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  1. Home
  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. San Jose St. Spartans vs Cal Poly Mustangs
Wed 10:00 PM ET
San Jose St. Spartans logo
San Jose St.
Spartans77
4-2
versus
Cal Poly Mustangs logo
Cal Poly
Mustangs81
1-4
Final/OT
Team123T
San Jose St. Spartans3831877
Cal Poly Mustangs30391281
NCAAB · San Jose St. Spartans at Cal Poly Mustangs

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San Jose St. vs Cal Poly Predictions

Game time: November 29, 2023 at 10:00 PM ET

Venue: Robert A. Mott Athletics Center — San Luis Obispo, CA

Article updated Nov 29, 1:35 AM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The San Jose St. Spartans are traveling to play the Cal Poly Mustangs at the Robert A. Mott Gym stadium on Wednesday, 11/29/2023 @ 10:00pm EST. San Jose St. is the betting

Game outlook

The San Jose St. Spartans are traveling to play the Cal Poly Mustangs at the Robert A. Mott Gym stadium on Wednesday, 11/29/2023 @ 10:00pm EST. San Jose St. is the betting favorite opening at -10.5 and the current line is San Jose St. -9.

Spartans vs Mustangs Prediction for Tonight's Game

Based on recent trends and head to head stats, the Scorecaster predicts Spartans to win tonight's game by 22 points. This model factors in recent against the spread (ATS) trends and scoring which predicts the San Jose St. Spartans to cover the 9 point spread and the total to go over 128.5 points.

PREDICTED SCORE: San Jose St. 82 to Cal Poly 60

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the San Jose St. Spartans and Cal Poly Mustangs, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Curated Picks & Predictions

50% of SportsJaw predicts Cal Poly Mustangs to cover the spread.

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that San Jose St. will win straight-up is 83%.

From the lines set by Sportsbooks, they predict the score to be SJSU 73.25, CP 55.25.

OddsShark predicts San Jose State will win, cover the spread, and the total will go over.

split down the middle on Covers.com

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

San Jose St. Key Betting Stats

With a power ranking of 71, San Jose St. is ranked #179 in offense (scoring an average of 75.43 per game), #38 in defense (allowing an average of 62.71 points to be scored against them per game) and are 5-2 (5-1 ATS) this season.

Offensively, the Spartans hit an average of 47.76% of their field goals (ranked #73) and 68.75% of their free throws (ranked #240) and makes an average of 36.41% of their three pointers ranked #84 in the NCAAB). They average 35.14 rebounds per game (ranked # 249) and average 14.43 offensive assists and 12.29 turnovers per game (ranked # 117 and 167 respectively).

Defensively speaking, San Jose St. allows an average of 39.75% field goals (ranked #69) and 70.45% free throws (ranked #177 in the NCAAB) The Spartans allow an average of 26.02% of the three pointers (ranked #24) and averages 32.57 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 32.57) Finally, the Spartans average 9.14 defensive assists and 12.71 turnovers per game (ranked # 21 and 200 respectively).

Cal Poly Key Betting Stats

Cal Poly Mustangs has a power ranking of 300 and are #315 for offense (scoring an average of 66.33 per game), #224 for defense (giving up an average of 73.17 points per game) and 2-4 (3-2 ATS) overall. San Jose St. went 2-1 (2-1 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against Cal Poly.

For offense, the Mustangs hit an average of 41.94% of their field goals (ranked #275) and 69.47% of their free throws (ranked #222) and makes an average of 31.25% of their three pointers (ranked #241 in the NCAAB). They average 32.67 rebounds per game (ranked # 313) and average 9.00 offensive assists and 9.83 turnovers per game (ranked # 355) and 34 respectively).

On defense, Cal Poly allows an average of 46.01% field goals (ranked #290) and 67.28% free throws (ranked #79 in the NCAAB) The Mustangs allow an average of 36.84% of the three pointers (ranked #312) and averages 38.67 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 38.67) Finally, the Mustangs average 12.00 defensive assists and 12.50 turnovers per game (ranked # 151 and 212 respectively).

Betting Summary

Cal Poly has a slight advantage in regards to ball control (factoring in rebounds and turnovers).

The Scorecaster model predicts the San Jose St. Spartans to cover the 9 point spread and the total to go over 128.5 points.

Written by SportsJaw Staff Categorized as NCAAB Predictions

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#SanJoseStSpartans#CalPolyMustangs

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Spartans vs Mustangs archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Spartans vs Mustangs matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · San Jose St. Spartans-613 → -500Moved
  • Moneyline · Cal Poly Mustangs+433 → +375Moved
  • Spread · San Jose St. Spartans-10.5 (-110) → -9 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Cal Poly Mustangs+10.5 (-110) → +9 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over128.5 (-110) → 128.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under128.5 (-110) → 128.5 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

San Jose St. Spartans
4-2 matchup record · 7-3-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Cal Poly Mustangs
1-4 matchup record · 7-2-1 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-11-29T06:35:50.303Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the San Jose St. Spartans and Cal Poly Mustangs, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2022-12-20Cal Poly Mustangs 43 · San Jose St. Spartans 65
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Cal Poly Mustangs defeated San Jose St. Spartans 81-77

Cal Poly Mustangs defeated San Jose St. Spartans 81-77 on November 29, 2023, a 4-point decision in the series. Cal Poly Mustangs' strongest period was the 2nd half, when it outscored its opponent 39-31. Against SportsJaw's recorded San Jose St. Spartans -9 (-110) spread, Cal Poly Mustangs covered, while the 158 combined points finished over the recorded total of 128.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • UncledavidSpread · Cal Poly Mustangs +10.5 (-110)Win
  • JohnnywalkerTotal · Over 129 (-110)Win
  • CoolioSpread · San Jose St. Spartans -10.5 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioTotal · Over 129 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkSpread · San Jose St. Spartans -10.5 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 129 (-110)Win
  • CovergirlSpread · Cal Poly Mustangs +9 (-110)Win