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Texas State vs Texas Longhorns Predictions November 30, 2023

Game time: November 30, 2023 at 9:00 PM ET

Venue: Moody Center — Austin, TX

Article updated Nov 30, 1:17 AM EST

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

5 over Texas State with a total of 143. On Thursday, the 16th-ranked Texas Longhorns will host the Texas State Bobcats in an in-state battle at The Moody Center in Austin.

Game outlook

5 over Texas State with a total of 143. On Thursday, the 16th-ranked Texas Longhorns will host the Texas State Bobcats in an in-state battle at The Moody Center in Austin. The Longhorns are 5-1 on the season and have won their last five games, most recently an 86-63 victory over Wyoming while covering as 16-point favorites. Texas State comes in at 3-4 on the season, but most recently sprung the upset against UT-Arlington on the road as 7.5-point dogs in a 73-66 victory. The Longhorns are favored by 19.5 points, while the total sits at 143. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00 EST and can be found on the Longhorn Network.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: +1,500 | Longhorns -6,500

Spread: +19 (-110) | Longhorns -19 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 138 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Texas will win straight-up is 98%.

Texas State

Texas State has been successful in three of seven games so far this season, facing a challenge against Texas. They recently defeated UT-Arlington underdogs, and Jordan Mason had 21 points coming off the bench. Tyrel Morgan has been out of the lineup since the second game of the season, adversely affecting the Bobcats' 14.0 PPG. Brandon Love is the team's top scorer and an elite rim protector, who averages 11.0 PPG and 3.3 BPG. They rank 201st overall according to KenPom, with an offense ranking of 297th in efficiency. Defensively, they rank 104th in efficiency. They have a slow tempo, ranked 265th in the NCAA.

Texas Longhorns Analysis

The Texas Longhorns are 5-1 in their six games so far with four of the games having been won easily at home. Senior guard Max Abmas leads the team with 15.2 points per game, while 6'11 transfer Kadin Shedrick and 6'5 guard Ithiel Horton score 14.8 and 12.7 points per game, respectively. Texas ranks 31st overall according to the KenPom rating, with their offense ranking 24th and defense 41st in the nation. Their offense averages 81.2 points per game at 50.51%, 69.61%, and 37.86% in field goals, free throws, and 3-pointers respectively. On defense they allow an average of 68 points per game giving up 39.66%, 77.98%, and 26.60% for field goals, free throws, and 3-pointers, as well as averages of 34.2 defensive rebounds, 13 defensive assists, and 12.8 turnovers per game.

Texas Longhorns Poised to Easily Cover Spread Against Texas State Bobcats

Texas State stands little chance in this matchup, considering the lopsided numbers. The Bobcats are 201st in the nation while the Longhorns rank 41st defensively. Texas State has only played one match similar to this, against Oklahoma, a game in which they were blown out of the water with a 39-point deficit despite being only 15.5 points behind in the spread. Texas, however, has faced tougher competition in four similar games, only twice failing to cover a large spread, covering the other two with ease. With Brandon Love of Texas State finding it hard to block against the superior athletes of the Longhorns, Texas are the likely victors. Texas is thus the logical option to win and cover the spread.

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SportsJaw Texas State vs Longhorns archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. how our predictions work.