SportsJaw
LeaderboardToday's GamesBest BetsOdds ComparisonConsensus PicksMake Picks
Login / Sign In
Today's GamesLatest PredictionsToday’s Best BetsOdds ComparisonConsensus PicksTeam PredictionsHead-to-Head MatchupsSJ CoinsAbout SportsJawContact UsLogin / Sign In
HomeMatchupsMake PicksLeaders
SportsJaw

The social platform for sports bettors.

Explore SportsJaw

  • Today’s Picks
  • Predictions
  • Best Bets
  • Leaderboard
  • Make Picks
  • Odds Comparison
  • Consensus Picks
  • Team Predictions
  • Head-to-Head
  • Game Briefing

Picks by Sport

  • NFL Picks
  • NCAAF Picks
  • NBA Picks
  • NCAAB Picks
  • MLB Picks
  • NHL Picks

About SportsJaw

  • How It Works
  • SJ Coins
  • Terms
  • Privacy
  • Contact Us

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

© 2026 SportsJaw. For entertainment purposes only. SportsJaw does not accept or place wagers.

  1. Home
  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. Dayton Flyers vs SMU Mustangs
Wed 8:00 PM ET
Dayton Flyers logo
Dayton
Flyers65
4-2
versus
SMU Mustangs logo
SMU
Mustangs63
3-2
Final
Team12T
Dayton Flyers353065
SMU Mustangs372663
NCAAB · Dayton Flyers at SMU Mustangs

Your Picks on Dayton vs SMU

Picks closed
Spread
Moneyline
Total

Dayton vs SMU Predictions & Best Bets

Game time: November 29, 2023 at 8:00 PM ET

Venue: Moody Coliseum — Dallas, TX

Article updated Nov 29, 1:35 AM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Dayton Flyers are traveling to play the SMU Mustangs at the Moody Coliseum stadium on Wednesday, 11/29/2023 @ 8:00pm EST. SMU is the betting favorite opening at -1 and

Game outlook

The Dayton Flyers are traveling to play the SMU Mustangs at the Moody Coliseum stadium on Wednesday, 11/29/2023 @ 8:00pm EST. SMU is the betting favorite opening at -1 and the line hasn't moved.

Flyers vs Mustangs Prediction for Tonight's Game

Based on recent trends and stats, the Scorecaster predicts Mustangs to win tonight's game by 9 points. This model factors in recent against the spread (ATS) trends and scoring which predicts the SMU Mustangs to cover the 0 point spread and the total to go over 136.5 points.

PREDICTED SCORE: Dayton 65 to SMU 74

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Dayton Flyers and SMU Mustangs, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Curated Picks & Predictions

52% of SportsJaw predicts SMU Mustangs to cover the spread.

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that SMU will win straight-up is 54%.

From the lines set by Sportsbooks, they predict the score to be DAYTN 67.25, SMU 69.25.

OddsShark predicts Southern Methodist will win, cover the spread, and the total will go over.

split down the middle on Covers.com

Dayton Key Betting Stats

With a power ranking of 199, Dayton is ranked #265 in offense (scoring an average of 69.83 per game), #119 in defense (allowing an average of 67.33 points to be scored against them per game) and are 4-2 (2-3-1 ATS) this season.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Offensively, the Flyers hit an average of 46.13% of their field goals (ranked #132) and 74.42% of their free throws (ranked #78) and makes an average of 35.51% of their three pointers ranked #108 in the NCAAB). They average 31.00 rebounds per game (ranked # 340) and average 14.50 offensive assists and 11.17 turnovers per game (ranked # 111 and 92 respectively).

Defensively speaking, Dayton allows an average of 44.08% field goals (ranked #245) and 73.49% free throws (ranked #275 in the NCAAB) The Flyers allow an average of 41.28% of the three pointers (ranked #352) and averages 32.17 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 32.17) Finally, the Flyers average 12.00 defensive assists and 10.67 turnovers per game (ranked # 152 and 307 respectively).

SMU Key Betting Stats

SMU Mustangs has a power ranking of 184 and are #192 for offense (scoring an average of 74.50 per game), #67 for defense (giving up an average of 64.83 points per game) and 5-2 (2-3-1 ATS) overall. Dayton went 2-1 (2-1 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against SMU.

For offense, the Mustangs hit an average of 42.71% of their field goals (ranked #254) and 69.09% of their free throws (ranked #228) and makes an average of 33.59% of their three pointers (ranked #162 in the NCAAB). They average 41.33 rebounds per game (ranked # 46) and average 15.33 offensive assists and 11.50 turnovers per game (ranked # 84) and 118 respectively).

On defense, SMU allows an average of 37.78% field goals (ranked #30) and 71.79% free throws (ranked #229 in the NCAAB) The Mustangs allow an average of 26.19% of the three pointers (ranked #31) and averages 37.67 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 37.67) Finally, the Mustangs average 13.00 defensive assists and 13.83 turnovers per game (ranked # 228 and 126 respectively).

Betting Summary

SMU has a slight advantage in regards to ball control (factoring in rebounds and turnovers).

The Scorecaster model predicts the SMU Mustangs to cover the 0 point spread and the total to go over 136.5 points.

For the best predictions available, make sure to checkout the best bets made by our certified NCAAB experts.

Written by SportsJaw Staff Categorized as NCAAB Predictions

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#DaytonFlyers#SMUMustangs

Share this preview

Facebook X Reddit Email
SportsJaw logo
Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Flyers vs Mustangs archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Flyers vs Mustangs matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Dayton Flyers-105 → -104Moved
  • Moneyline · SMU Mustangs-115 → -118Moved
  • Spread · Dayton Flyers+1 (-110) → +1 (-110)Unchanged
  • Spread · SMU Mustangs-1 (-110) → -1 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Over136 (-110) → 136.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under136 (-110) → 136.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Dayton Flyers
4-2 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
SMU Mustangs
3-2 matchup record · 4-5-1 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-11-29T06:35:29.865Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Dayton Flyers and SMU Mustangs, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

Final result

Matchup pick recap

Dayton Flyers defeated SMU Mustangs 65-63

Dayton Flyers defeated SMU Mustangs 65-63 on November 29, 2023, a 2-point decision in the series. Dayton Flyers' strongest period was the 2nd half, when it outscored its opponent 30-26. Against SportsJaw's recorded Dayton Flyers +1 (-110) spread, Dayton Flyers covered, while the 128 combined points finished under the recorded total of 136.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • BookieslayerSpread · SMU Mustangs -1 (-110)Loss
  • JohnmiznerSpread · SMU Mustangs -1 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioSpread · SMU Mustangs -1 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioTotal · Over 136 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkSpread · SMU Mustangs -1 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 136 (-110)Loss
  • CoversSpread · Dayton Flyers +1 (-110)Win
  • Sammy52Spread · Dayton Flyers +1 (-110)Win
  • 1707662905Spread · SMU Mustangs -1 (-110)Loss