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  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. St. Thomas - Minnesota vs Army Black Knights
Sat 1:00 PM ET
ST
St. Thomas - Minnesota77
0-0
versus
Army Black Knights logo
Army
Black Knights79
0-2
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Team12T
St. Thomas - Minnesota393877
Army Black Knights354479
NCAAB · St. Thomas - Minnesota at Army Black Knights

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St. Thomas - Minnesota vs Army Black Knights prediction, odds and best bet

Game time: November 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET

Venue: Christl Arena — West Point, NY

Article updated Nov 14, 7:33 AM EST

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

St. Thomas - Minnesota will beat Army Black Knights, with a projected score of St. Thomas 76, Army 71. Hayden Tibbits’ scoring and playmaking provide the strongest personnel reason to favor the visitors, while other analysts also lean toward a Tommies win. The supplied prices leave a less convincing betting opportunity: our official recommendation is Pass, with low confidence in the forecast.

St. Thomas - Minnesota vs Army Black Knights prediction and best bet

St. Thomas is the winner pick, but neither market earns an official wager. Tibbits gives the Tommies a useful scoring and distribution option, and their latest result offers encouragement. The tougher judgment is how much separation to expect against Army.

Dimers projects St. Thomas 75, Army 69 and assigns the visitors a 73.0% win probability. Probable Stats forecasts St. Thomas 77, Army 73 at 66%, while AccuScore gives St. Thomas a 69% chance. These are other analysts’ estimates, not SportsJaw probabilities. Their agreement supports the winner selection without guaranteeing a cover or a betting advantage.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Game: St. Thomas - Minnesota at Army Black Knights, 2026-27 men’s college basketball.

Tipoff: Saturday, November 14, 2026, at 1 p.m. ET, according to LineSmart.

Venue: Christl Arena, West Point, New York.

Records: St. Thomas - Minnesota 0-0; Army Black Knights 0-2.

SportsJaw odds: St. Thomas - Minnesota -6 (-110); Army Black Knights +6 (-110). Moneyline: St. Thomas - Minnesota -270; Army Black Knights +220. Total: Over 146.5 (-110); Under 146.5 (-110).

SportsJaw total: Over 148.5 (-107); Under 148.5 (-110). Moneyline: St. Thomas -355; Army +280.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

St. Thomas - Minnesota outlook

LineSmart lists Hayden Tibbits as St. Thomas’ scoring and assists leader at 15.0 points and 4.2 assists per game. That combination makes him the central player in our forecast: his contribution can come through his own scoring or through opportunities he creates for teammates.

Jeremy Lorenz leads the Tommies with 6.0 rebounds per game. His work on the glass is another component to watch, although that individual average alone says little about which team will control rebounding.

St. Thomas most recently beat Macalester 119-82, according to LineSmart. It was a convincing result, but projecting another offensive performance of that size would put too much weight on one opponent. The Tommies’ split road record also warrants restraint when assessing a sizable away spread.

Army Black Knights outlook

Army comes off a 63-55 loss at New Haven. The immediate offensive question is whether the Black Knights can produce enough scoring to challenge the favorite. That result makes offensive improvement a priority in this forecast, but the final score alone reveals neither the game’s pace nor Army’s defensive quality.

LineSmart names Kevin McCarthy as Army’s scoring leader at 11.7 points per game, Ryan Curry as its assists leader at 3.7 and Tate Laczkowski as its rebounding leader at 6.0. Those responsibilities give Army several contributors to follow rather than placing the entire outlook on one player.

Army won its only home game in the reported results. Returning to Christl Arena is a change of setting after the New Haven loss, but one home result is too small a sample to justify a strong home-court claim.

Key matchup factors

The main distinction is winning versus winning by eight. St. Thomas can justify the outright selection while Army remains competitive against +7.5. Both published score forecasts fit that possibility, although AccuScore supplies no visible spread recommendation and should not be counted as another Army cover pick.

LineSmart reports that DraftKings moved Army from +9.5 at its Friday 10:15 p.m. ET opening to +7.5, while the total fell from 149.5 to 148.5. These are that book’s reported movements, not changes to the supplied SportsJaw prices. Army backers now have two fewer points of protection than at that opening.

