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  1. Home
  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. Rice Owls vs Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
Sat 2:00 PM ET
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Rice
Owls
0-2
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Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks logo
Stephen F. Austin
Lumberjacks
1-0
NCAAB · Rice Owls at Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks

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Rice Owls vs Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks prediction, odds and best bet

Game time: November 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET

Venue: William R. Johnson Coliseum — Nacogdoches, TX

Article updated Nov 13, 10:50 PM EST

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

Stephen F. Austin is the pick to beat Rice, 77-72, with its early perimeter shooting providing the strongest matchup advantage against the Owls’ shot-blocking presence. That advantage makes the Lumberjacks the preferred winner, but three games of results leave a fragile case for laying eight points. Neither Stephen F. Austin -8 (-110) nor the total of 148 (-110) earns an official wager.

Rice Owls vs Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks prediction and best bet

Stephen F. Austin gets the nod at home, but the best betting decision is Pass. The Lumberjacks’ shooting offers a plausible route to victory; Rice’s offensive rebounding offers an equally relevant reason to be cautious about the margin.

Rice’s official preview lists Stephen F. Austin at 41.8% from three through three games. That perimeter production matters against an opponent whose early strengths include blocking shots. The forecast favors the Lumberjacks finding enough offense outside the paint to win, without assuming their opening scoring rates will continue unchanged.

The distinction matters at this price. Picking Stephen F. Austin to win does not require backing it to cover -8 (-110). Our five-point projection leaves too little separation from the spread to justify either side with confidence.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Game: Rice Owls at Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks, 2026-27 men’s college basketball.

Tipoff: Saturday, November 14, 2026, at 1 p.m. CT, according to Rice Athletics. Covers lists the equivalent 2 p.m. ET start.

Venue: William R. Johnson Coliseum in Nacogdoches, Texas.

Broadcast: ESPN+.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Records and latest results: Rice is 1-2 after a 91-73 road loss at Stanford. Stephen F. Austin is 3-0 after beating Abilene Christian 76-71.

SportsJaw odds: Rice Owls +8 (-110); Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks -8 (-110). Moneyline: Rice Owls +355; Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks -525. Total: Over 148 (-110); Under 148 (-110).

Rice Owls outlook

Rice’s clearest route to a competitive game is through additional scoring chances. The Owls average 43.3 rebounds, including 17.3 offensive rebounds, through three games. Their 6.7 blocks per game also give them a potential way to disrupt interior attempts, although blocks alone do not describe the quality of an entire defense.

Jacob Dar and freshman Jaxson Thompson share the scoring lead at 13.0 points per game. Dar also averages 6.0 rebounds, second on the team. Thompson is shooting 46.7% from the field and 75.0% at the foul line.

Carmelo Adkins contributes 9.7 points and 2.3 steals per game while leading Rice at 43.8% from three. That gives the Owls a perimeter option alongside their rebounding threat. Rice Athletics reports team averages of 81.3 points scored and 72.7 allowed; the Stanford loss illustrates why that scoring production has not guaranteed competitive defensive results.

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks outlook

Stephen F. Austin’s opening numbers are impressive: 95.0 points scored and 54.7 allowed per game. Rice’s preview also lists the Lumberjacks’ 47.6% field-goal shooting and 41.8% three-point shooting as second in the Southland through three games.

Freshman Erik Makke leads the team at 15.3 points per game and is shooting 55.6% from three. Covers lists him among the previous game’s starters, with 21 points in 22 minutes against Abilene Christian. He is the most clearly supported individual scoring threat in this matchup.

The five-point win over Abilene Christian supplies a useful counterweight to those broad averages. Stephen F. Austin has already played a close game despite its large opening scoring differential. Its record and shooting favor the home team, but those facts do not make an eight-point cover automatic.

Key matchup factors

Shot location is central to the forecast. If Stephen F. Austin continues making perimeter attempts, Rice’s rim protection may have less influence on the outcome. That is a matchup inference, rather than evidence that Rice has struggled to defend the three-point line.

Second chances could narrow the gap. Rice’s offensive rebounding creates a credible path to staying close even if its initial shots are less effective. There is no supported comparison of the teams’ rebounding rates here, so Rice’s volume should not be treated as a proven advantage over this particular opponent.

The three-game samples also limit how strongly to read the scoring averages. They describe the opening results, but leave uncertainty about how those results translate to this matchup.

Rice Owls vs Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks spread prediction

Spread recommendation: Pass on Rice +8 (-110) and Stephen F. Austin -8 (-110).

The projected five-point margin points toward Rice finishing inside the number. Still, that narrow cushion rests on a tentative forecast, with Stephen F. Austin’s shooting presenting a clear risk to the underdog.

Laying eight requires more conviction about sustained separation than these early results warrant. Taking eight requires more trust in Rice’s defense than its latest performance encourages. Neither side offers a sufficiently persuasive wager.

Rice Owls vs Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks total prediction

Total recommendation: Pass on Over 148 (-110) and Under 148 (-110).

The projected total is 149, essentially level with the supplied number. Both offenses have posted substantial scoring averages, while Stephen F. Austin’s low points allowed pulls the analysis toward a quieter game.

Rice’s second-chance opportunities could add scoring, but their effect depends on conversion. Without a clearer picture of possessions and matchup-specific efficiency, a one-point difference between the forecast and line is too thin to bet.

Rice Owls vs Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks Projected Score & Betting Picks

Projected score: Stephen F. Austin 77, Rice 72. The Lumberjacks’ perimeter shooting earns them the winning forecast, while Rice’s rebounding and multiple scoring options keep the expected margin modest.

Confidence is low. Rice’s ability to extend possessions is the strongest counterargument, and neither team’s three-game profile warrants a firm margin estimate. Stephen F. Austin is the winner pick; the single official SportsJaw betting lean is Pass.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Owls72

Lumberjacks77

Projected winner Stephen F. Austin LumberjacksConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Pass on Rice Owls +8 (-110) and Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks -8 (-110)

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Pass on Over 148 (-110) and Under 148 (-110)

Sources

  • Rice University AthleticsMen’s Basketball Stays on Road to Face Stephen F. Austin
  • CoversRice Owls vs Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks Odds & Betting Lines For November 14, 2026 - NCAAB
#RiceOwls#StephenFAustinLumberjacks

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw's editorial organization researches matchup data, current odds, injuries and reporting, then validates each published preview against its listed sources and displayed markets.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Owls vs Lumberjacks game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Owls vs Lumberjacks matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Rice Owls+355 → +355Unchanged
  • Moneyline · Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks-525 → -525Unchanged
  • Spread · Rice Owls+8 (-110) → +8 (-110)Unchanged
  • Spread · Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks-8 (-110) → -8 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Over148 (-110) → 148 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under148 (-110) → 148 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

Rice Owls
0-2 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 5-4-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
1-0 matchup record · 4-4-0 ATS · 5-3-0 O/U
Last 8 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2026-11-14T03:50:27.559Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2025-11-11Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks 81 · Rice Owls 69
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