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  1. Home
  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. Texas-Arlington Mavericks vs San Francisco Dons
Mon 10:00 PM ET
Texas-Arlington Mavericks logo
Texas-Arlington
Mavericks68
18-14
versus
San Francisco Dons logo
San Francisco
Dons63
17-16
Final
Team12T
Texas-Arlington Mavericks383068
San Francisco Dons273663
NCAAB · Texas-Arlington Mavericks at San Francisco Dons

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Texas-Arlington Mavericks vs San Francisco Dons Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: December 19, 2022 at 10:00 PM ET

Venue: War Memorial at the Sobrato Center — San Francisco, CA

Article updated Dec 19, 5:54 AM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

Texas-Arlington is on the road playing San Francisco at the War Memorial Gymnasium stadium on Monday, 12/19/2022 @ 10:00pm EST. San Francisco -15 was the opening favorite and

Game outlook

Texas-Arlington is on the road playing San Francisco at the War Memorial Gymnasium stadium on Monday, 12/19/2022 @ 10:00pm EST. San Francisco -15 was the opening favorite and line hasn't moved.

When UT Arlington travels to San Francisco on Monday night, it will be looking to snap its three-game losing streak. Despite losing to Texas State 71-65, the Mavericks have not played in more than a week. After winning six of its first six games, San Francisco lost three of its last six.

The Mavericks are trying to fix their shooting problems

In late November, UT Arlington defeated Northern Kentucky as a 7.5-point underdog as its only win over a Division I team this season. Against non-Division I teams, the Mavericks won three games without Vegas point spreads. In their most recent games, they lost to LSU, North Texas, and Texas State. While losing to LSU and North Texas, UT Arlington covered the respective double-digit spreads before barely failing to cover the 5-point spread against Texas State. The Mavericks have been off since that Dec. 10 loss.

They rank second last of 363 teams with an effective field goal percentage of 40.5. UT Arlington shoots 27.3% from 3-point range, 40.2% from 2-point range, and 66.9% from the line. Additionally, the Mavericks have struggled with turnovers, giving up the ball on more than 21% of their possessions. On Monday, they will have a slight height advantage thanks to their offensive rebounding, which is 41 nationally. The San Francisco 49ers have been a strong defensive squad, ranking seventh in defensive rebounding and inside the top 90 in field goal percentage. Shemar Wilson leads a UT Arlington lineup without any double-digit scorers, averaging 9.9 points and 8.2 rebounds.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Strong defense is crucial to the Dons' success

To begin the season, San Francisco won six consecutive games. In all three losses to Davidson, Utah State, and New Mexico, the Dons were underdogs. Between those setbacks, they won over Little Rock and Merrimack. On Saturday, San Francisco rebounded from its loss to New Mexico by beating UNLV 75-73. Tyrell Roberts knocked down a go-ahead 3-pointer with six seconds left to lead the Dons to a comeback win - they trailed by nine points at halftime.

In a double-double effort, Zane Meeks scored 17 points and grabbed 17 rebounds on Saturday. In terms of effective field goal percentage (51.1), the Dons rank no better than 136. The team has struggled with turnovers, sitting at No. There are 283 entries in that category. Just 31.8% of San Francisco's outside shots are made, but 54.6% of its three-point attempts are made. In terms of defensive field goal percentage, UT Arlington is No. 109. With 14.5 points, 5.9 rebounds, and 3.8 assists per game, Khalil Shabazz leads San Francisco. In addition to Robert's 14.2 points, Meeks had 11.7 points and 6.8 rebounds.

This is a brutal matchup for UT Arlington, which has one of the poorest offensive records in the country. The Mavericks haven't had any success shooting from anywhere on the court, and San Francisco's defense has been excellent. The Mavericks' only offensive strength has been rebounding, but they face a San Francisco defense that is seventh in rebounding. With nine days between games, UT Arlington will be rusty after suffering an upset loss to UNLV. However, the Dons will have momentum after pulling off an upset victory against UNLV. In the last ten games on the road, UT Arlington has been 1-9 while the 49ers have won five straight at home.

Texas-Arlington Highlights

With a power ranking of 263, Texas-Arlington is ranked #268 in offense (scoring an average of 68.64 per game), #46 in defense (allowing an average of 62.55 points to be scored against them per game) and are 4-7 (4-4 ATS) this season.

San Francisco Highlights

San Francisco Dons has a power ranking of 41 and are #156 for offense (scoring an average of 74.00 per game), #161 for defense (giving up an average of 62.55 points per game) and 9-3 (5-6 ATS) overall. Texas-Arlington went 0-0 (0-0 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against San Francisco.

Curated Picks & Predictions

From the lines set by Sportsbooks, they predict the score to be TEXAR 83.75, SF 53.75. 51% of SportsJaw predicts San Francisco Dons to cover. OddsShark has not made their prediction yet.

63% picked Texas-Arlington Mavericks on Covers.com

Our ScoreCaster predicts Mavericks 58 to Dons 91.

Staff Prediction

Our prediction: Mavericks 58 to Dons 91.

Written by SportsJaw Staff Categorized as NCAAB Predictions

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#TexasArlingtonMavericks#SanFranciscoDons

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Mavericks vs Dons archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Mavericks vs Dons matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Texas-Arlington Mavericks+875 → +850Moved
  • Moneyline · San Francisco Dons-1,325 → -1,400Moved
  • Spread · Texas-Arlington Mavericks+15 (-110) → +14.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · San Francisco Dons-15 (-110) → -14.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over137.5 (-110) → 137.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under137.5 (-110) → 137.5 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

Texas-Arlington Mavericks
18-14 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
San Francisco Dons
17-16 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2022-12-19T10:54:55.000Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

Final result

Matchup pick recap

Texas-Arlington Mavericks defeated San Francisco Dons 68-63

Texas-Arlington Mavericks defeated San Francisco Dons 68-63 on December 19, 2022, a 5-point decision in the series. Texas-Arlington Mavericks' strongest period was the 1st half, when it outscored its opponent 38-27. Against SportsJaw's recorded Texas-Arlington Mavericks +14.5 (-110) spread, Texas-Arlington Mavericks covered, while the 131 combined points finished under the recorded total of 137.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • MackintoshSpread · San Francisco Dons -15 (-110)Loss
  • MikeVargasSpread · Texas-Arlington Mavericks +15 (-110)Win
  • legenRandy23Moneyline · San Francisco Dons -1,400Loss
  • legenRandy23Total · Over 137.5 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioSpread · Texas-Arlington Mavericks +15 (-110)Win
  • CoolioTotal · Over 137.5 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkSpread · Texas-Arlington Mavericks +15 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 137.5 (-110)Loss
  • CoversSpread · Texas-Arlington Mavericks +14.5 (-110)Win