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  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. Florida St. Seminoles vs North Carolina Tar Heels
Sat 2:00 PM ET
Florida St. Seminoles logo
Florida St.
Seminoles70
3-2
versus
North Carolina Tar Heels logo
North Carolina
Tar Heels78
4-1
Final
Team12T
Florida St. Seminoles353570
North Carolina Tar Heels294978
NCAAB · Florida St. Seminoles at North Carolina Tar Heels

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Florida St. vs North Carolina Predictions & Stats

Game time: December 2, 2023 at 2:00 PM ET

Venue: Dean E. Smith Center — Chapel Hill, NC

Article updated Dec 2, 1:35 AM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Florida St. Seminoles are traveling to play the North Carolina Tar Heels at the Dean E. Smith Center stadium on Saturday, 12/2/2023 @ 2:00pm EST. North Carolina is the

Game outlook

The Florida St. Seminoles are traveling to play the North Carolina Tar Heels at the Dean E. Smith Center stadium on Saturday, 12/2/2023 @ 2:00pm EST. North Carolina is the betting favorite opening at -13 and the current line is North Carolina -12.5.

Seminoles vs Tar Heels Prediction for Today's Game

Based on recent trends and head to head stats, the Scorecaster predicts Tar Heels to win today's game by 11 points. This model factors in recent against the spread (ATS) trends and scoring which predicts the Florida St. Seminoles to cover the 12.5 point spread and the total to go under 157.5 points.

PREDICTED SCORE: Florida St. 71 to North Carolina 82

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Florida St. Seminoles and North Carolina Tar Heels, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Curated Picks & Predictions

The SportsJaw community predicts Florida St. Seminoles to cover the spread (53%)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that North Carolina will win straight-up is 90%.

From the lines set by Sportsbooks, they predict the score to be FLAST 66.25, UNC 91.25.

OddsShark predicts North Carolina will win, florida state will cover, and the total will go under.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

split down the middle on Covers.com

Florida St. Key Betting Stats

With a power ranking of 15, Florida St. is ranked #84 in offense (scoring an average of 80.33 per game), #214 in defense (allowing an average of 72.83 points to be scored against them per game) and are 4-2 (4-2 ATS) this season.

Offensively, the Seminoles hit an average of 46.52% of their field goals (ranked #109) and 68.22% of their free throws (ranked #257) and makes an average of 34.85% of their three pointers ranked #127 in the NCAAB). They average 36.50 rebounds per game (ranked # 187) and average 15.67 offensive assists and 13.50 turnovers per game (ranked # 71 and 246 respectively).

Defensively speaking, Florida St. allows an average of 43.27% field goals (ranked #206) and 64.02% free throws (ranked #27 in the NCAAB) The Seminoles allow an average of 25.64% of the three pointers (ranked #16) and averages 38.17 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 38.17) Finally, the Seminoles average 11.33 defensive assists and 17.00 turnovers per game (ranked # 107 and 16 respectively).

North Carolina Key Betting Stats

North Carolina Tar Heels has a power ranking of 52 and are #15 for offense (scoring an average of 87.43 per game), #200 for defense (giving up an average of 72.29 points per game) and 6-1 (4-3 ATS) overall. Florida St. went 2-1 (2-0-1 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against North Carolina.

For offense, the Tar Heels hit an average of 46.42% of their field goals (ranked #114) and 76.88% of their free throws (ranked #40) and makes an average of 38.00% of their three pointers (ranked #48 in the NCAAB). They average 39.57 rebounds per game (ranked # 80) and average 14.29 offensive assists and 10.14 turnovers per game (ranked # 126) and 46 respectively).

On defense, North Carolina allows an average of 42.09% field goals (ranked #161) and 78.63% free throws (ranked #346 in the NCAAB) The Tar Heels allow an average of 30.95% of the three pointers (ranked #138) and averages 33.14 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 33.14) Finally, the Tar Heels average 10.14 defensive assists and 12.86 turnovers per game (ranked # 54 and 185 respectively).

Betting Summary

Florida St. has a slight advantage in regards to ball control (factoring in rebounds and turnovers).

The Scorecaster model predicts the Florida St. Seminoles to cover the 12.5 point spread and the total to go under 157.5 points.

Written by SportsJaw Staff Categorized as NCAAB Predictions

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#FloridaStSeminoles#NorthCarolinaTarHeels

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Seminoles vs Tar Heels archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Seminoles vs Tar Heels matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Florida St. Seminoles+500 → +600Moved
  • Moneyline · North Carolina Tar Heels-800 → -900Moved
  • Spread · Florida St. Seminoles+13 (-110) → +12.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · North Carolina Tar Heels-13 (-110) → -12.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over157 (-110) → 157.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under157 (-110) → 157.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Florida St. Seminoles
3-2 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
North Carolina Tar Heels
4-1 matchup record · 7-3-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-12-02T06:35:27.060Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Florida St. Seminoles and North Carolina Tar Heels, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-02-27North Carolina Tar Heels 77 · Florida St. Seminoles 66
Final result

Matchup pick recap

North Carolina Tar Heels defeated Florida St. Seminoles 78-70

North Carolina Tar Heels defeated Florida St. Seminoles 78-70 on December 2, 2023, a 8-point decision in the series. North Carolina Tar Heels' strongest period was the 2nd half, when it outscored its opponent 49-35. Against SportsJaw's recorded Florida St. Seminoles +12.5 (-110) spread, Florida St. Seminoles covered, while the 148 combined points finished under the recorded total of 157.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • CoversSpread · Florida St. Seminoles +13 (-110)Win
  • CoolioSpread · Florida St. Seminoles +12 (-110)Win
  • CoolioTotal · Under 158.5 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkSpread · Florida St. Seminoles +12 (-110)Win