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NCAAB PicksFri 7:30 PM ET
Cal Poly Mustangs logo
Cal Poly
Mustangs61
14-19
versus
ST
St. Thomas - Minnesota60
Final
Team12T
CP313061
STMN223860
NCAAB · CP at STMN

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Cal Poly Mustangs vs St. Thomas - Minnesota Predictions November 17, 2023

Game time: November 17, 2023 at 7:30 PM ET

Venue: Dale E. and Sarah Ann Fowler Events Center — Riverside, CA

Article updated Nov 17, 1:35 AM EST

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Cal Poly Mustangs are on the road playing the St. Thomas - Minnesota at the Fowler Events Center stadium on Friday, 11/17/2023 @ 7:30pm EST. St. Thomas - Minnesota is the

Game outlook

The Cal Poly Mustangs are on the road playing the St. Thomas - Minnesota at the Fowler Events Center stadium on Friday, 11/17/2023 @ 7:30pm EST. St. Thomas - Minnesota is the betting favorite opening at -7 and the line hasn't moved.

Tommies vs Mustangs Prediction for Tonight's Game

Based on recent trends and head to head stats, the Scorecaster predicts Tommies to win tonight's game by 5 points. This model factors in recent against the spread (ATS) trends and scoring which predicts the Cal Poly Mustangs to cover the 7 point spread and the total to go over 132 points.

PREDICTED SCORE: Cal Poly 71 to St. Thomas - Minnesota 66

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Cal Poly Mustangs and St. Thomas - Minnesota, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Curated Picks & Predictions

52% of SportsJaw users predict Cal Poly Mustangs to cover the spread.

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that St. Thomas - Minnesota will win straight-up is 76%.

Based on the current lines, Oddsmakers predict the score to be CP 59, STMN 73.

OddsShark 's prediction is St. Thomas (MN) will win, cover the spread, and the total will go over.

split down the middle on Covers.com

Cal Poly Key Betting Stats

With a power ranking of 144, Cal Poly is ranked #329 in offense (scoring an average of 60.00 per game), #76 in defense (allowing an average of 62.00 points to be scored against them per game) and are 2-1 (1-1 ATS) this season.

Offensively, the Tommies hit an average of 43.93% of their field goals (ranked #208) and 61.90% of their free throws (ranked #287) and makes an average of 32.50% of their three pointers ranked #190 in the NCAAB). They average 29.50 rebounds per game (ranked # 334) and average 11.50 offensive assists and 11.50 turnovers per game (ranked # 258 and 133 respectively).

Defensively speaking, Cal Poly allows an average of 47.96% field goals (ranked #302) and 68.75% free throws (ranked #174 in the NCAAB) The Tommies allow an average of 36.36% of the three pointers (ranked #273) and averages 30.50 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 30.50) Finally, the Tommies average 6.50 defensive assists and 11.50 turnovers per game (ranked # 17 and 270 respectively).

St. Thomas - Minnesota Key Betting Stats

St. Thomas - Minnesota has a power ranking of 236 and are #210 for offense (scoring an average of 74.00 per game), #291 for defense (giving up an average of 79.67 points per game) and 1-2 (1-1 ATS) overall. Cal Poly went 0-0 (0-0 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against St. Thomas - Minnesota.

For offense, the Mustangs hit an average of 43.39% of their field goals (ranked #219) and 70.97% of their free throws (ranked #157) and makes an average of 29.79% of their three pointers (ranked #239 in the NCAAB). They average 34.00 rebounds per game (ranked # 268) and average 8.00 offensive assists and 12.00 turnovers per game (ranked # 340) and 143 respectively).

On defense, St. Thomas - Minnesota allows an average of 48.72% field goals (ranked #313) and 65.31% free throws (ranked #125 in the NCAAB) The Mustangs allow an average of 37.10% of the three pointers (ranked #287) and averages 39.00 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 39.00) Finally, the Mustangs average 14.33 defensive assists and 15.33 turnovers per game (ranked # 260 and 104 respectively).

Betting Summary

St. Thomas - Minnesota has the advantage in regards to ball control (factoring in rebounds and turnovers).

The Scorecaster model predicts the Cal Poly Mustangs to cover the 7 point spread and the total to go over 132 points.

Written by SportsJaw Staff Categorized as NCAAB Predictions

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SportsJaw Mustangs vs St. Thomas - Minnesota archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. how our predictions work.