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  1. Home
  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. Hampton Pirates vs Navy Midshipmen
Sat 4:00 PM ET
Hampton Pirates logo
Hampton
Pirates56
0-2
versus
Navy Midshipmen logo
Navy
Midshipmen58
2-1
Final
Team12T
Hampton Pirates282856
Navy Midshipmen283058
NCAAB · Hampton Pirates at Navy Midshipmen

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Hampton Pirates vs Navy Midshipmen Prediction, Odds and Best Bet for Nov. 14, 2026

Game time: November 14, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET

Venue: Alumni Hall (Navy) — Annapolis, MD

Article updated Nov 14, 9:09 AM EST

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

Navy is our projected winner over Hampton, 69-68, with Jordan Pennick's scoring performance against Penn providing the strongest recent reason to favor the Midshipmen at home. The supplied Navy -1.5 spread and 138.5 total offer no compelling wager given the sharply different analyst forecasts. SportsJaw's official betting recommendation is Pass, with low confidence in a narrow Navy victory.

Hampton Pirates vs Navy Midshipmen prediction and best bet

Navy gets the nod in this 2026-27 men's college basketball matchup, but the best betting decision is Pass. Its 3-1 start and Wednesday's win over Penn give the Midshipmen a stronger recent result to build around. Hampton's two road losses leave questions about how much offense the Pirates can supply.

That favors Navy as a game prediction, without making Navy -1.5 (-110) an automatic bet. Our one-point forecast leaves Hampton inside the spread, but the uncertainty around the margin also keeps Hampton +1.5 (-110) off the official card. The total requires a separate judgment, and neither direction earns a recommendation.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Time: Saturday, Nov. 14, 2026, at 4 p.m. ET.

Venue: Alumni Hall in Annapolis, Maryland.

Broadcast: ESPN+. Radio: WNAV.

Records: Hampton Pirates 0-2; Navy Midshipmen 2-1.

SportsJaw odds: Hampton Pirates -1 (-110); Navy Midshipmen +1 (-110). Moneyline: Hampton Pirates -110; Navy Midshipmen -110. Total: Over 136.5 (-110); Under 136.5 (-110).

Hampton Pirates outlook

Navy's official preview lists Hampton's opening results as a 75-55 loss at Georgia Tech, a 75-61 loss at George Washington and a 67-56 victory over Apprentice School. The road defeats are the clearest caution for the Pirates: neither scoring output would leave much room for defensive mistakes against Navy.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

The George Washington game produced six more Hampton points and a smaller losing margin than the Georgia Tech game. Even so, a 14-point defeat is a shaky foundation for expecting a close finish here. Hampton's route to an upset in our forecast requires better offensive production than either road result, alongside enough defensive resistance to prevent Navy from pulling away.

Navy Midshipmen outlook

Navy closes a four-game homestand after beating Penn 81-76 in Wednesday's Veterans Classic. The official Navy report credits Jordan Pennick with a career-high 29 points, including 22 in the second half. That gives the Midshipmen a concrete recent example of a player supplying substantial offense after halftime.

Pennick's performance is the strongest personnel detail behind our pick, though repeating a career high is a demanding expectation. Navy also allowed 76 points in that game. The result therefore cuts both ways for this preview: it strengthens the case for Navy's scoring potential while warning against treating a low-scoring finish as the obvious outcome.

Key matchup factors

This is the programs' first meeting, according to Navy. The central question is how Hampton's road scoring translates against this opponent. Its previous opponents and Navy are different matchups, so carrying those point totals directly into Saturday would overstate their predictive value.

Other analysts favor Navy but disagree substantially about its advantage. Dimers projects Navy 69, Hampton 68 and gives Navy a 55.0% win probability. AccuScore assigns Navy 65.1%, while PardonMe Sports Analytics projects Navy 80.0, Hampton 58.7 with a 76.2% win probability. Those are separate model opinions, not a combined probability or three independent confirmations of a betting edge.