SportsJaw members favor St. Thomas -7.5 (-110), with 100% of the community spread selections on that side in the supplied snapshot. That describes member preference, not the probability of a cover, and it runs against Dimers’ spread choice.

St. Thomas - Minnesota vs Army Black Knights spread prediction

Pass on St. Thomas -7.5 (-110) and Army +7.5 (-110). Army is the more appealing side within our five-point forecast, but the cushion between that forecast and the line is modest.

Dimers explicitly recommends Army +7.5 with a 54.8% cover probability. Probable Stats’ underlying projected margin is 4.6 points, also inside the spread. Those views make a credible Army case, while SportsJaw members prefer St. Thomas. With limited team evidence behind the margin judgment, we are keeping that preference short of an actionable recommendation.

St. Thomas - Minnesota vs Army Black Knights total prediction

Pass on Over 148.5 (-107) and Under 148.5 (-110). Dimers favors Under with a 53.9% probability and a 144-point projection. Probable Stats’ underlying projection is 150.2 points, placing its forecast above the same line.

The consensus is divided too. SportsJaw members favor Under at 100%, while external consensus favors Over at 83%; the blended reading is 66% Over in the November 14, 12:23 UTC update. These are selection shares, not scoring probabilities. Our 147-point forecast sits close enough to 148.5 that it offers no compelling reason to force an Under wager.

St. Thomas - Minnesota vs Army Black Knights Projected Score & Betting Picks

Game forecast: St. Thomas - Minnesota 76, Army Black Knights 71. Tibbits’ scoring and playmaking, together with the direction of the attributed forecasts, tilt our selection toward the visitors.

The strongest counterargument is the narrow margin those forecasts suggest: Army would need only a modest improvement over expectations to reverse the result. Confidence is low. St. Thomas is our projected winner; the spread and total are separate passes, and the single official SportsJaw betting recommendation is Pass.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

St. Thomas - Minnesota76

Black Knights71

Projected winner St. Thomas - MinnesotaConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Pass (article line changed)

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Pass (article line changed)

Sources

  • LineSmartSt. Thomas Tommies at Army Black Knights Odds, Spread & Total – Saturday, Nov 14
  • DimersSt. Thomas vs. Army prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 14, 2026
  • AccuScoreSt. Thomas vs Army Prediction, Odds & Live Score
#ArmyBlackKnights

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw's editorial organization researches matchup data, current odds, injuries and reporting, then validates each published preview against its listed sources and displayed markets.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw St. Thomas - Minnesota vs Black Knights game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · St. Thomas - Minnesota-376 → -270Moved
  • Moneyline · Army Black Knights+300 → +220Moved
  • Spread · St. Thomas - Minnesota-8 (-110) → -6 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Army Black Knights+8 (-110) → +6 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over148 (-110) → 146.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under148 (-110) → 146.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

St. Thomas - Minnesota
0-0 matchup record · ATS unavailable · O/U unavailable
Last 0 completed games on file
Army Black Knights
0-2 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2026-11-14T12:33:22.043Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2026-11-10Army Black Knights 55 · New Haven 63
  • 2018-02-27Army Black Knights 79 · Loyola-Maryland 82
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Army Black Knights defeated St. Thomas - Minnesota 79-77

Army Black Knights defeated St. Thomas - Minnesota 79-77 on November 14, 2026, a 2-point decision in the series. Army Black Knights' strongest period was the 2nd half, when it outscored its opponent 44-38. Against SportsJaw's recorded St. Thomas - Minnesota -6 (-110) spread, Army Black Knights covered, while the 156 combined points finished over the recorded total of 146.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerSt. Thomas - MinnesotaLoss
  • SpreadPass on St. Thomas - Minnesota -7.5 (-110) and Army Black Knights +7.5 (-110)Pass
  • TotalPass on Over 148.5 (-107) and Under 148.5 (-110)Pass

Tipster picks

  • Sammy52Total · Under 148 (-110)Loss
  • FlyigglesflySpread · St. Thomas - Minnesota -8 (-110)Loss
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