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NCAAB PicksSun 8:00 PM ET
Cal Poly Mustangs logo
Cal Poly
Mustangs58
14-19
versus
CA
California Baptist67
Final
Team12T
Cal Poly Mustangs263258
California Baptist264167
NCAAB · Cal Poly Mustangs at California Baptist

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Cal Poly Mustangs vs California Baptist Predictions November 19, 2023

Game time: November 19, 2023 at 8:00 PM ET

Venue: Dale E. and Sarah Ann Fowler Events Center — Riverside, CA

Article updated Nov 19, 5:35 PM EST

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Cal Poly Mustangs are traveling to play the California Baptist at the Fowler Events Center stadium on Sunday, 11/19/2023 @ 8:00pm EST. California Baptist is the betting

Game outlook

The Cal Poly Mustangs are traveling to play the California Baptist at the Fowler Events Center stadium on Sunday, 11/19/2023 @ 8:00pm EST. California Baptist is the betting favorite opening at -12.75 and the current line is California Baptist -13.

Mustangs vs Lancers Prediction for Tonight's Game

Based on recent trends and head to head stats, the Scorecaster predicts Lancers to win tonight's game by 11 points. This model factors in recent against the spread (ATS) trends and scoring which predicts the Cal Poly Mustangs to cover the 13 point spread and the total to go over 130 points.

PREDICTED SCORE: Cal Poly 66 to California Baptist 77

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Cal Poly Mustangs and California Baptist, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Curated Picks & Predictions

50% of SportsJaw predicts California Baptist to cover the spread.

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that California Baptist will win straight-up is 90%.

From the lines set by Sportsbooks, they predict the score to be CP 52, CBU 78.

OddsShark predicts Cal Baptist will win, cover the spread, and the total will go over.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

split down the middle on Covers.com

Cal Poly Key Betting Stats

With a power ranking of 236, Cal Poly is ranked #261 in offense (scoring an average of 70.75 per game), #254 in defense (allowing an average of 74.75 points to be scored against them per game) and are 2-3 (2-2 ATS) this season.

Offensively, the Mustangs hit an average of 43.93% of their field goals (ranked #207) and 73.97% of their free throws (ranked #94) and makes an average of 31.67% of their three pointers ranked #205 in the NCAAB). They average 32.50 rebounds per game (ranked # 307) and average 8.00 offensive assists and 11.00 turnovers per game (ranked # 353 and 96 respectively).

Defensively speaking, Cal Poly allows an average of 49.00% field goals (ranked #336) and 66.09% free throws (ranked #103 in the NCAAB) The Mustangs allow an average of 37.50% of the three pointers (ranked #319) and averages 35.50 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 35.50) Finally, the Mustangs average 12.50 defensive assists and 14.00 turnovers per game (ranked # 204 and 138 respectively).

California Baptist Key Betting Stats

California Baptist has a power ranking of 120 and are #237 for offense (scoring an average of 72.33 per game), #60 for defense (giving up an average of 63.00 points per game) and 3-1 (1-2 ATS) overall. Cal Poly went 1-1 (0-2 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against California Baptist.

For offense, the Lancers hit an average of 42.01% of their field goals (ranked #259) and 65.33% of their free throws (ranked #267) and makes an average of 36.11% of their three pointers (ranked #114 in the NCAAB). They average 39.33 rebounds per game (ranked # 132) and average 12.67 offensive assists and 12.00 turnovers per game (ranked # 217) and 141 respectively).

On defense, California Baptist allows an average of 40.88% field goals (ranked #154) and 74.55% free throws (ranked #291 in the NCAAB) The Lancers allow an average of 35.29% of the three pointers (ranked #284) and averages 33.00 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 33.00) Finally, the Lancers average 9.00 defensive assists and 12.67 turnovers per game (ranked # 37 and 218 respectively).

Betting Summary

Cal Poly has a slight advantage in regards to ball control (factoring in rebounds and turnovers).

The Scorecaster model predicts the Cal Poly Mustangs to cover the 13 point spread and the total to go over 130 points.

For the best predictions available, make sure to checkout the best bets made by our certified NCAAB experts.

Written by SportsJaw Staff Categorized as NCAAB Predictions

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

SportsJaw Mustangs vs California Baptist archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Crowd vs qualified handicappers

No qualifying consensus sample is available yet.

Qualified handicappers need at least 20 graded picks and a 52.5% win rate. A market needs at least three current qualified picks. Selection share is not a win probability.

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Cal Poly Mustangs+688 → +640Moved
  • Moneyline · California Baptist-1,080 → -900Moved
  • Spread · Cal Poly Mustangs+12.75 (-110) → +13 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · California Baptist-12.75 (-110) → -13 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over130.5 (-110) → 130 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under130.5 (-110) → 130 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Cal Poly Mustangs
14-19 matchup record · 6-3-1 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
California Baptist
ATS unavailable · O/U unavailable
Last 0 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-11-19T22:35:29.155Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Cal Poly Mustangs and California Baptist, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-11-17Cal Poly Mustangs 61 · St. Thomas - Minnesota 60
  • 2022-12-03California Baptist 53 · Cal Poly Mustangs 64
  • 2022-02-24Cal Poly Mustangs 54 · Hawai'i 63
  • 2022-01-22Hawai'i 69 · Cal Poly Mustangs 56
  • 2021-12-02Cal Poly Mustangs 55 · California Baptist 64
Final result

Matchup pick recap

California Baptist defeated Cal Poly Mustangs 67-58

California Baptist defeated Cal Poly Mustangs 67-58 on November 19, 2023, a 9-point decision in the series. California Baptist's strongest period was the 2nd half, when it outscored its opponent 41-32. Against SportsJaw's recorded Cal Poly Mustangs +13 (-110) spread, Cal Poly Mustangs covered, while the 125 combined points finished under the recorded total of 130.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • Joem81Spread · Cal Poly Mustangs -13 (-110)Win
  • CoolioSpread · Cal Poly Mustangs +13 (-110)Win
  • CoolioTotal · Over 130.5 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkSpread · California Baptist -13 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 130.5 (-110)Loss
  • GeauxtigersSpread · Cal Poly Mustangs -13 (-110)Win
  • DoclocksSpread · Cal Poly Mustangs +13 (-110)Win
  • JNel21Spread · Cal Poly Mustangs +13 (-110)Win