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  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. North Carolina Tar Heels vs Kentucky Wildcats
Sat 5:30 PM ET
North Carolina Tar Heels logo
North Carolina
Tar Heels83
5-2
versus
Kentucky Wildcats logo
Kentucky
Wildcats87
5-2
Final
Team12T
North Carolina Tar Heels384583
Kentucky Wildcats404787
NCAAB · North Carolina Tar Heels at Kentucky Wildcats

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North Carolina vs Kentucky: Tar Heels Favored in Betting Matchup, Opening at -1

Game time: December 16, 2023 at 5:30 PM ET

Venue: State Farm Arena — Atlanta, GA

Article updated Dec 15, 5:35 PM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

North Carolina is the favored opponent in a betting matchup, opening at a margin of -1. So far, the betting line has not shifted from this initial

Game outlook

North Carolina is the favored opponent in a betting matchup, opening at a margin of -1. So far, the betting line has not shifted from this initial value.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Tar Heels -118 | Wildcats -104

Spread: Tar Heels -1 (-110) | Wildcats +1 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 164 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that North Carolina will win straight-up is 54%.

North Carolina Tar Heels

North Carolina has the 5th ranked offense in the NCAAB, scoring an average of 91.75 points per game. Their defense is ranked 229th, allowing 73.25 points per game. They are 7-2 (5-4 ATS) this season, with an offense that features 50.57% field goal accuracy (ranked 16th) and 74.17% free throw accuracy (79th). Additionally, they hit an average of 41.51% of their three pointers (6th) and average 37.38 rebounds per game (160th). Defensively, they allow 41.35% of field goals (116th), 70.00% of free throws (154th) and 32.73% of three pointers (197th). They also average 36.88 defensive rebounds per game (36.88th) and 14.00 defensive assists and 14.63 turnovers (284th and 76th, respectively).

Kentucky Wildcats Analysis

The Kentucky Wildcats rank #23 for offense, scoring an average of 85.11 points per game, while ranking #241 for defense, allowing an average of 73.67 points per game. They are 7-2 (4-5 ATS) overall, and North Carolina had a 1-2 (1-2 ATS) record in their last 3 matchups against Kentucky. The Tar Heels have an average field goal percentage of 45.75% (ranked #133) and hit 75.79% of their free throws (ranked #47). They make an average of 35.94% of their three pointers (ranked #84) and have an average of 38.78 rebounds per game (ranked #86). On defense, Kentucky allows an average of 42.98% of field goals (ranked #197) and 74.47% of free throws (ranked #310). The Tar Heels allow an average of 32.60% of three pointers (ranked #190) and have an average of 33.89 defensive rebounds per game (ranked #33). Additionally, they average 12.00 defensive assists and 12.22 turnovers per game (ranked #144 and 224 respectively).

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SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#NorthCarolinaTarHeels#KentuckyWildcats

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Tar Heels vs Wildcats archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Tar Heels vs Wildcats matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · North Carolina Tar Heels-118 → -120Moved
  • Moneyline · Kentucky Wildcats-104 → -101Moved
  • Spread · North Carolina Tar Heels-1 (-110) → -1 (-110)Unchanged
  • Spread · Kentucky Wildcats+1 (-110) → +1 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Over164 (-110) → 164 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under164 (-110) → 164 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

North Carolina Tar Heels
5-2 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Kentucky Wildcats
5-2 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 7-3-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-12-15T22:35:35.295Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

Final result

Matchup pick recap

Kentucky Wildcats defeated North Carolina Tar Heels 87-83

Kentucky Wildcats defeated North Carolina Tar Heels 87-83 on December 16, 2023, a 4-point decision in the series. Kentucky Wildcats' strongest period was the 1st half, when it outscored its opponent 40-38. Against SportsJaw's recorded North Carolina Tar Heels -1 (-110) spread, Kentucky Wildcats covered, while the 170 combined points finished over the recorded total of 164.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • Barry713Spread · Kentucky Wildcats +1 (-110)Win
  • CoversSpread · Kentucky Wildcats +1.5 (-110)Win
  • MickeytSpread · North Carolina Tar Heels -1.5 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioSpread · North Carolina Tar Heels -1 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioTotal · Under 164 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkSpread · North Carolina Tar Heels -1 (-110)Loss