New Mexico St. Aggies vs
Dayton FlyersPredictions & Preview

Dayton Flyers Favored to Win Against New Mexico State in Non-Conference College Basketball Matchup

New Mexico State will face Dayton in a non-conference college basketball game on Wednesday at 7pm ET at the UD Arena in Dayton, OH. Despite New Mexico State's three-game winning streak, Dayton is the betting favorite with a -13 opening line that has not moved. For more information on this matchup and our prediction and picks, continue reading.

Betting Odds

• Moneyline: Aggies +720 | Flyers -1200
• Spread: Aggies +13 (-110) | Flyers -13 (-110)
• Total: Over/Under 141.5 (-110)
• Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Dayton will win straight-up is 92%.

New Mexico St. vs Dayton Stats

New Mexico St. Aggies

New Mexico State Aggies remain undefeated with a close 83-82 win over Texas A&M-CC, maintaining their perfect 3-0 record. Head coach Jason Hooten has seen encouraging early results despite a challenging past season, leading the team to a sixth-place finish in Conference USA. Key players such as Zawdie Jackson and Robert Carpenter have been standout performers, with the team ranking 55th in defense and 166th in offense in NCAAB. Currently, the Aggies hold a power ranking of 168, with impressive offensive and defensive statistics including strong field goal and three-point percentages. They are averaging 50.33 rebounds per game and have a clean bill of health with no reported injuries.

Dayton Flyers Analysis

The Dayton Flyers have started the season strong at 4-0 despite losing star power forward DaRon Holmes II to the NBA draft. Head coach Anthony Grant has found success with senior forward Zed Key and returning guard Enoch Cheeks stepping up in Holmes' absence. Though the team has not been as dominant offensively without Holmes, they have been efficient close to the basket, making 64.4% of two-point attempts. The Flyers rank #183 for offense, averaging 78.33 points per game, and #68 for defense, allowing 64.00 points per game. They have a power ranking of 61 and have shown strength in rebounding and defensive assists. Look for Key and Cheeks to return to the lineup soon as the team continues to perform well.

Dayton Favored to Win Against New Mexico State in Upcoming Match

Based on historical performance, Dayton appears to be the favored team in this upcoming match. The Flyers maintained an impressive 9-0 record in the A-10 at home last season and have already secured four consecutive wins at the UD Arena this year. Conversely, New Mexico State struggled on the road, ending the previous season with a 1-13 record in away games. While NMSU has a current spread record of 1-1, they finished the 2023-24 season with an 11-16-1 record and went 4-10 as the away underdog. In comparison, Dayton has covered the spread in two out of three games this season and achieved a 16-16-1 record against the spread last year. Therefore, it is advisable to choose Dayton as the team likely to emerge victorious in this matchup.

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