Picks & Predictions

Based on the current lines, Oddsmakers predict the score to be ILL 70.25, MIZZU 83.25. 51% of SportsJaw players predict Missouri Tigers to cover. OddsShark 's prediction is Illinois will win, missouri will cover, and the total will go under.

74% picked Missouri Tigers on Covers.com

SportsJaw's ScoreCaster prediction: Tigers 76 to Fighting Illini 77.

Staff Prediction

Our prediction: Tigers 76 to Fighting Illini 77.

Written by SportsJaw Staff Categorized as NCAAB Predictions

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#IllinoisFightingIllini#MissouriTigers

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Fighting Illini vs Tigers archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Fighting Illini vs Tigers matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Illinois Fighting Illini-215 → -280Moved
  • Moneyline · Missouri Tigers+185 → +235Moved
  • Spread · Illinois Fighting Illini-7 (-110) → -6.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Missouri Tigers+7 (-110) → +6.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over153.5 (-110) → 153.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under153.5 (-110) → 153.5 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

Illinois Fighting Illini
28-9 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Missouri Tigers
20-12 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 7-3-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2022-12-22T12:04:20.000Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

Final result

Matchup pick recap

Missouri Tigers defeated Illinois Fighting Illini 93-71

Missouri Tigers defeated Illinois Fighting Illini 93-71 on December 22, 2022, a 22-point decision in the series. Missouri Tigers' strongest period was the 1st half, when it outscored its opponent 51-27. Against SportsJaw's recorded Illinois Fighting Illini -6.5 (-110) spread, Missouri Tigers covered, while the 164 combined points finished over the recorded total of 153.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • OddssharkTotal · Over 153.5 (-110)Win
  • 1707662905Spread · Missouri Tigers +7 (-110)Win
  • Lockpicker69Spread · Missouri Tigers +7 (-110)Win
  • MiamimikeSpread · Missouri Tigers +6.5 (-110)Win
  • Mr_BiggsSpread · Missouri Tigers +6.5 (-110)Win
  • CoolioSpread · Illinois Fighting Illini -6.5 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioTotal · Under 152.5 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkSpread · Illinois Fighting Illini -6.5 (-110)Loss
  • CoversSpread · Missouri Tigers +6.5 (-110)Win
  • FreePickCapperSpread · Missouri Tigers +6.5 (-110)Win
  • ThetotalerSpread · Illinois Fighting Illini -6.5 (-110)Loss
  • TgodfreySpread · Illinois Fighting Illini -6.5 (-110)Loss
  • RoycejacobsSpread · Illinois Fighting Illini -6.5 (-110)Loss
  • FlyigglesflySpread · Illinois Fighting Illini -6.5 (-110)Loss
  • Amp2223Spread · Missouri Tigers +6.5 (-110)Win
  • Amp2224Spread · Missouri Tigers +6.5 (-110)Win
  • BluedevilSpread · Illinois Fighting Illini -6.5 (-110)
Loss
  • MackintoshSpread · Illinois Fighting Illini -6.5 (-110)Loss