SportsJaw's community spread leader is Navy -1.5 (-110). The blended total consensus favors Over 138.5 (-110) at 88% in the Nov. 14 update at 13:53 UTC. Its equivalent sample contains 528 Over selections and 72 Under selections, combining modeled external support with SportsJaw participation. Those estimated selections are not observed sportsbook tickets, and 88% is selection support, not the probability of an Over.

Hampton Pirates vs Navy Midshipmen spread prediction

Spread recommendation: Pass on Navy -1.5 (-110) and Hampton +1.5 (-110). Navy needs to win by at least two points to cover; a one-point Navy victory would cash Hampton's spread.

Our forecast falls on that narrow dividing line. Dimers gives Hampton +1.5 a 50.7% cover probability, below the approximately 52.4% break-even rate at -110. PardonMe's projected 21.3-point Navy margin points forcefully in the opposite direction. With such different assessments of the margin, neither side offers a sufficiently persuasive case for an official wager.

Hampton Pirates vs Navy Midshipmen total prediction

Total recommendation: Pass on Over 138.5 (-110) and Under 138.5 (-110). Our projected 137 points lean below the number, but that small difference is too fragile to turn into a bet.

AccuScore gives Under 138.5 a 54.4% probability, whereas Dimers puts it at 50.2%. PardonMe's projected total is 138.7, just above the line. These analyst views also contrast with the 88% blended Over consensus. Hampton's road scoring makes the Under plausible, but Navy's 157-point game against Penn supplies a clear counterargument. Neither recent result dictates Saturday's pace or efficiency.

Hampton Pirates vs Navy Midshipmen Projected Score & Betting Picks

Game forecast: Navy 69, Hampton 68. Pennick's recent scoring and Navy's home setting tip our editorial judgment toward the Midshipmen. The strongest counterargument is that Navy's latest victory also featured 76 points allowed, leaving room for Hampton to improve on its previous road production.

Confidence is low because the evidence supports a preference more clearly than a dependable margin. The score is an editorial projection, not a measured expectation. Both spread sides and both total directions remain passes at the supplied prices. The single official SportsJaw betting recommendation is Pass.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Pirates68

Midshipmen69

Projected winner Navy MidshipmenConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Pass (article line changed)

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Pass (article line changed)

Sources

  • Naval Academy AthleticsHomestand Ends for Men's Basketball with Program's First Game vs. Hampton on Saturday
  • DimersHampton vs. Navy prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 14, 2026
  • CoversHampton Pirates vs Navy Midshipmen Odds & Betting Lines For November 14, 2026 - NCAAB
#HamptonPirates#NavyMidshipmen

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw's editorial organization researches matchup data, current odds, injuries and reporting, then validates each published preview against its listed sources and displayed markets.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Pirates vs Midshipmen game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Pirates vs Midshipmen matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Hampton Pirates-104 → -110Moved
  • Moneyline · Navy Midshipmen-108 → -110Moved
  • Spread · Hampton Pirates+1.5 (-110) → -1 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Navy Midshipmen-1.5 (-110) → +1 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over138.5 (-110) → 136.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under138.5 (-110) → 136.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Hampton Pirates
0-2 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Navy Midshipmen
2-1 matchup record · 1-3-0 ATS · 2-2-0 O/U
Last 4 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2026-11-14T14:09:10.506Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

Final result

Matchup pick recap

Navy Midshipmen defeated Hampton Pirates 58-56

Navy Midshipmen defeated Hampton Pirates 58-56 on November 14, 2026, a 2-point decision in the series. Navy Midshipmen's strongest period was the 2nd half, when it outscored its opponent 30-28. Against SportsJaw's recorded Hampton Pirates -1 (-110) spread, Navy Midshipmen covered, while the 114 combined points finished under the recorded total of 136.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNavy MidshipmenWin
  • SpreadPass on Navy -1.5 (-110) and Hampton +1.5 (-110)Pass
  • TotalPass on Over 138.5 (-110) and Under 138.5 (-110)Pass

Tipster picks

  • RcSpread · Navy Midshipmen -1.5 (-110)Win
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